Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $237.1200 (-1.28%) ($236.8900 - $240.3950) on Thu. Sep. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $237.1200(-1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWD(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    BOTZ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $239.61
5 Day Moving Average   $239.16(-0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $237.67(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $239.61(-1.04%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $13.353b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2016	244.27	239.61	237.67	239.16			237.12(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	17	0.59	46%	0.14	-73.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	48	0
2	Sep_28_2016	243.92	240.09	237.31	239.41			240.2(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	3	0.72	46%	0.14	-92.8	1.4%	0	0	45	0
3	Sep_27_2016	243.59	240.31	236.98	239.32			243.66(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	8	-10000	13	-9	1.29	46%	0.15	-118.5	1.39%	0	0.7	44	0
4	Sep_26_2016	243.23	240.74	236.21	237.23			237.81(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	4	-55	0.54	42%	0.12	-125.1	1.38%	0	-0.5	33	0
5	Sep_23_2016	242.94	241.54	236.58	236.58			237.01(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	4	-69	0.48	45%	0.13	-128.9	1.38%	0	-0.7	38	0

6	Sep_22_2016	242.62	243.13	236.73	235.93			238.38(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	7	-86	0.69	45%	0.12	-96	1.4%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	Sep_21_2016	242.33	244.79	237.16	234.85			239.74(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	3	-105	1.16	45%	0.12	-78.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	40	0
8	Sep_20_2016	242.03	246.47	237.74	234.36			233.2(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0.61	40%	0.1	-66.4	1.35%	0	-1	35	0
9	Sep_19_2016	241.8	248.3	239.33	235.07			234.55(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.69	40%	0.11	-61.8	1.36%	0	-1	28	0
10	Sep_16_2016	241.53	250.25	240.51	236.64			233.79(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-118	1.35	40%	0.11	-54.4	1.36%	0	-1.2	26	0

11	Sep_15_2016	241.26	252.13	241.72	237.63			232.99(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-13	-153	1.48	40%	0.09	-51	1.36%	0	-1.4	18	0
12	Sep_14_2016	241.05	253.82	243.2	239.74			237.27(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-10000	-12	-178	0.58	42%	0.12	-48.6	1.34%	0	-1.2	18	0
13	Sep_13_2016	240.75	255.29	244.03	241.64			236.76(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-10000	-16	-211	0.86	42%	0.12	-45.6	1.34%	0	-1.4	17	0
14	Sep_12_2016	240.45	256.86	245.76	244.21			242.39(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-10000	-5	-214	1.26	46%	0.16	-40.7	1.32%	0	-1.1	26	0
15	Sep_9_2016	240.07	258.12	246.96	245.03			238.73(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-67	-10000	-8	-245	1.31	43%	0.14	-39.1	1.3%	0	-1.6	20	0

16	Sep_8_2016	239.74	259.56	250.09	246.39			243.57(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-10000	-5	-237	0.94	46%	0.17	-37.1	1.28%	0	-1.4	26	0
17	Sep_7_2016	239.34	260.61	252.98	247.11			246.74(-1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-53	-10000	2	-219	0.61	49%	0.18	-36.1	1.27%	0	-1.3	36	0
18	Sep_6_2016	238.9	261.45	255.76	246.76			249.64(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-58	-10000	-6	-214	0.86	49%	0.33	-37	1.26%	0	-1.1	37	0
19	Sep_2_2016	238.12	262.11	257.8	247.65			246.46(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-10000	-11	-206	0.75	46%	0.17	-37	1.25%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Sep_1_2016	237.71	263	260.6	249.33			245.52(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-10000	-33	-191	0.68	46%	0.16	-34.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	32	0

21	Aug_31_2016	237.32	263.87	263.3	254.51			247.21(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-10000	-33	-133	1.55	46%	0.18	-20.9	1.25%	0	-2	35	0
22	Aug_30_2016	236.89	264.58	265.34	259.87			244.97(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-48	-10000	-37	-79	1.86	46%	0.19	-2.5	1.25%	0	-2.6	36	0
23	Aug_29_2016	236.45	265.34	267.68	266.05			254.09(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-17	-10000	-21	-5	1.25	55%	0.23	23.5	1.17%	0	-1.8	45	0
24	Aug_26_2016	235.91	265.75	269.14	269.37			254.85(-6.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-7	-10000	-18	28	5.83	70%	0.26	42.2	1.61%	0	-1.9	47	0
25	Aug_25_2016	235.3	266.15	270.54	273.31			271.45(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	-0	84	2.18	92%		68.6	1.4%	0	1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.