Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1968.0300 (12.72%) ($1812.2000 - $1975.0000) on Mon. Mar. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.76% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $1968.0300(12.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(15%)    XOP(15%)    LIT(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.38% (StdDev 8.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1789.21(9.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1795.78(9.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1662.62(18.37%)
To recent high   -61.3%
To recent low   41.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.24% (three month std-dev: 8.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2017	2804.01	1662.62	1795.78	1789.21			1968.03(12.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.07	38%	-0.62	-23.2	8.76%	0	1.8	72	0
2	Mar_17_2017	2821.55	1656.55	1763.37	1773.2			1746(3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-5	48	0.05	34%	-0.63	-35.7	8.59%	0	0.5	71	0
3	Mar_16_2017	2839.4	1662.65	1750.29	1812.4			1689(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-4	62	0.08	34%	-0.64	-40.8	8.64%	0	0.2	58	0
4	Mar_15_2017	2857.61	1679.59	1741.56	1840.6			1797(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	79	0.05	32%	-0.72	-41.2	8.62%	0	0.6	66	0
5	Mar_14_2017	2878.22	1689.41	1717.24	1827.4			1746(-7.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	4	84	0.07	35%	-0.99	-48.4	8.68%	0	0.3	67	0

6	Mar_13_2017	2906.88	1703.16	1694.28	1797.6			1888(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	82	0.08	35%	-0.97	-52.5	8.74%	0	0.8	74	0
7	Mar_10_2017	2935.23	1717.75	1645.05	1750.2			1942(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	9	51	0.08	32%	-1.07	-52.3	8.94%	0	0.9	51	0
8	Mar_9_2017	2967.02	1736.69	1603.09	1681.2			1830(5.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	7	19	0.11	32%	-1.1	-53.5	8.97%	0	0.3	48	0
9	Mar_8_2017	3000.17	1764.25	1566.42	1630.8			1731(8.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.1	36%	-1.21	-52.1	8.93%	0	-0.1	40	0
10	Mar_7_2017	3037.03	1797.65	1535.31	1593			1597(-3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	3	-47	0.05	36%	-1.22	-50.8	9.02%	0	-0.6	36	0

11	Mar_6_2017	3074.61	1830.37	1517.29	1573.6			1651(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	8	-72	0.11	36%	-1.21	-55.7	9.02%	0	-0.5	36	0
12	Mar_3_2017	3112.27	1861.4	1537.6	1521.6			1597(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	1	-95	0.07	39%	-1.25	-65.3	9.09%	0	-0.7	30	0
13	Mar_2_2017	3151.7	1908.73	1564.16	1512.4			1578(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	3	-109	0.08	39%	-1.09	-67.5	9.16%	0	-0.8	26	0
14	Mar_1_2017	3186.35	1955.7	1608.77	1492.8			1542(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	3	-121	0.05	43%	-1.1	-71.6	9.17%	0	-1	24	0
15	Feb_28_2017	3221.76	2002.95	1655.89	1469.8			1500(7.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	3	-132	0.11	46%	-1.15	-77	9.25%	0	-1.2	21	0

16	Feb_27_2017	3259.17	2063.96	1710.71	1452.4			1391(-10.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-14	-143	0.11	46%	-1.06	-78.3	9.35%	0	-1.6	25	0
17	Feb_24_2017	3294.15	2148.78	1796.3	1556.2			1551(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-9	-126	0.1	47%	-0.82	-67.8	9.31%	0	-1.3	27	0
18	Feb_23_2017	3321.28	2227.47	1880.29	1627.2			1480(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-15	-120	0.18	49%	-0.82	-60.9	9.36%	0	-1.6	19	0
19	Feb_22_2017	3348.78	2307.6	1978.37	1746.2			1427(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-14	-103	0.17	49%	-0.75	-55.9	9.41%	0	-1.9	18	0
20	Feb_21_2017	3374.19	2386.11	2084.47	1870			1413(-26.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-32	-10000	-14	-85	0.37	51%	-0.77	-56.1	9.41%	0	-2.2	20	0

21	Feb_17_2017	3400.37	2461.91	2177.21	2000.8			1910(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-8	-77	0.06	59%	-0.6	-61.4	8.98%	0	-1.5	23	0
22	Feb_16_2017	3420.74	2504.24	2218.03	2070.6			1906(-8.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-29	-10000	-10	-86	0.13	59%	-0.63	-63.5	9.01%	0	-1.6	19	0
23	Feb_15_2017	3442.42	2558.92	2286.18	2173.2			2075(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-83	0.08	59%	-0.63	-59.9	8.97%	0	-1.4	20	0
24	Feb_14_2017	3464.18	2604.57	2332.92	2251.4			2046(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-10000	-8	-84	0.11	60%	-0.66	-54.1	8.99%	0	-1.6	22	0
25	Feb_13_2017	3487.24	2661.61	2379.38	2335.2			2067(-8.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-4	-81	0.11	60%		-43.9	9.05%	0	-1.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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