Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 26, 2018

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $983.1000 (6.4%) ($974.0000 - $1007.5000) on Fri. Jan. 26, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.51% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $983.1000(6.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 14% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(17%)    LIT(15%)    XLY(15%)    IVE(14%)    IWD(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.755% (StdDev 7.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $894.38(9.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $860.05(14.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $785.92(25.09%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   93.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 12.32% (three month std-dev: 7.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2018	921.12	785.92	860.05	894.38			983.1(6.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	38	-10000	12	117	0.23	51%	-0.26	101.5	7.51%	0	2	79	136.8
2	Jan_25_2018	923.53	766.02	837.79	856.2			924(5.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	6	106	0.36	50%	-0.36	101.1	7.49%	0	1.8	70	137.4
3	Jan_24_2018	926.85	746.67	813.84	837.56			875.3(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	1	88	0.34	50%	-0.38	89.6	7.48%	0	1.5	58	-1.4
4	Jan_23_2018	930.34	730.32	797.75	834.5			897.5(13.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	7	84	0.47	50%	-0.04	82.5	7.48%	0	1.8	57	0.1
5	Jan_22_2018	930.68	711.04	771.22	814.24			792(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-2	61	0.16	48%	-0.59	77.1	7.3%	0	0.9	56	0.9

6	Jan_19_2018	936.16	698.55	754.41	819.92			792.2(-4.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	2	59	0.25	48%	-0.53	71.2	7.3%	0	1	58	1
7	Jan_18_2018	941.14	687.83	742.13	814.84			830.8(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	11	70	0.36	48%	-0.38	64.7	7.28%	0	1.4	68	0
8	Jan_17_2018	944.77	675.86	733.65	784.64			860(8.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	78	0.38	48%	-0.39	52.6	7.27%	0	1.7	73	0
9	Jan_16_2018	948.46	659.35	724.79	755.12			796.2(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	13	90	0.29	46%	-0.67	42	7.2%	0	1.4	70	0
10	Jan_12_2018	954.89	648.11	717	721.5			820.4(6.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	-10000	17	97	0.59	48%	-0.44	30.1	7.15%	0	1.8	74	0

11	Jan_11_2018	959.12	635.58	704.49	679.7			766.8(12.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	9	86	0.86	48%	-0.47	10.2	7.14%	0	1.5	69	0
12	Jan_10_2018	963.62	625.73	687.04	659.6			679.8(-4.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-7	71	0.41	45%	-0.57	-5.5	6.95%	0	0.7	60	0
13	Jan_9_2018	969.13	624.17	673.88	675.54			712.4(13.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	15	-10000	-7	79	0.48	45%	-0.56	-8.2	6.96%	0	1.1	60	0
14	Jan_8_2018	974.6	620.14	657.73	691.72			628.1(2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-8	102	0.36	42%	-0.57	-15.7	6.75%	0	0.1	61	0
15	Jan_5_2018	980.22	620.52	647.62	711.6			611.4(-8.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	23	-10000	-8	115	0.49	42%	-0.61	-21.1	6.74%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	Jan_4_2018	986.24	626.8	641.37	730.7			666.3(-12.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	40	-10000	7	137	0.79	44%	-0.52	-27.5	6.69%	0	0.5	59	0
17	Jan_3_2018	991.42	630.28	632.66	715.08			759.5(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	-10000	21	134	0.47	46%	-0.46	-40.2	6.53%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Jan_2_2018	996.04	630.93	615.38	669.56			793.3(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	40	-10000	25	86	0.68	44%	-0.73	-56.6	6.52%	0	1.9	59	0
19	Dec_29_2017	1003.37	632.9	588.37	619.48			727.5(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	23	25	0.62	42%	-0.54	-56.3	6.5%	0	0.9	56	0
20	Dec_28_2017	1008.86	637.82	571.96	575.82			706.9(20.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	-10000	20	-23	0.87	42%	-0.45	-62.2	6.49%	0	0.6	55	0

21	Dec_27_2017	1013.39	649.52	557.89	541.28			588.2(10.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	1	-89	0.42	38%	-0.49	-57	5.94%	0	-0.5	36	0
22	Dec_26_2017	1018.39	666.15	556.5	539.04			531.9(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0.41	35%	-0.56	-53.5	5.84%	0	-0.9	28	0
23	Dec_22_2017	1024.08	682.37	568.52	552.66			542.9(6.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-10000	1	-127	0.36	35%	-0.51	-56.7	5.79%	0	-1	26	0
24	Dec_21_2017	1029.28	694.62	578.33	551.68			509.2(-4.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-9	-163	0.42	31%	-0.56	-63.1	5.71%	0	-1.3	18	0
25	Dec_20_2017	1035.04	714.16	591.59	565.84			534.2(-7.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-10000	-6	-172	0.44	31%		-65	5.85%	0	-1.3	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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