Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 13, 2018

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1586.4000 (14.61%) ($1452.0000 - $1646.6000) on Tue. Nov. 13, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.21% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $1586.4000(14.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 9.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 26.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DRIV(18%)    PEJ(18%)    LIT(16%)    XLY(16%)    ACES(15%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-10%)    IGOV(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.105% (StdDev 6.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1263(25.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1114.96(42.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $983.38(61.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   188.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 20.72% (three month std-dev: 6.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2018	718.06	983.38	1114.96	1263			1586.4(14.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	88	-10000	29	265	0.18	71%	1.33	57.6	6.21%	0	3	86	-0.2
2	Nov_12_2018	708.61	945.48	1033.98	1157.54			1384.2(13.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	66	-10000	19	207	0.1	69%	1.04	54.8	6%	0	2.9	79	-0.2
3	Nov_9_2018	701.31	918.95	972.61	1096.1			1219.2(13.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	64	-10000	24	183	0.14	67%	0.78	55.9	5.81%	0	2.6	79	0.8
4	Nov_8_2018	695.88	897.75	932.11	1025.84			1076.4(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	18	134	0.06	66%	0.59	47.6	5.6%	0	2	65	0.8
5	Nov_7_2018	691.83	887.04	906.24	977.52			1048.8(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	14	95	0.08	66%	0.59	38.7	5.62%	0	2	65	0.9

6	Nov_6_2018	687.74	878.59	883.63	940.32			1059.1(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	-10000	20	59	0.08	66%	0.57	29.4	5.63%	0	2.5	56	0.1
7	Nov_5_2018	683.86	869.82	862.09	889.7			1077(24.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	24	-10000	24	23	0.24	66%	0.53	18.4	5.62%	0	3.4	61	-0.3
8	Nov_2_2018	680.23	859.46	833.04	832.5			867.9(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	4	-42	0.16	64%	0.29	1.3	4.83%	0	0.2	47	-0.5
9	Nov_1_2018	678.29	856.69	833.37	825.32			834.8(-3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.11	64%	0.26	7.5	4.86%	0	-0.5	54	-0.5
10	Oct_31_2018	676.56	856.91	835.97	823.58			862.8(7.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	3	-45	0.1	64%	0.31	16.9	4.85%	0	0.1	50	-0.8

11	Oct_30_2018	674.47	857.85	843.16	817.82			806(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-6	-48	0.09	62%	0.22	34.4	4.79%	0	-1.2	43	-1.1
12	Oct_29_2018	672.99	858.82	851.67	829.42			791(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-2	-41	0.23	62%	0.24	49.1	4.79%	0	-1.5	41	-1.6
13	Oct_26_2018	671.37	858.98	863	832.74			832(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0.12	64%	0.27	47.5	4.75%	0	-0.5	46	-1.8
14	Oct_25_2018	669.57	853.6	862.7	842.38			826.1(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.1	64%	0.29	50.3	4.75%	0	-0.5	55	-1.6
15	Oct_24_2018	667.63	850	868.56	849.94			834(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.06	64%	0.31	52.5	4.75%	0	-0.2	53	-1.9

16	Oct_23_2018	665.55	843.63	875.32	872.92			864(6.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-3	2	0.09	63%	0.32	65.1	4.73%	0	0.3	50	-1.5
17	Oct_22_2018	663.41	837.72	879.54	878.28			807.6(-8.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-9	16	0.11	61%	0.19	72.8	4.71%	0	-0.4	53	-1.2
18	Oct_19_2018	662.14	834.5	889.15	897.04			880.2(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	6	56	0.11	65%	0.32	86.7	4.58%	0	0.6	61	-1.3
19	Oct_18_2018	660.02	825.4	882.82	885.14			863.9(-8.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	59	0.17	65%	0.36	86.2	4.59%	0	0.5	66	-1.7
20	Oct_17_2018	657.64	816.17	880.54	888.74			948.9(6.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	5	84	0.12	68%	0.48	86.2	4.42%	0	1.4	68	-1

21	Oct_16_2018	654.48	800.04	873.24	879.06			890.8(-1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10000	-2	106	0.05	67%	0.37	85	4.4%	0	1	69	-0.9
22	Oct_15_2018	652.07	787.22	865.97	882.48			901.4(9.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	1	127	0.07	67%	0.35	82.5	4.4%	0	1.1	64	-1.7
23	Oct_12_2018	649.79	770.79	854.03	881.5			820.7(-6.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	37	-10000	1	144	0.09	65%	0.22	78.1	4.28%	0	0.5	61	-2.1
24	Oct_11_2018	648.39	758.03	844.32	878.9			881.9(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10000	5	154	0.11	69%	0.32	74.2	4.2%	0	1.1	69	-3.6
25	Oct_10_2018	646.29	742.92	830.57	869.36			900.5(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	2	161	0.11	67%		73	4.2%	0	1.4	72	-3.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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