Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $163.3500 (1.01%) ($162.3540 - $165.9300) on Wed. Sep. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $163.3500(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWN(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $164.58
5 Day Moving Average   $165.32(-1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166.35(-1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.58(-0.75%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $9.199b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2015	160.98	164.58	166.35	165.32			163.35(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-7	4	0.75	54%	0.07	54.5	1.56%	0	-0.4	49	0
2	Sep_29_2015	160.87	164.17	166.54	166.27			161.71(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-6	20	0.82	52%	0.04	52.5	1.56%	0	-0.6	49	0
3	Sep_28_2015	160.8	164.03	166.86	167.08			164.36(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-7	29	0.95	53%	0.07	55.7	1.58%	0	0.1	51	0
4	Sep_25_2015	160.69	163.78	166.79	167.95			169.15(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	57	0.77	58%	0.09	56.7	1.56%	0	1.2	74	0
5	Sep_24_2015	160.54	163.32	166.37	167.56			168.01(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	-0	65	0.54	58%	0.11	44.3	1.56%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Sep_23_2015	160.37	162.82	166.04	167.59			168.1(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	83	0.56	58%	0.09	29	1.56%	0	1.3	69	0
7	Sep_22_2015	160.23	162.1	165.57	166.91			165.78(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	3	97	0.59	58%	0.08	2.6	1.55%	0	0.8	73	0
8	Sep_21_2015	160.1	161.74	165.46	166.57			168.69(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	9	113	0.79	60%	0.09	-12.6	1.53%	0	1.6	67	0
9	Sep_18_2015	159.96	161.39	164.4	165.43			167.23(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	3	94	1.58	59%	0.11	-30.6	1.54%	0	1.4	63	0
10	Sep_17_2015	159.79	161.5	163.59	165			168.14(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	5	88	1.04	59%	0.1	-29.1	1.54%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Sep_16_2015	159.63	161.63	162.62	164.33			164.72(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	83	0.5	57%	0.07	-25.6	1.52%	0	0.6	62	0
12	Sep_15_2015	159.52	161.98	161.58	164.07			164.06(0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	-1	81	0.77	57%	0.05	-20.5	1.52%	0	0.4	67	0
13	Sep_14_2015	159.44	162.28	160.98	164.18			163(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	9	87	0.66	57%	0.04	-16.7	1.52%	0	0.1	56	0
14	Sep_11_2015	159.38	162.64	160.57	163.12			165.06(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	10	67	0.63	57%	0.06	-16.8	1.51%	0	0.4	52	0
15	Sep_10_2015	159.29	162.8	160.04	161.89			164.83(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	10	25	1.37	57%	0.07	-19	1.51%	0	0.3	42	0

16	Sep_9_2015	159.18	162.88	159.32	160.63			163.4(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-10000	16	-22	1.42	57%	0.06	-24.5	1.51%	0	0.1	39	0
17	Sep_8_2015	159.08	163.1	158.31	158.7			164.61(4.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-16	-10000	11	-96	1.16	55%	0.13	-30.2	1.5%	0	0.2	39	0
18	Sep_4_2015	158.87	163.26	157.64	157.4			157.7(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-10000	-2	-158	0.6	51%	0.02	-34.1	1.41%	0	-0.9	34	0
19	Sep_3_2015	158.84	163.68	158.08	157.66			158.93(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-2	-176	0.95	52%	0.04	-34.5	1.41%	0	-0.8	35	0
20	Sep_2_2015	158.78	163.99	159.17	157.92			158.51(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	-10000	1	-169	1.04	52%	0.03	-35.5	1.42%	0	-0.9	38	0

21	Sep_1_2015	158.73	164.44	160.46	157.83			153.76(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-41	-10000	1	-167	1.28	49%	0.01	-36.7	1.36%	0	-1.8	35	0
22	Aug_31_2015	158.72	165.06	162.38	157.73			158.09(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-1	-164	1.12	52%	0.04	-41.9	1.32%	0	-1.3	37	0
23	Aug_28_2015	158.65	165.47	163.68	157.85			159(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-45	-10000	-7	-157	2.92	49%	0.04	-44.5	1.35%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Aug_27_2015	158.58	165.85	164.88	158.57			160.24(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-50	-10000	-20	-141	2.45	52%	0.05	-46.2	1.35%	0	-1.1	45	0
25	Aug_26_2015	158.5	166.21	165.8	160.78			158.05(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-25	-100	1.79	51%		-38	1.4%	0	-1.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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