Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $166.1100 (3.14%) ($161.1501 - $167.3800) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $166.1100(3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWN(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    XLRE(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $163.27(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $164.42(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $165.19(0.56%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $9.354b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2015	162.42	165.19	164.42	163.27			166.11(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.74	49%	0.06	-24.5	1.62%	0	0.4	53	0
2	Oct_15_2015	162.32	165.23	164.35	163.21			161.06(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.7	46%	0.04	-21.3	1.57%	0	-1.6	36	0
3	Oct_14_2015	162.26	165.6	164.84	163.78			159.26(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0.62	46%	0.06	-9.7	1.57%	0	-2.7	36	0
4	Oct_13_2015	162.17	165.91	165.33	164.94			163.85(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.45	51%	0.01	7.7	1.53%	0	-1.1	41	0
5	Oct_12_2015	162.15	165.95	165.17	165.35			166.07(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.56	51%	0.09	11.7	1.55%	0	0.1	51	0

6	Oct_9_2015	162	165.81	165	165.75			165.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.49	53%	0.09	29.8	1.56%	0	-0	44	0
7	Oct_8_2015	161.86	165.78	165.28	165.74			163.94(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.6	53%	0.08	43.8	1.56%	0	-0.9	44	0
8	Oct_7_2015	161.73	165.84	165.67	166.07			165.05(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	3	-15	0.96	54%	0.08	62.3	1.56%	0	-0.4	44	0
9	Oct_6_2015	161.6	165.77	165.96	165.73			165.91(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	6	-11	0.72	54%	0.09	79.7	1.57%	0	0.1	53	0
10	Oct_5_2015	161.45	165.71	165.95	164.89			168.04(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	6	-18	1.01	54%	0.11	81	1.56%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Oct_2_2015	161.28	165.22	165.97	164.15			165.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0.93	54%	0.11	55	1.56%	0	0.2	57	0
12	Oct_1_2015	161.11	164.91	166.11	164.83			165.59(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-8	0.83	54%	0.08	53.9	1.57%	0	0.2	52	0
13	Sep_30_2015	160.98	164.58	166.35	165.32			163.35(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-7	4	0.75	54%	0.07	54.5	1.56%	0	-0.4	49	0
14	Sep_29_2015	160.87	164.17	166.54	166.27			161.71(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-6	20	0.82	52%	0.04	52.5	1.56%	0	-0.6	49	0
15	Sep_28_2015	160.8	164.03	166.86	167.08			164.36(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-7	29	0.95	53%	0.07	55.7	1.58%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Sep_25_2015	160.69	163.78	166.79	167.95			169.15(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	57	0.77	58%	0.09	56.7	1.56%	0	1.2	74	0
17	Sep_24_2015	160.54	163.32	166.37	167.56			168.01(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	-0	65	0.54	58%	0.11	44.3	1.56%	0	1.1	69	0
18	Sep_23_2015	160.37	162.82	166.04	167.59			168.1(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	83	0.56	58%	0.09	29	1.56%	0	1.3	69	0
19	Sep_22_2015	160.23	162.1	165.57	166.91			165.78(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	3	97	0.59	58%	0.08	2.6	1.55%	0	0.8	73	0
20	Sep_21_2015	160.1	161.74	165.46	166.57			168.69(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	9	113	0.79	60%	0.09	-12.6	1.53%	0	1.6	67	0

21	Sep_18_2015	159.96	161.39	164.4	165.43			167.23(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	3	94	1.58	59%	0.11	-30.6	1.54%	0	1.4	63	0
22	Sep_17_2015	159.79	161.5	163.59	165			168.14(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	5	88	1.04	59%	0.1	-29.1	1.54%	0	1.5	62	0
23	Sep_16_2015	159.63	161.63	162.62	164.33			164.72(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	83	0.5	57%	0.07	-25.6	1.52%	0	0.6	62	0
24	Sep_15_2015	159.52	161.98	161.58	164.07			164.06(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	-1	81	0.77	57%	0.05	-20.5	1.52%	0	0.4	67	0
25	Sep_14_2015	159.44	162.28	160.98	164.18			163(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	9	87	0.66	57%		-16.7	1.52%	0	0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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