Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2275.0000 (2.29%) ($2231.0000 - $2353.0000) on Thu. Apr. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.87% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $2275.0000(2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(15%)    XOP(15%)    LIT(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.435% (StdDev 6.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $2159.2(5.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2106.62(7.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1989.51(14.35%)
To recent high   -28.9%
To recent low   63.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.02% (three month std-dev: 6.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2017	2745.44	1989.51	2106.62	2159.2			2275(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	0.05	35%	-0.04	79.7	6.87%	0	1.8	74	0
2	Apr_5_2017	2746.67	1966.35	2074.87	2121.4			2224(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	3	60	0.06	35%	-0.02	84.9	6.87%	0	1.7	74	0
3	Apr_4_2017	2747.34	1941.35	2039.59	2103.2			2245(13.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	6	62	0.11	35%	-0.06	86.1	6.91%	0	1.9	68	0
4	Apr_3_2017	2749.05	1908.92	2012.54	2058.8			1977(-4.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	0	62	0.05	20%	-0.09	85.9	6.74%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Mar_31_2017	2751.52	1893.5	2012.45	2057.6			2075(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	59	0.04	20%	-0.06	89	7.8%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Mar_30_2017	2753.11	1870.01	1981.36	2043.4			2086(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	3	50	0.06	20%	-0.07	86.3	7.87%	0	1.3	56	0
7	Mar_29_2017	2755.09	1844.8	1943.17	2019.2			2133(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	7	42	0.08	20%	0.01	84	7.88%	0	1.7	62	0
8	Mar_28_2017	2754.85	1815.07	1908.58	1966.6			2023(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	31	0.06	25%	-0.25	79.3	7.85%	0	1.3	63	0
9	Mar_27_2017	2761.84	1789.27	1880.98	1961.2			1971(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	36	0.04	25%	-0.22	76.4	7.95%	0	1	67	0
10	Mar_24_2017	2768.03	1761.21	1871.39	1960.61			2004(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	7	49	0.06	25%	-0.19	62.8	7.99%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Mar_23_2017	2773.39	1738.15	1862.79	1909.01			1965(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	51	0.07	31%	-0.24	45	8.04%	0	1.3	66	0
12	Mar_22_2017	2779.94	1713.83	1848.34	1853.81			1870(-6.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	46	0.04	31%	-0.37	19.8	8.14%	0	0.9	65	0
13	Mar_21_2017	2790.34	1692.18	1835.31	1839.21			1996(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	7	54	0.1	40%	-0.49	1.5	8.13%	0	1.7	71	0
14	Mar_20_2017	2804.01	1662.62	1795.78	1789.21			1968.03(12.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.07	38%	-0.62	-23.2	8.76%	0	1.8	72	0
15	Mar_17_2017	2821.55	1656.55	1763.37	1773.2			1746(3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-5	48	0.05	34%	-0.63	-35.7	8.59%	0	0.5	71	0

16	Mar_16_2017	2839.4	1662.65	1750.29	1812.4			1689(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-4	62	0.08	34%	-0.64	-40.8	8.64%	0	0.2	58	0
17	Mar_15_2017	2857.61	1679.59	1741.56	1840.6			1797(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	79	0.05	32%	-0.72	-41.2	8.62%	0	0.6	66	0
18	Mar_14_2017	2878.22	1689.41	1717.24	1827.4			1746(-7.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	4	84	0.07	35%	-0.99	-48.4	8.68%	0	0.3	67	0
19	Mar_13_2017	2906.88	1703.16	1694.28	1797.6			1888(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	82	0.08	35%	-0.97	-52.5	8.74%	0	0.8	74	0
20	Mar_10_2017	2935.23	1717.75	1645.05	1750.2			1942(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	51	0.08	32%	-1.07	-52.3	8.94%	0	0.9	51	0

21	Mar_9_2017	2967.02	1736.69	1603.09	1681.2			1830(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	7	19	0.11	32%	-1.1	-53.5	8.97%	0	0.3	48	0
22	Mar_8_2017	3000.17	1764.25	1566.42	1630.8			1731(8.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.1	36%	-1.21	-52.1	8.93%	0	-0.1	40	0
23	Mar_7_2017	3037.03	1797.65	1535.31	1593			1597(-3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.05	36%	-1.22	-50.8	9.02%	0	-0.6	36	0
24	Mar_6_2017	3074.61	1830.37	1517.29	1573.6			1651(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	8	-72	0.11	36%	-1.21	-55.7	9.02%	0	-0.5	36	0
25	Mar_3_2017	3112.27	1861.4	1537.6	1521.6			1597(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	1	-95	0.07	39%		-65.3	9.09%	0	-0.7	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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