Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $89.8800 (2.29%) ($87.7300 - $90.3199) on Mon. May. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $89.8800(2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XRT(54%)    XLY(53%)    IWM(51%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    VIXM(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $84.34(-6.16%)
5 Day Moving Average   $87.19(3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.26(3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.06(2.07%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $5.061b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2014	93.26	88.06	87.26	87.19			89.88(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.75	44%	-0.1	-105.5	1.98%	0	1.1	50	0
2	May_9_2014	93.35	88.1	87.26	86.92			87.87(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-1	-34	0.75	41%	-0.15	-118.2	1.96%	0	-0.1	45	0
3	May_8_2014	93.49	88.41	86.9	86.97			85.86(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-0	-33	1.02	38%	-0.21	-100	1.94%	0	-1.1	46	0
4	May_7_2014	93.69	88.94	87.26	86.99			84.79(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-7	-38	1.4	38%	-0.26	-83.9	1.95%	0	-1.5	37	0
5	May_6_2014	93.93	89.49	87.63	87.58			87.55(-1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	4	-30	1.12	41%	-0.19	-79.1	1.92%	0	-0.6	42	0

6	May_5_2014	94.11	89.79	87.8	87.27			88.54(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.98	41%	-0.17	-85.2	1.94%	0	-0.4	45	0
7	May_2_2014	94.27	90.14	87.88	86.88			88.12(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	0	-52	2.35	41%	-0.19	-84.9	1.97%	0	-0.6	41	0
8	May_1_2014	94.45	90.69	87.84	86.87			85.97(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-9	-79	1.09	37%	-0.26	-72.9	1.94%	0	-1.2	27	0
9	Apr_30_2014	94.7	91.37	88.27	87.61			87.71(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-84	0.88	39%	-0.23	-64.9	1.94%	0	-0.9	25	0
10	Apr_29_2014	94.92	91.92	88.53	87.71			86(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0.76	35%	-0.3	-63.5	1.93%	0	-1.4	25	0

11	Apr_28_2014	95.21	92.5	88.96	88.39			86.58(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-101	1.38	35%	-0.3	-65.4	1.96%	0	-1.4	34	0
12	Apr_25_2014	95.5	93.08	89.41	88.99			88.11(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-10000	1	-103	0.5	35%	-0.26	-67	1.98%	0	-1.2	32	0
13	Apr_24_2014	95.75	93.61	90.05	88.93			89.63(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-1	-119	0.61	35%	-0.23	-74.3	2%	0	-1	28	0
14	Apr_23_2014	95.97	94.18	90.73	89.05			88.22(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-128	0.67	35%	-0.3	-70.6	2%	0	-1.4	24	0
15	Apr_22_2014	96.26	94.8	91.48	89.49			89.41(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-128	0.87	35%	-0.27	-68.3	2.03%	0	-1.3	29	0

16	Apr_21_2014	96.52	95.39	91.92	89.63			89.59(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10000	-3	-135	1	35%	-0.29	-63.3	2.07%	0	-1.4	35	0
17	Apr_17_2014	96.8	95.96	92.56	89.92			87.79(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-15	-142	1.8	35%	-0.38	-54.5	2.06%	0	-1.8	29	0
18	Apr_16_2014	97.17	96.79	93.75	91.33			90.22(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-15	-120	0.97	38%	-0.32	0	2.04%	0	-1.6	31	0
19	Apr_15_2014	97.48	97.36	94.72	92.71			90.42(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-11	-98	1.33	38%	-0.33	0	2.09%	0	-1.8	27	0
20	Apr_14_2014	97.8	97.81	95.59	93.8			90.13(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-7	-82	1.02	38%	-0.37	0	2.13%	0	-2.2	30	0

21	Apr_11_2014	98.16	98.18	96.37	94.52			91.05(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-10	-81	2.96	38%	-0.37	0	2.18%	0	-2.4	30	0
22	Apr_10_2014	98.52	98.44	97.11	95.53			94.85(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-10	-78	1.34	44%	-0.19	0	2.05%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Apr_9_2014	98.71	98.44	97.51	96.51			97.08(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.83	49%	-0.09	0	2.03%	0	38.1	33	0
24	Apr_8_2014	98.8	98.44	97.91	97.12			95.87(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.33	49%	-0.17	0	2.07%	0	37	40	0
25	Apr_7_2014	98.97	98.44	98.36	97.74			93.75(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-7	-3	1.49	43%		0	2.05%	0	36.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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