Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $116.5700 (2.39%) ($114.7500 - $116.7900) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $116.5700(2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    VT(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $109.98(-5.65%)
5 Day Moving Average   $113.17(3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.88(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.67(0.78%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   29.9%
Market Cap   $6.564b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2014	99.53	115.67	113.88	113.17			116.57(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	3	-34	1.14	92%	0.32	-43.2	2.55%	0	0.3	43	0
2	Oct_16_2014	99.21	115.83	113.79	112.7			113.85(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-1	-47	1.73	92%	0.29	-38.6	2.54%	0	-0.7	34	0
3	Oct_15_2014	98.92	116.05	113.92	112.88			110.28(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-18	-10000	-6	-54	1.67	91%	0.23	-3	2.53%	0	-2.1	18	0
4	Oct_14_2014	98.69	116.49	114.51	113.8			111.96(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-15	-10000	-2	-52	1.27	91%	0.13	50	2.52%	0	-1.9	18	0
5	Oct_13_2014	98.56	116.73	115.12	114.09			113.17(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-4	-46	0.92	91%	0.3	100	2.51%	0	-1.7	44	0

6	Oct_10_2014	98.27	116.82	115.63	114.66			114.22(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-3	-41	0.7	91%	0.31	152	2.52%	0	-1.3	38	0
7	Oct_9_2014	97.97	116.88	116.06	115.05			114.77(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-1	-40	0.75	91%	0.31	87.2	2.53%	0	-0.5	36	0
8	Oct_8_2014	97.67	116.13	116.46	115.16			114.87(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-1	-38	0.69	91%	0.31	64.5	2.53%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Oct_7_2014	97.37	115.34	117	115.35			113.42(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-6	-36	0.86	91%	0.29	54.7	2.53%	0	-0.3	39	0
10	Oct_6_2014	97.09	114.62	117.32	116.3			116(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-10000	-3	-25	0.63	91%	0.29	52.8	2.52%	0	0.2	52	0

11	Oct_3_2014	96.81	113.8	117.61	116.77			116.2(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-12	1.42	91%	0.31	52.3	2.53%	0	0.3	57	0
12	Oct_2_2014	96.51	113.02	118.02	117.26			115.31(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-5	3	0.85	91%	0.3	53	2.54%	0	0.3	54	0
13	Oct_1_2014	96.22	112.29	118.36	117.97			115.83(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-6	49	0.87	91%	0.29	54.6	2.54%	0	0.4	80	0
14	Sep_30_2014	95.94	111.5	118.66	118.88			118.17(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	3	107	0.74	91%	0.3	57.1	2.53%	0	0.7	84	0
15	Sep_29_2014	95.65	110.53	118.49	118.46			118.32(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-10000	-1	140	0.77	91%	0.33	56.5	2.54%	0	0.8	84	0

16	Sep_26_2014	95.34	109.5	118.14	118.58			118.65(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	43	-10000	-2	179	0.73	91%	0.35	56.5	2.54%	0	0.9	81	0
17	Sep_25_2014	95.01	108.46	117.78	118.92			118.86(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	56	-10000	1	222	0.81	91%	0.37	59.1	2.55%	0	1	78	0
18	Sep_24_2014	94.66	107.42	115.83	118.83			120.41(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-10000	3	227	0.96	91%	0.36	60.6	2.55%	0	1.3	80	0
19	Sep_23_2014	94.32	106.25	113.6	118.45			116.05(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	57	-10000	-0	228	1.1	89%	0.3	63.2	2.52%	0	1	78	0
20	Sep_22_2014	94.04	105.3	111.82	118.47			118.92(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	65	-10000	6	240	1.01	89%	0.33	66.5	2.49%	0	1.5	84	0

21	Sep_19_2014	93.73	104.17	109.77	117.57			120.38(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	-10000	8	240	1.46	89%	0.37	70	2.49%	0	1.8	88	0
22	Sep_18_2014	93.38	102.9	107.64	116.47			118.4(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	84	-10000	30	247	0.7	89%	0.34	74.1	2.48%	0	1.9	85	0
23	Sep_17_2014	93.06	101.79	105.7	112.29			118.5(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	75	-10000	33	199	2.03	89%	0.36	69	2.48%	0	2.3	84	0
24	Sep_16_2014	92.73	100.58	103.67	107.94			116.15(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	59	-10000	30	145	1.62	89%	0.32	62.3	2.47%	0	2.5	84	0
25	Sep_15_2014	92.43	99.43	101.78	104.11			114.41(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2	43	-10000	26	95	1.61	89%		53.1	2.47%	0	2.8	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.