Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $153.8400 (1.18%) ($151.0100 - $154.8700) on Thu. May. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $153.8400(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $153.49(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.73(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.53(0.2%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $8.663b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2015	141.48	153.53	153.73	153.49			153.84(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	7	-0	0.5	70%	0.17	20.2	1.03%	0	0.2	56	0
2	May_6_2015	141.24	153.43	154.01	152.94			152.04(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	0.63	68%	0.18	13.8	1.03%	0	-0.8	45	0
3	May_5_2015	140.98	153.45	154.23	152.9			153.47(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-5	0.58	68%	0.18	16.2	1.02%	0	0	50	0
4	May_4_2015	140.72	153.36	154.2	153.1			153.85(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-4	0.51	68%	0.19	19.6	1.02%	0	0.3	52	0
5	May_1_2015	140.46	153.33	154	153.51			154.27(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-5	-10000	-7	3	0.48	71%	0.19	30.7	1.06%	0	0.5	57	0

6	Apr_30_2015	140.2	153.19	153.8	154.08			151.09(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-7	-10000	-14	13	0.64	63%	0.19	43.1	1.05%	0	-1.2	51	0
7	Apr_29_2015	139.93	153.21	154.14	155.26			151.83(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	9	-10000	-5	49	0.56	63%	0.18	60.7	1.07%	0	-0.8	53	0
8	Apr_28_2015	139.68	153.18	154.34	155.68			154.47(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	4	68	0.76	64%	0.21	59.2	1.05%	0	0.7	59	0
9	Apr_27_2015	139.39	153.03	154.25	155.38			155.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	11	72	0.46	64%	0.19	50.8	1.06%	0	1.6	68	0
10	Apr_24_2015	139.12	152.79	153.86	154.51			157.08(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	13	53	0.75	64%	0.24	38.6	1.04%	0	2.5	62	0

11	Apr_23_2015	138.79	152.42	153.3	153.51			156.99(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	13	-10000	7	31	0.82	67%	0.24	19	1.05%	0	3	67	0
12	Apr_22_2015	138.46	152.13	152.75	152.94			153.94(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	1	20	0.53	68%	0.25	13.9	1.05%	0	1.7	62	0
13	Apr_21_2015	138.12	152.13	152.56	152.87			152.97(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-1	22	0.52	68%	0.21	26.8	1.12%	0	0.8	60	0
14	Apr_20_2015	137.83	152.1	152.42	152.97			151.59(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-1	24	0.6	64%	0.2	41.7	1.12%	0	-0.5	51	0
15	Apr_17_2015	137.56	152.13	152.59	153.05			152.05(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	9	-10000	1	33	0.69	64%	0.11	52.1	1.15%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	Apr_16_2015	137.41	152.14	152.53	152.98			154.16(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	5	38	0.44	69%	0.22	83.1	1.14%	0	1.9	70	0
17	Apr_15_2015	137.11	151.97	152.21	152.51			153.56(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	3	26	0.87	69%	0.21	116.7	1.17%	0	1.6	58	0
18	Apr_14_2015	136.82	151.82	151.93	152.23			153.49(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	5	13	0.79	69%	0.21	158.5	1.18%	0	1.7	47	0
19	Apr_13_2015	136.54	151.65	151.73	151.82			152(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-3	-2	0.54	69%	0.19	198.4	1.18%	0	0.4	45	0
20	Apr_10_2015	136.28	151.56	151.65	152.07			151.68(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	1	1	0.3	69%	0.19	247.8	1.19%	0	0.1	49	0

21	Apr_9_2015	136.02	151.25	151.5	152			151.8(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	2	-6	0.37	69%	0.19	151.7	1.2%	0	0.3	48	0
22	Apr_8_2015	135.76	150.81	151.47	151.84			152.17(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	3	-7	0.46	69%	0.21	103.9	1.21%	0	0.5	55	0
23	Apr_7_2015	135.48	150.27	151.6	151.58			151.45(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	-10000	-0	-3	0.55	72%	0.21	77.4	1.21%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Apr_6_2015	135.19	149.78	151.76	151.6			153.27(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	7	0.7	72%	0.32	65	1.24%	0	0.9	62	0
25	Apr_2_2015	134.76	149.09	151.61	151.19			151.33(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	3	5	0.69	71%		50.5	1.23%	0	0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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