Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $125.7400 (0.85%) ($123.6000 - $126.0500) on Thu. Dec. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $125.7400(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.67(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.54(0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.81(0.75%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   29.9%
Market Cap   $7.081b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2014	109.79	124.81	125.54	124.67			125.74(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-1	-10000	-0	-3	1.61	100%	0.34	61.4	2.61%	0	0.5	57	0
2	Dec_3_2014	109.42	124.48	125.68	124.69			124.68(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-1	0	0.99	100%	0.31	44	2.61%	0	0.1	50	0
3	Dec_2_2014	109.08	124.28	125.72	124.89			122(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-6	5	0.88	100%	0.29	41.9	2.6%	0	-1	53	0
4	Dec_1_2014	108.77	124.21	126	125.84			124.46(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-4	16	0.69	100%	0.3	55	2.58%	0	0.1	53	0
5	Nov_28_2014	108.44	124.04	125.97	126.43			126.49(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-10000	-1	27	0.22	100%	0.44	65.7	2.58%	0	0.9	67	0

6	Nov_26_2014	107.96	123.74	125.73	126.54			125.8(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-2	32	0.35	100%	0.29	72.9	2.56%	0	0.8	64	0
7	Nov_25_2014	107.65	123.53	125.65	126.83			125.7(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	1	48	0.62	100%	0.27	83.8	2.56%	0	0.8	72	0
8	Nov_24_2014	107.36	123.29	125.33	126.67			126.77(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	3	52	1.1	100%	0.19	80.5	2.55%	0	1.2	68	0
9	Nov_21_2014	107.16	122.85	125.06	126.15			127.38(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	4	55	0.74	100%	0.29	70.2	2.55%	0	1.6	70	0
10	Nov_20_2014	106.85	122.35	124.5	125.43			127.04(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	4	51	0.48	100%	0.31	66.2	2.56%	0	1.7	66	0

11	Nov_19_2014	106.52	121.88	123.99	124.8			127.26(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	3	47	1.1	100%	0.32	69.6	2.57%	0	2	67	0
12	Nov_18_2014	106.18	121.39	123.15	124.36			124.88(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	38	0.6	100%	0.32	86.7	2.56%	0	1.4	59	0
13	Nov_17_2014	105.84	121.08	122.68	123.82			124.2(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	0	31	0.79	100%	0.3	100	2.57%	0	1.3	59	0
14	Nov_14_2014	105.52	120.86	122.25	123.79			123.75(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	2	36	0.33	100%	0.31	111.7	2.57%	0	1.2	67	0
15	Nov_13_2014	105.19	120.5	121.95	123.39			123.92(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	0.64	100%	0.31	100.9	2.57%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Nov_12_2014	104.87	120.01	121.6	123.03			125.04(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	43	0.67	93%	0.3	79.3	2.57%	0	1.6	69	0
17	Nov_11_2014	104.56	119.29	121.21	121.75			122.18(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	3	34	0.69	93%	0.27	59.9	2.58%	0	0.9	65	0
18	Nov_10_2014	104.28	118.8	121.08	121.34			124.08(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	5	35	0.63	93%	0.28	53.1	2.57%	0	1.5	65	0
19	Nov_7_2014	103.99	118.25	120.44	120.5			121.75(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	1	21	0.46	93%	0.26	45	2.57%	0	1.1	56	0
20	Nov_6_2014	103.72	117.88	120.02	120.31			122.08(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	2	21	1.07	93%	0.27	41.7	2.57%	0	1.3	66	0

21	Nov_5_2014	103.44	117.5	119.59	120.01			118.66(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-4	24	0.63	93%	0.23	40.1	2.55%	0	0.4	67	0
22	Nov_4_2014	103.2	117.32	119.51	120.59			120.11(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	45	0.96	93%	0.25	43.5	2.55%	0	0.9	78	0
23	Nov_3_2014	102.94	116.98	119.4	120.76			119.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	3	63	0.95	93%	0.24	39.5	2.55%	0	0.9	71	0
24	Oct_31_2014	102.69	116.77	119.38	120.32			120.81(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	73	0.47	93%	0.25	33.6	2.55%	0	1.3	68	0
25	Oct_30_2014	102.43	116.52	118.97	119.63			120.56(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	70	0.48	93%		24.8	2.56%	0	1.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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