Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $273.8900 (0.71%) ($273.8900 - $273.8900) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $273.8900(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(67%)    XLI(67%)    DIA(65%)    XHB(65%)    IWN(64%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-51%)    VXX(-21%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $274.39(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $272.13(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $262.71(4.26%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $15.423b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.21% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.46%(48%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(33%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 1.76%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.19%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2020	245.3	262.71	272.13	274.39	273.93	272.93	273.89(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-30	-2	118	1.07	81%	0.15	55.3	2.06%	0.3	1	71	1.1
2	Jan_21_2020	244.93	261.54	270.21	276.13	274.51	272.41	271.97(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-53	-70	-102	95	1.09	81%	0.15	59.5	2.06%	0.2	0.9	71	1.4
3	Jan_17_2020	244.57	260.46	268.28	276.88	277.17	274.92	272.85(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-50	-46	122	0.8	81%	-0.27	59.6	2.1%	0.2	1.1	69	1.9
4	Jan_16_2020	245.23	259.3	266.11	275.74	277.88	276.61	277(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10	-22	126	0.71	81%	-0.23	57.6	2.1%	-1.3	1.7	75	2.2
5	Jan_15_2020	245.79	258.16	263.84	273.03	275.42	279.42	276.22(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	85	130	64	149	1.47	81%	-0.2	56.9	2.1%	-1.1	1.8	73	2

6	Jan_14_2020	246.28	256.74	261.48	269.38	272.24	279.16	282.61(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	280	210	298	224	1.47	87%	-0.2	50.3	2.07%	1.3	2.9	80	2.3
7	Jan_13_2020	246.77	255.15	258.17	263.47	266.07	271.43	275.7(3.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	229	170	249	170	1.89	86%	-0.19	36.8	2.06%	1.2	3.1	78	2.5
8	Jan_10_2020	247.25	254.17	255.76	258.54	260.41	265.32	267.16(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	167	150	184	116	1.45	84%	-0.28	46.6	2.05%	1.4	2.9	73	1.4
9	Jan_9_2020	247.95	253.33	254.09	255.12	256.38	260.71	263.47(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	161	130	183	96	1.57	84%	-0.27	49.3	2.05%	1.2	2.9	71	1.4
10	Jan_8_2020	248.61	252.63	252.89	253.35	253.03	255.51	257.95(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	88	60	101	49	1.12	82%	-0.27	71.6	2.03%	1.5	2.1	51	0.7

11	Jan_7_2020	249.28	252.33	252.33	252.39	252.2	252.05	253.07(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10	38	21	1.15	82%	-0.3	101.1	2.04%	1.2	0.3	57	0.6
12	Jan_6_2020	250.02	252.73	252.09	252.03	252.22	250.54	251.04(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-40	-46	-18	0.88	82%	-0.3	153.8	2.08%	-0.3	-0.7	47	0.6
13	Jan_3_2020	250.76	252.08	252.08	252.47	252.28	252.35	250.05(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-0	-49	-24	0.9	82%	-0.29	120.8	2.11%	-1.4	-0.6	39	0.5
14	Jan_2_2020	251.48	251.63	252.13	252.75	253.08	253.9	254.65(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	30	53	16	1.16	82%	-0.63	84	2.11%	1.9	0.6	54	1.3
15	Dec_31_2019	253.07	250.81	252.19	252.32	252.28	252.2	253.15(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-0	1	-2	0.77	86%	-0.34	68.8	2.11%	0.4	0.4	54	0.9

16	Dec_30_2019	253.93	250.03	251.81	252.3	252.12	252.26	251.25(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	0	-7	-8	0.65	86%	-0.38	67.4	2.24%	-0.3	0.2	49	0.4
17	Dec_27_2019	254.9	249.24	252.02	252.15	252.56	252.35	253.26(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	13	-0	19	-7	0.74	86%	-0.4	63.8	2.26%	0.4	0.5	40	0.9
18	Dec_26_2019	255.92	248.32	252.51	251.64	251.87	251.98	251.44(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	10	-14	-2	0.78	86%	-0.69	61.4	2.3%	0.4	0.4	63	1.2
19	Dec_24_2019	257.7	247.59	252.55	251.37	251.69	252.77	252.51(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	27	25	0.53	86%	-0.3	53.4	2.29%	-2.4	0.6	61	1.3
20	Dec_23_2019	258.48	246.58	252.36	252.07	251.09	251.77	253.03(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	10	19	39	0.99	86%	-0.33	46.5	2.29%	1.7	0.7	62	1.2

21	Dec_20_2019	259.33	245.42	252.3	251.29	251.83	250.6	250.51(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-30	7	45	1.98	86%	-0.37	33.8	2.34%	0.1	0.5	62	1.5
22	Dec_19_2019	260.29	244.37	253.4	251.88	251.48	250.4	250.69(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-42	-30	-71	45	1.12	86%	-0.38	27.7	2.34%	-0.5	0.6	63	1.8
23	Dec_18_2019	261.29	243.56	252.14	253.53	252.18	253.05	250.11(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	10	-19	80	1.31	86%	-0.38	27.9	2.34%	-1.1	0.6	63	1.7
24	Dec_17_2019	262.28	243.01	251.23	253.84	254.39	252.56	255.99(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	-40	44	113	1.04	86%	-0.35	27.5	2.33%	1	1.3	65	2.1
25	Dec_16_2019	263.19	242.34	249.42	252.72	253.31	251.32	249.13(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-50	-2	96	1	84%		26.9	2.35%	-1.9	0.7	65	2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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