Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $239.8600 (-2.46%) ($239.4400 - $248.1400) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $239.8600(-2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWD(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $247.2
5 Day Moving Average   $247.48(-3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $252.19(-4.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $247.2(-2.97%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $13.507b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.8% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2016	249.49	247.2	252.19	247.48			239.86(-2.46%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-7	-10000	-11	5	0.81	51%	0	20.5	2.03%	0	-0.8	55	0
2	Oct_26_2016	249.48	247.16	254.83	250.39			245.92(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-8	53	0.62	54%	0.03	28.9	2.01%	0	-0.1	57	0
3	Oct_25_2016	249.41	246.91	254.41	252.5			246.99(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-7	73	0.78	54%	0.04	36	2.01%	0	0	63	0
4	Oct_24_2016	249.31	246.76	253.65	254.31			252.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-5	87	0.72	57%	0.06	46.1	2%	0	0.6	63	0
5	Oct_21_2016	249.15	246.04	252.6	255.6			252.36(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-8	100	0.52	57%	0.06	51.8	2%	0	0.7	64	0

6	Oct_20_2016	249	245.28	251.4	257.68			254.43(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-9	119	0.41	57%	0.07	60.5	2%	0	1	65	0
7	Oct_19_2016	248.82	244.46	250.17	260.02			256.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	49	-10000	14	154	0.48	57%	0.1	72.5	2%	0	1.3	68	0
8	Oct_18_2016	248.58	243.57	248.14	256.52			256.04(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10000	15	128	0.71	57%	0.03	64.9	2%	0	1.4	63	0
9	Oct_17_2016	248.5	242.41	246.38	252.65			258.72(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	15	97	1.2	57%	0.1	53.6	2%	0	1.8	61	0
10	Oct_14_2016	248.24	241.14	244.19	248.98			262.75(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	33	-10000	19	75	1.7	58%	0.2	41.4	1.99%	0	2.7	69	0

11	Oct_13_2016	247.74	239.61	241.54	244.24			266.14(11.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	27	-10000	21	44	4.77	58%	0.22	28	1.99%	0	4	72	0
12	Oct_12_2016	247.19	237.83	238.38	239.33			238.97(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	4	2	0.56	45%	0.14	0	1.42%	0	0.4	51	0
13	Oct_11_2016	246.85	237.74	238.48	238.65			236.66(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-2	-6	0.61	45%	0.13	-23.4	1.41%	0	-0.4	46	0
14	Oct_10_2016	246.54	237.75	239.15	239.03			240.36(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	3	16	0.43	47%	0.13	-39	1.4%	0	0.9	61	0
15	Oct_7_2016	246.22	237.81	238.89	238.48			239.07(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	15	0.61	47%	0.13	-51.7	1.41%	0	0.5	57	0

16	Oct_6_2016	245.9	237.78	238.7	238.26			241.57(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	5	20	1.29	47%	0.15	-59.8	1.41%	0	1.3	61	0
17	Oct_5_2016	245.54	237.83	238.35	237.37			235.6(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-6	17	0.6	43%	0.13	-64.4	1.38%	0	-0.6	56	0
18	Oct_4_2016	245.22	238.35	238.79	238.29			238.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-6	31	0.81	43%	0.13	-46.3	1.37%	0	0	52	0
19	Oct_3_2016	244.91	238.85	238.31	239.31			237.6(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	-0	39	0.61	43%	0.13	-44.1	1.38%	0	-0.3	52	0
20	Sep_30_2016	244.58	239.26	238.05	239.35			237.98(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	1	27	0.62	43%	0.13	-49.2	1.38%	0	-0.3	43	0

21	Sep_29_2016	244.27	239.61	237.67	239.16			237.12(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	17	0.59	46%	0.14	-73.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	48	0
22	Sep_28_2016	243.92	240.09	237.31	239.41			240.2(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	3	0.72	46%	0.14	-92.8	1.4%	0	0	45	0
23	Sep_27_2016	243.59	240.31	236.98	239.32			243.66(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	8	-10000	13	-9	1.29	46%	0.15	-118.5	1.39%	0	0.7	44	0
24	Sep_26_2016	243.23	240.74	236.21	237.23			237.81(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	4	-55	0.54	42%	0.12	-125.1	1.38%	0	-0.5	33	0
25	Sep_23_2016	242.94	241.54	236.58	236.58			237.01(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	4	-69	0.48	45%		-128.9	1.38%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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