Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $256.4500 (0.16%) ($252.8400 - $256.6700) on Wed. Oct. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $256.4500(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWD(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $260.02(-1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $250.17(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $244.46(4.9%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $14.441b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.85% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2016	248.82	244.46	250.17	260.02			256.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	49	-10000	14	154	0.48	57%	0.1	72.5	2%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Oct_18_2016	248.58	243.57	248.14	256.52			256.04(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10000	15	128	0.71	57%	0.03	64.9	2%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Oct_17_2016	248.5	242.41	246.38	252.65			258.72(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	15	97	1.2	57%	0.1	53.6	2%	0	1.8	61	0
4	Oct_14_2016	248.24	241.14	244.19	248.98			262.75(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	33	-10000	19	75	1.7	58%	0.2	41.4	1.99%	0	2.7	69	0
5	Oct_13_2016	247.74	239.61	241.54	244.24			266.14(11.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	27	-10000	21	44	4.77	58%	0.22	28	1.99%	0	4	72	0

6	Oct_12_2016	247.19	237.83	238.38	239.33			238.97(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	4	2	0.56	45%	0.14	0	1.42%	0	0.4	51	0
7	Oct_11_2016	246.85	237.74	238.48	238.65			236.66(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-2	-6	0.61	45%	0.13	-23.4	1.41%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Oct_10_2016	246.54	237.75	239.15	239.03			240.36(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	3	16	0.43	47%	0.13	-39	1.4%	0	0.9	61	0
9	Oct_7_2016	246.22	237.81	238.89	238.48			239.07(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	1	15	0.61	47%	0.13	-51.7	1.41%	0	0.5	57	0
10	Oct_6_2016	245.9	237.78	238.7	238.26			241.57(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	5	20	1.29	47%	0.15	-59.8	1.41%	0	1.3	61	0

11	Oct_5_2016	245.54	237.83	238.35	237.37			235.6(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-6	17	0.6	43%	0.13	-64.4	1.38%	0	-0.6	56	0
12	Oct_4_2016	245.22	238.35	238.79	238.29			238.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-6	31	0.81	43%	0.13	-46.3	1.37%	0	0	52	0
13	Oct_3_2016	244.91	238.85	238.31	239.31			237.6(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	-0	39	0.61	43%	0.13	-44.1	1.38%	0	-0.3	52	0
14	Sep_30_2016	244.58	239.26	238.05	239.35			237.98(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	1	27	0.62	43%	0.13	-49.2	1.38%	0	-0.3	43	0
15	Sep_29_2016	244.27	239.61	237.67	239.16			237.12(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	17	0.59	46%	0.14	-73.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	48	0

16	Sep_28_2016	243.92	240.09	237.31	239.41			240.2(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	3	0.72	46%	0.14	-92.8	1.4%	0	0	45	0
17	Sep_27_2016	243.59	240.31	236.98	239.32			243.66(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	8	-10000	13	-9	1.29	46%	0.15	-118.5	1.39%	0	0.7	44	0
18	Sep_26_2016	243.23	240.74	236.21	237.23			237.81(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	4	-55	0.54	42%	0.12	-125.1	1.38%	0	-0.5	33	0
19	Sep_23_2016	242.94	241.54	236.58	236.58			237.01(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	4	-69	0.48	45%	0.13	-128.9	1.38%	0	-0.7	38	0
20	Sep_22_2016	242.62	243.13	236.73	235.93			238.38(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	7	-86	0.69	45%	0.12	-96	1.4%	0	-0.5	41	0

21	Sep_21_2016	242.33	244.79	237.16	234.85			239.74(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	3	-105	1.16	45%	0.12	-78.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	40	0
22	Sep_20_2016	242.03	246.47	237.74	234.36			233.2(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0.61	40%	0.1	-66.4	1.35%	0	-1	35	0
23	Sep_19_2016	241.8	248.3	239.33	235.07			234.55(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.69	40%	0.11	-61.8	1.36%	0	-1	28	0
24	Sep_16_2016	241.53	250.25	240.51	236.64			233.79(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-118	1.35	40%	0.11	-54.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	26	0
25	Sep_15_2016	241.26	252.13	241.72	237.63			232.99(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-13	-153	1.48	40%		-51	1.36%	0	-1.4	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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