Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1264.0000 (-3.14%) ($1233.0000 - $1277.9000) on Fri. Sep. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.07% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $1264.0000(-3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(16%)    LIT(15%)    XLY(15%)    IVE(14%)    IWD(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.535% (StdDev 5.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1249.4(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1236.37(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1223.74(3.29%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 3.98% (three month std-dev: 5.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2017	1428.33	1223.74	1236.37	1249.4			1264(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	9	25	0.08	51%	-0.52	19.6	5.07%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Sep_14_2017	1435.73	1220.2	1236.39	1220.2			1305(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	7	-10000	6	11	0.13	51%	-0.51	-3.8	5.25%	0	1.8	55	0
3	Sep_13_2017	1443.13	1213.17	1223.53	1202.6			1285(4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	1	-10000	2	-1	0.13	51%	-0.41	-13.2	5.27%	0	1.6	56	0
4	Sep_12_2017	1449.13	1208.92	1215.79	1194.8			1227(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.2	51%	-0.44	-5.5	5.27%	0	0.4	52	0
5	Sep_11_2017	1455.58	1209.39	1213.32	1192			1166(4.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.11	51%	-0.53	11.1	5.24%	0	-1	46	0

6	Sep_8_2017	1463.38	1214.3	1214.47	1222.4			1118(-8.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-7	-10000	-9	1	0.21	51%	-0.63	54.8	5.21%	0	-2.3	49	0
7	Sep_7_2017	1472.6	1221.99	1226.68	1253			1217(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	8	-10000	2	25	0.09	54%	-0.58	112.2	5.12%	0	-0.1	53	0
8	Sep_6_2017	1481.23	1219.09	1225.7	1245.4			1246(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	2	24	0.09	56%	-0.52	108	5.12%	0	0.7	58	0
9	Sep_5_2017	1488.99	1211.27	1222.35	1239			1213(-7.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	1	21	0.11	56%	-0.56	84	5.18%	0	0	52	0
10	Sep_1_2017	1497.37	1204.7	1225.23	1236.8			1318(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	10	25	0.15	60%	-0.55	62.1	5.08%	0	1.7	56	0

11	Aug_31_2017	1505.61	1191.3	1210.1	1206.6			1271(7.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	3	-2	0.2	57%	-0.51	35	5.07%	0	1.2	50	0
12	Aug_30_2017	1513.39	1180.82	1201.91	1198.4			1179(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.07	49%	-0.56	17.1	5.04%	0	-0	40	0
13	Aug_29_2017	1521.94	1176.39	1201.51	1198.4			1214(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.06	49%	-0.63	9.6	5.28%	0	0.5	58	0
14	Aug_28_2017	1531.56	1170.21	1200.69	1203.4			1202(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.14	49%	-0.65	0.3	5.32%	0	0.4	64	0
15	Aug_25_2017	1541.65	1164.68	1204.26	1211.6			1167(-5.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	-0	20	0.11	49%	-0.73	-2.2	5.31%	0	0	63	0

16	Aug_24_2017	1552.96	1168.33	1213.91	1212.8			1230(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	41	0.1	49%	-0.65	-2.4	5.28%	0	0.8	71	0
17	Aug_23_2017	1563.1	1169.32	1216.81	1205.8			1204(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	2	57	0.05	46%	-0.67	-10.4	5.27%	0	0.5	68	0
18	Aug_22_2017	1573.72	1169.72	1212.34	1198.8			1214(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	0	60	0.07	48%	-0.49	-23.5	5.35%	0	0.6	66	0
19	Aug_21_2017	1581.51	1170.03	1200.06	1197.6			1243(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	0	60	0.11	48%	-0.53	-34.7	5.41%	0	1	68	0
20	Aug_18_2017	1590	1166.35	1183.23	1197.4			1173(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-6	58	0.06	46%	-0.58	-44	5.4%	0	0.1	63	0

21	Aug_17_2017	1599.32	1170.16	1172.06	1215.8			1195(2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-4	53	0.1	46%	-0.59	-35.5	5.4%	0	0.3	45	0
22	Aug_16_2017	1608.89	1177.37	1159.05	1230			1169(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	45	0.07	43%	-0.54	-24	5.39%	0	-0.1	41	0
23	Aug_15_2017	1617.6	1188.17	1150.72	1226.4			1208(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	8	33	0.04	43%	-0.48	-19.2	5.52%	0	0.2	49	0
24	Aug_14_2017	1625.39	1197.24	1138.37	1200.4			1242(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	11	8	0.09	43%	-0.48	-22.8	5.53%	0	0.4	50	0
25	Aug_11_2017	1633.16	1201.45	1122.03	1165.4			1265(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	14	-18	0.06	46%		-26.4	5.55%	0	0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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