Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $241.5700 (2.53%) ($235.1000 - $242.7000) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $241.5700(2.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWD(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $238.26(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $238.7(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $237.78(1.59%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $13.603b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2016	245.9	237.78	238.7	238.26			241.57(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	5	20	1.29	47%	0.15	-59.8	1.41%	0	1.3	61	0
2	Oct_5_2016	245.54	237.83	238.35	237.37			235.6(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-6	17	0.6	43%	0.13	-64.4	1.38%	0	-0.6	56	0
3	Oct_4_2016	245.22	238.35	238.79	238.29			238.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-6	31	0.81	43%	0.13	-46.3	1.37%	0	0	52	0
4	Oct_3_2016	244.91	238.85	238.31	239.31			237.6(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	-0	39	0.61	43%	0.13	-44.1	1.38%	0	-0.3	52	0
5	Sep_30_2016	244.58	239.26	238.05	239.35			237.98(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	1	27	0.62	43%	0.13	-49.2	1.38%	0	-0.3	43	0

6	Sep_29_2016	244.27	239.61	237.67	239.16			237.12(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	17	0.59	46%	0.14	-73.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	48	0
7	Sep_28_2016	243.92	240.09	237.31	239.41			240.2(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	3	0.72	46%	0.14	-92.8	1.4%	0	0	45	0
8	Sep_27_2016	243.59	240.31	236.98	239.32			243.66(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	8	-10000	13	-9	1.29	46%	0.15	-118.5	1.39%	0	0.7	44	0
9	Sep_26_2016	243.23	240.74	236.21	237.23			237.81(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	4	-55	0.54	42%	0.12	-125.1	1.38%	0	-0.5	33	0
10	Sep_23_2016	242.94	241.54	236.58	236.58			237.01(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	4	-69	0.48	45%	0.13	-128.9	1.38%	0	-0.7	38	0

11	Sep_22_2016	242.62	243.13	236.73	235.93			238.38(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	7	-86	0.69	45%	0.12	-96	1.4%	0	-0.5	41	0
12	Sep_21_2016	242.33	244.79	237.16	234.85			239.74(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	3	-105	1.16	45%	0.12	-78.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	40	0
13	Sep_20_2016	242.03	246.47	237.74	234.36			233.2(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0.61	40%	0.1	-66.4	1.35%	0	-1	35	0
14	Sep_19_2016	241.8	248.3	239.33	235.07			234.55(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.69	40%	0.11	-61.8	1.36%	0	-1	28	0
15	Sep_16_2016	241.53	250.25	240.51	236.64			233.79(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-118	1.35	40%	0.11	-54.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	26	0

16	Sep_15_2016	241.26	252.13	241.72	237.63			232.99(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-13	-153	1.48	40%	0.09	-51	1.36%	0	-1.4	18	0
17	Sep_14_2016	241.05	253.82	243.2	239.74			237.27(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-10000	-12	-178	0.58	42%	0.12	-48.6	1.34%	0	-1.2	18	0
18	Sep_13_2016	240.75	255.29	244.03	241.64			236.76(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-10000	-16	-211	0.86	42%	0.12	-45.6	1.34%	0	-1.4	17	0
19	Sep_12_2016	240.45	256.86	245.76	244.21			242.39(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-10000	-5	-214	1.26	46%	0.16	-40.7	1.32%	0	-1.1	26	0
20	Sep_9_2016	240.07	258.12	246.96	245.03			238.73(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-67	-10000	-8	-245	1.31	43%	0.14	-39.1	1.3%	0	-1.6	20	0

21	Sep_8_2016	239.74	259.56	250.09	246.39			243.57(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-10000	-5	-237	0.94	46%	0.17	-37.1	1.28%	0	-1.4	26	0
22	Sep_7_2016	239.34	260.61	252.98	247.11			246.74(-1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-53	-10000	2	-219	0.61	49%	0.18	-36.1	1.27%	0	-1.3	36	0
23	Sep_6_2016	238.9	261.45	255.76	246.76			249.64(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-58	-10000	-6	-214	0.86	49%	0.33	-37	1.26%	0	-1.1	37	0
24	Sep_2_2016	238.12	262.11	257.8	247.65			246.46(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-10000	-11	-206	0.75	46%	0.17	-37	1.25%	0	-1.6	33	0
25	Sep_1_2016	237.71	263	260.6	249.33			245.52(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-10000	-33	-191	0.68	46%		-34.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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