Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Sep. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $120.3800 (1.67%) ($119.1600 - $120.8200) on Sun. Sep. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.49% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $120.3800(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.245% (StdDev 2.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.57(2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.77(9.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.17(15.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 8.52% (three month std-dev: 2.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2014	93.73	104.17	109.77	117.57			120.38(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	-10000	8	240	1.46	89%	0.37	70	2.49%	0	1.8	88	0
2	Sep_18_2014	93.38	102.9	107.64	116.47			118.4(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	84	-10000	30	247	0.7	89%	0.34	74.1	2.48%	0	1.9	85	0
3	Sep_17_2014	93.06	101.79	105.7	112.29			118.5(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	75	-10000	33	199	2.03	89%	0.36	69	2.48%	0	2.3	84	0
4	Sep_16_2014	92.73	100.58	103.67	107.94			116.15(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	59	-10000	30	145	1.62	89%	0.32	62.3	2.47%	0	2.5	84	0
5	Sep_15_2014	92.43	99.43	101.78	104.11			114.41(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2	43	-10000	26	95	1.61	89%	0.29	53.1	2.47%	0	2.8	83	0

6	Sep_12_2014	92.16	98.32	99.96	100.85			114.89(17.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.4	33	-10000	26	52	9.53	89%	0.27	43.7	2.47%	0	4	84	0
7	Sep_11_2014	91.91	97.19	98.09	97.76			97.48(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10000	-8	5	3.72	87%	0.11	54.6	1.14%	0	0.2	61	0
8	Sep_10_2014	91.81	96.96	98.17	98.18			96.78(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-5	12	1.1	87%	0.08	48.8	2.06%	0	-0.1	48	0
9	Sep_9_2014	91.74	96.79	98.28	98.66			96.99(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-3	26	1.18	87%	0.09	46.4	2.06%	0	0.1	59	0
10	Sep_8_2014	91.66	96.71	98.35	98.93			98.11(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	2	42	0.87	87%	0.08	51.3	2.05%	0	0.6	68	0

11	Sep_5_2014	91.59	96.55	98.27	98.77			99.45(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	3	52	0.78	87%	0.13	54	2.04%	0	1.3	79	0
12	Sep_4_2014	91.47	96.27	97.93	98.47			99.59(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	3	54	0.83	87%	0.1	55.3	2.05%	0	1.6	75	0
13	Sep_3_2014	91.38	96.01	97.71	98.18			99.16(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	3	64	0.64	87%	0.1	56.8	2.05%	0	1.6	78	0
14	Sep_2_2014	91.29	95.8	97.36	97.89			98.36(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	68	0.54	89%	0.1	64.6	2.05%	0	1.4	73	0
15	Aug_29_2014	91.2	95.61	96.99	97.7			97.31(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	64	0.52	89%	0.02	70.4	2.05%	0	1	57	0

16	Aug_28_2014	91.18	95.4	96.61	97.68			97.91(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	61	0.35	81%	0.01	69.1	2.05%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Aug_27_2014	91.17	95.12	96.21	97.29			98.14(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	1	54	0.42	82%	0.03	65.8	2.07%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Aug_26_2014	91.14	94.9	95.65	97.16			97.72(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	4	48	0.51	82%	0.04	71.9	2.08%	0	1.7	60	0
19	Aug_25_2014	91.1	94.63	95.17	96.75			97.4(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	36	0.58	82%	0.01	68.6	2.1%	0	1.7	56	0
20	Aug_22_2014	91.09	94.37	94.93	96.17			97.21(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	8	29	0.49	82%	-0.03	61.1	2.1%	0	1.9	58	0

21	Aug_21_2014	91.12	94.13	94.68	95.38			96(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	4	20	0.51	82%	-0.04	58.8	2.09%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Aug_20_2014	91.16	93.98	94.46	94.93			97.49(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	13	-10000	10	20	0.94	82%	-0.01	61.6	2.08%	0	2.6	67	0
23	Aug_19_2014	91.17	93.7	94.14	93.92			95.64(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	5	-10000	6	2	0.43	82%	-0.02	61	2.08%	0	1.7	54	0
24	Aug_18_2014	91.19	93.52	94.08	93.38			94.53(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0.44	82%	-0.04	59.3	2.09%	0	1	58	0
25	Aug_15_2014	91.23	93.44	94.07	93.54			93.24(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.61	82%		62	2.09%	0	-0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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