Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2191.0000 (-3.69%) ($2180.0000 - $2287.9900) on Fri. Apr. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.82% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $2191.0000(-3.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(15%)    XOP(15%)    LIT(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.41% (StdDev 6.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $2182.4(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2125.03(3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2002.84(9.39%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   57.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.12% (three month std-dev: 6.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2017	2744.78	2002.84	2125.03	2182.4			2191(-3.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	3	50	0.03	35%	-0.02	71.1	6.82%	0	1.2	62	0
2	Apr_6_2017	2745.44	1989.51	2106.62	2159.2			2275(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	0.05	35%	-0.04	79.7	6.87%	0	1.8	74	0
3	Apr_5_2017	2746.67	1966.35	2074.87	2121.4			2224(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	3	60	0.06	35%	-0.02	84.9	6.87%	0	1.7	74	0
4	Apr_4_2017	2747.34	1941.35	2039.59	2103.2			2245(13.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	6	62	0.11	35%	-0.06	86.1	6.91%	0	1.9	68	0
5	Apr_3_2017	2749.05	1908.92	2012.54	2058.8			1977(-4.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	0	62	0.05	20%	-0.09	85.9	6.74%	0	0.5	63	0

6	Mar_31_2017	2751.52	1893.5	2012.45	2057.6			2075(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	59	0.04	20%	-0.06	89	7.8%	0	1.1	58	0
7	Mar_30_2017	2753.11	1870.01	1981.36	2043.4			2086(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	3	50	0.06	20%	-0.07	86.3	7.87%	0	1.3	56	0
8	Mar_29_2017	2755.09	1844.8	1943.17	2019.2			2133(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	7	42	0.08	20%	0.01	84	7.88%	0	1.7	62	0
9	Mar_28_2017	2754.85	1815.07	1908.58	1966.6			2023(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	31	0.06	25%	-0.25	79.3	7.85%	0	1.3	63	0
10	Mar_27_2017	2761.84	1789.27	1880.98	1961.2			1971(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	36	0.04	25%	-0.22	76.4	7.95%	0	1	67	0

11	Mar_24_2017	2768.03	1761.21	1871.39	1960.61			2004(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	7	49	0.06	25%	-0.19	62.8	7.99%	0	1.4	65	0
12	Mar_23_2017	2773.39	1738.15	1862.79	1909.01			1965(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	51	0.07	31%	-0.24	45	8.04%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Mar_22_2017	2779.94	1713.83	1848.34	1853.81			1870(-6.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	46	0.04	31%	-0.37	19.8	8.14%	0	0.9	65	0
14	Mar_21_2017	2790.34	1692.18	1835.31	1839.21			1996(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	7	54	0.1	40%	-0.49	1.5	8.13%	0	1.7	71	0
15	Mar_20_2017	2804.01	1662.62	1795.78	1789.21			1968.03(12.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.07	38%	-0.62	-23.2	8.76%	0	1.8	72	0

16	Mar_17_2017	2821.55	1656.55	1763.37	1773.2			1746(3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-5	48	0.05	34%	-0.63	-35.7	8.59%	0	0.5	71	0
17	Mar_16_2017	2839.4	1662.65	1750.29	1812.4			1689(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-4	62	0.08	34%	-0.64	-40.8	8.64%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Mar_15_2017	2857.61	1679.59	1741.56	1840.6			1797(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	79	0.05	32%	-0.72	-41.2	8.62%	0	0.6	66	0
19	Mar_14_2017	2878.22	1689.41	1717.24	1827.4			1746(-7.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	4	84	0.07	35%	-0.99	-48.4	8.68%	0	0.3	67	0
20	Mar_13_2017	2906.88	1703.16	1694.28	1797.6			1888(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	82	0.08	35%	-0.97	-52.5	8.74%	0	0.8	74	0

21	Mar_10_2017	2935.23	1717.75	1645.05	1750.2			1942(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	51	0.08	32%	-1.07	-52.3	8.94%	0	0.9	51	0
22	Mar_9_2017	2967.02	1736.69	1603.09	1681.2			1830(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	7	19	0.11	32%	-1.1	-53.5	8.97%	0	0.3	48	0
23	Mar_8_2017	3000.17	1764.25	1566.42	1630.8			1731(8.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.1	36%	-1.21	-52.1	8.93%	0	-0.1	40	0
24	Mar_7_2017	3037.03	1797.65	1535.31	1593			1597(-3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.05	36%	-1.22	-50.8	9.02%	0	-0.6	36	0
25	Mar_6_2017	3074.61	1830.37	1517.29	1573.6			1651(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	8	-72	0.11	36%		-55.7	9.02%	0	-0.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.