Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $93.0600 (0.79%) ($91.6200 - $93.3900) on Fri. Aug. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $93.0600(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWM(52%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.81(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.72(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.41(0.7%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $5.24b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2014	91.81	92.41	92.72	92.81			93.06(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	37	0.96	80%	0.01	-9.7	2.16%	0	0.4	56	0
2	Jul_31_2014	91.8	92.56	92.48	92.73			92.33(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-2	31	0.75	80%	0.01	2.5	2.18%	0	-0.1	53	0
3	Jul_30_2014	91.79	92.66	92.25	92.89			94.13(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	4	29	0.76	81%	0.02	9.3	2.18%	0	0.8	54	0
4	Jul_29_2014	91.77	92.61	91.77	92.5			92.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	0	7	0.47	81%	0.01	2.5	2.18%	0	-0.2	39	0
5	Jul_28_2014	91.76	92.61	91.62	92.47			92.29(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.59	81%	0	-5.4	2.18%	0	-0.1	38	0

6	Jul_25_2014	91.76	92.57	91.54	92.62			92.64(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	4	-12	0.58	81%	0.01	-10.3	2.19%	0	0	35	0
7	Jul_24_2014	91.75	92.51	91.42	92.18			93.14(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	7	-32	0.58	81%	0.02	-25.2	2.2%	0	0.3	35	0
8	Jul_23_2014	91.73	92.48	91.34	91.5			92.2(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	6	-48	0.71	81%	0	-41	2.21%	0	-0.1	41	0
9	Jul_22_2014	91.73	92.56	91.52	90.91			92.09(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.6	81%	0.01	-51.2	2.21%	0	-0.2	46	0
10	Jul_21_2014	91.72	92.68	91.76	90.64			93.02(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.99	81%	0.01	-53.5	2.21%	0	0.2	56	0

11	Jul_18_2014	91.71	92.77	92.01	90.34			90.44(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.59	79%	-0.01	-57.1	2.2%	0	-1.1	46	0
12	Jul_17_2014	91.72	93	92.58	90.58			89.75(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-6	-37	1.1	73%	-0.03	-54.6	2.21%	0	-1.6	47	0
13	Jul_16_2014	91.75	93.26	93.08	91.17			89.26(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-10	-25	0.64	73%	-0.02	-55.7	2.24%	0	-2.1	41	0
14	Jul_15_2014	91.77	93.55	93.54	92.2			90.75(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-8	-9	0.63	73%	-0.02	-22	2.23%	0	-1.7	41	0
15	Jul_14_2014	91.79	93.75	93.66	93.03			91.5(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.79	73%	0	17.7	2.23%	0	-1.5	40	0

16	Jul_11_2014	91.79	93.94	93.76	93.93			91.64(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-6	-10000	-9	3	0.61	66%	0	63.5	2.23%	0	-1.6	39	0
17	Jul_10_2014	91.79	94.11	93.78	94.89			92.69(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-3	11	0.63	63%	0.01	116.9	2.28%	0	-1	42	0
18	Jul_9_2014	91.78	94.32	93.8	95.25			94.42(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	2	13	0.56	63%	0.03	149.4	2.29%	0	0.1	47	0
19	Jul_8_2014	91.75	93.92	93.73	95.05			94.91(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	6	10	0.76	65%	0.04	85.9	2.29%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Jul_7_2014	91.71	93.48	93.68	94.35			96(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	7	-0	0.64	61%	0.07	61.6	2.31%	0	0.8	55	0

21	Jul_3_2014	91.65	93.02	93.54	93.57			96.43(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	9	-12	0.7	57%	0.07	48.1	2.36%	0	0.9	53	0
22	Jul_2_2014	91.59	92.51	93.35	92.55			94.5(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.71	57%	0.04	40.8	2.34%	0	0.5	46	0
23	Jul_1_2014	91.55	92.15	93.36	92.17			93.41(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.71	57%	0.02	38.9	2.34%	0	0.3	30	0
24	Jun_30_2014	91.53	91.84	93.47	92.26			91.41(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-6	-22	0.76	57%	0	38.4	2.32%	0	-0.1	70	0
25	Jun_27_2014	91.53	91.63	93.8	92.92			92.09(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	10	1	54%		42.7	2.32%	0	0.1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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