Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $237.8700 (7.72%) ($228.4100 - $239.0900) on Tue. May. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.9% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $237.8700(7.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(58%)    IWD(54%)    IWN(54%)    PEJ(54%)    XAR(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -3.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.45% (StdDev 6.9%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $221.06(7.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $213.46(11.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $217.04(9.6%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   84.1%
Market Cap   $13.395b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 6.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 4.43%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.76%(67%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 4.69%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -6.74%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 8.83%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.57%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2020	232.79	217.04	213.46	221.06	222.37	228.1	237.87(7.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	78	200	92	35	1.78	47%	-0.13	33.3	6.9%	1.7	2.1	59	1.3
2	May_22_2020	233.1	215.48	212.3	215.98	215.79	220.31	220.83(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	140	41	8	1.05	43%	-0.15	21.5	6.75%	0.6	0.6	54	1.2
3	May_21_2020	233.45	214.95	212.94	211.91	214.06	216.64	222.83(4.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	110	67	15	1.87	43%	-0.05	6.1	6.81%	1.8	0.9	56	1.1
4	May_20_2020	233.56	214.31	212.67	207.5	209.26	211.27	213.47(1.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	12	90	20	-12	0.98	43%	-0.17	-7.2	6.78%	1	-0.1	48	1.5
5	May_19_2020	233.96	214.11	213.09	204.34	205.46	211.49	210.29(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	220	41	-14	0.97	43%	-0.18	-13	6.78%	0.3	-0.4	40	0.9

6	May_18_2020	234.39	213.77	213.88	204.67	203.23	207.25	212.46(5.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	35	120	50	-10	1.2	43%	-0.18	-13.3	6.78%	1.1	-0.1	48	1.4
7	May_15_2020	234.81	213.59	214.2	208.39	203.87	199.43	200.52(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-220	-40	-36	1.11	43%	-0.22	0.5	6.74%	-0.1	-1.4	49	1
8	May_14_2020	235.33	214.4	215.76	214.31	211.33	199.22	200.76(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-92	-440	-106	-48	1.56	43%	-0.15	26.4	6.79%	-0.5	-1.6	47	0.8
9	May_13_2020	235.69	214.93	217.66	218.59	218.99	208.3	197.67(-6.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-119	-340	-142	-50	1.95	43%	-0.24	45.9	6.79%	-1.7	-2	46	0.1
10	May_12_2020	236.26	215.29	220.69	222.7	224.63	223.44	211.93(-8.28%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-38	-10	-51	3	1.59	43%	-0.18	72.5	6.74%	-2.3	-0.4	55	1.2

11	May_11_2020	236.69	215	221.48	223.97	225.36	229.68	231.07(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	150	47	52	0.74	45%	-0.08	83.8	6.67%	1.3	1.9	76	2.3
12	May_8_2020	236.89	213.55	219.19	220.87	222.22	225.81	230.11(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	130	58	50	0.63	45%	-0.09	108.8	6.62%	1.6	2.1	67	2
13	May_7_2020	237.11	212.13	217.17	217.73	218.45	221.03	222.17(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	90	30	30	0.66	45%	-0.12	136.3	6.65%	0.6	1.4	55	1.4
14	May_6_2020	237.4	211.03	216.01	216.91	216.15	218.62	218.21(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	70	18	25	0.49	47%	-0.16	161.5	6.65%	0.6	1	57	0.8
15	May_5_2020	237.79	209.56	215.1	218.54	216.35	215.86	218.3(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-50	7	27	0.77	47%	-0.13	148.3	6.69%	1.3	1	63	1.1

16	May_4_2020	238.11	208.11	213.53	218.62	218.43	213.68	215.54(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-16	-150	-26	14	0.98	47%	-0.17	141.3	6.69%	0.2	0.8	58	0.5
17	May_1_2020	238.51	205.39	212.81	217.11	219.42	216.84	214.41(-1.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-29	-50	-41	7	0.58	47%	-0.19	83.8	6.64%	-1	0.6	59	0.4
18	Apr_30_2020	238.97	202.91	212.86	216.3	218.28	223.17	218.1(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	180	23	36	0.96	47%	-0.15	62.6	6.65%	-0.7	0.9	62	1.3
19	Apr_29_2020	239.32	200.21	211.93	214.79	215.65	222	226.38(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	80	220	86	62	0.99	47%	-0.1	47	6.63%	1.3	1.4	70	1.7
20	Apr_28_2020	239.57	197.65	209.37	211.26	212.06	213.4	218.66(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	60	47	44	1.2	47%	-0.15	42.6	6.62%	1.9	1.2	74	1.2

21	Apr_27_2020	239.93	195.66	207.92	207.88	209.7	209.29	207.99(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	10	-3	24	0.82	47%	-0.23	48.2	6.58%	-0.6	0.7	69	1.4
22	Apr_24_2020	240.49	194.02	207.43	207.89	207.95	210.73	210.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	90	4	47	1.25	47%	-0.11	55.4	6.58%	0.2	0.9	84	0.9
23	Apr_23_2020	240.76	192.82	206.65	208.9	207.91	210.1	210.55(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	60	34	81	0.78	47%	-0.12	70.7	6.58%	0.7	1	79	0.4
24	Apr_22_2020	241.06	191.8	205.64	208.63	208.72	205.17	208.72(3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-120	-2	86	0.73	47%	-0.12	92.2	6.58%	0.8	1	78	0.3
25	Apr_21_2020	241.36	190.19	203.62	207.18	208.59	205.73	201.76(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	-80	-48	72	0.84	47%		99.1	6.57%	-1.5	0.7	65	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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