Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $237.9600 (-2.83%) ($235.0200 - $244.7500) on Fri. Jan. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $237.9600(-2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(59%)    XLI(58%)    XRT(57%)    IWD(56%)    IWM(56%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $236.25(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $231.72(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $226.29(5.16%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   25.1%
Market Cap   $13.4b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.77% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2018	216.75	226.29	231.72	236.25			237.96(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	9	83	1.81	59%	-0.02	49.9	2.4%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Jan_4_2018	216.79	225.5	230.5	233.72			244.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	14	84	1.25	61%	0.01	43.9	2.37%	0	2.4	84	0
3	Jan_3_2018	216.77	224.34	228.61	229.88			245.12(6.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	29	-10000	14	73	1.98	61%	0.04	42.4	2.39%	0	3.1	84	0
4	Jan_2_2018	216.69	223.06	226.22	226.19			229.63(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	3	58	0.97	57%	-0.25	55.5	2.24%	0	1.5	73	0
5	Dec_29_2017	217.24	222.22	225.12	225.52			223.66(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-4	45	0.67	55%	-0.11	52.4	2.22%	0	0.3	48	0

6	Dec_28_2017	217.47	222.12	224.56	226.5			225.33(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-1	50	0.5	55%	-0.13	68.3	2.22%	0	0.7	55	0
7	Dec_27_2017	217.76	221.98	223.62	226.63			225.65(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-1	43	0.52	58%	-0.11	84.4	2.22%	0	0.8	53	0
8	Dec_26_2017	218.01	221.56	222.59	227			226.68(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	3	37	1.38	58%	-0.25	95.2	2.28%	0	1.1	53	0
9	Dec_22_2017	218.56	220.6	221.55	226.19			226.27(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	6	28	1.23	58%	-0.11	66.4	2.26%	0	1	56	0
10	Dec_21_2017	218.81	219.83	221.28	224.59			228.57(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	9	32	1.45	58%	-0.09	62.8	2.25%	0	1.5	69	0

11	Dec_20_2017	219.01	219	220.49	222.31			226(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	9	16	0.9	58%	-0.14	64.1	2.26%	0	1.3	54	0
12	Dec_19_2017	219.31	218.2	220.11	220.12			227.47(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	10	2	1.16	58%	-0.1	62	2.26%	0	1.7	53	0
13	Dec_18_2017	219.54	217.28	219.63	217.6			222.66(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	5	-9	0.81	58%	-0.12	60	2.25%	0	1	56	0
14	Dec_15_2017	219.81	216.88	219.47	216.29			218.25(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-6	1.75	58%	-0.14	68	2.24%	0	0.3	63	0
15	Dec_14_2017	220.12	216.31	218.99	217.55			217.17(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.39	58%	-0.14	74.9	2.24%	0	0.1	58	0

16	Dec_13_2017	220.43	215.53	219.44	218.43			215.03(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-7	21	1.07	58%	-0.19	71.2	2.24%	0	-0.1	54	0
17	Dec_12_2017	220.85	214.82	220.27	220.06			214.87(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-7	47	1.86	58%	-0.17	70.7	2.24%	0	0	56	0
18	Dec_11_2017	221.22	214.06	220.59	221.88			216.14(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-4	72	1.14	58%	-0.17	69.5	2.24%	0	0.2	58	0
19	Dec_8_2017	221.6	213.34	219.83	222.98			224.54(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	10	79	1.47	61%	-0.14	69.8	2.19%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Dec_7_2017	221.91	212.08	218.45	220.58			221.59(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	-0	65	1.04	61%	-0.16	60.4	2.2%	0	1.1	63	0

21	Dec_6_2017	222.27	210.82	217.53	220.61			223.14(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	0	81	1.28	61%	-0.16	54.6	2.2%	0	1.3	68	0
22	Dec_5_2017	222.63	209.55	216.22	220.6			223.97(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	6	99	1.57	61%	-0.13	53.8	2.21%	0	1.6	69	0
23	Dec_4_2017	222.93	208.37	214.71	219.22			221.64(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	12	107	2.66	61%	-0.18	53.1	2.21%	0	1.6	69	0
24	Dec_1_2017	223.34	207.35	213.96	216.23			212.58(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-10000	2	103	6.69	58%	-0.2	47.9	2.16%	0	0.7	62	0
25	Nov_30_2017	223.79	206.85	213.39	215.79			221.71(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	8	115	2.72	66%		48.7	2.13%	0	1.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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