Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1500.0000 (7.84%) ($1425.0100 - $1536.0000) on Tue. Feb. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.25% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $1500.0000(7.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -20.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(15%)    LIT(14%)    XLY(14%)    XOP(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.625% (StdDev 9.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

Resistance Level   $2002.95
5 Day Moving Average   $1469.8(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1655.89(-9.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2002.95(-25.11%)
To recent high   -70.5%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 20.86% (three month std-dev: 9.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2017	3221.76	2002.95	1655.89	1469.8			1500(7.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	3	-132	0.11	46%	-1.15	-77	9.25%	0	-1.2	21	0
2	Feb_27_2017	3259.17	2063.96	1710.71	1452.4			1391(-10.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-14	-143	0.11	46%	-1.06	-78.3	9.35%	0	-1.6	25	0
3	Feb_24_2017	3294.15	2148.78	1796.3	1556.2			1551(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-9	-126	0.1	47%	-0.82	-67.8	9.31%	0	-1.3	27	0
4	Feb_23_2017	3321.28	2227.47	1880.29	1627.2			1480(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-15	-120	0.18	49%	-0.82	-60.9	9.36%	0	-1.6	19	0
5	Feb_22_2017	3348.78	2307.6	1978.37	1746.2			1427(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-14	-103	0.17	49%	-0.75	-55.9	9.41%	0	-1.9	18	0

6	Feb_21_2017	3374.19	2386.11	2084.47	1870			1413(-26.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-32	-10000	-14	-85	0.37	51%	-0.77	-56.1	9.41%	0	-2.2	20	0
7	Feb_17_2017	3400.37	2461.91	2177.21	2000.8			1910(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-8	-77	0.06	59%	-0.6	-61.4	8.98%	0	-1.5	23	0
8	Feb_16_2017	3420.74	2504.24	2218.03	2070.6			1906(-8.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-29	-10000	-10	-86	0.13	59%	-0.63	-63.5	9.01%	0	-1.6	19	0
9	Feb_15_2017	3442.42	2558.92	2286.18	2173.2			2075(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-83	0.08	59%	-0.63	-59.9	8.97%	0	-1.4	20	0
10	Feb_14_2017	3464.18	2604.57	2332.92	2251.4			2046(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-10000	-8	-84	0.11	60%	-0.66	-54.1	8.99%	0	-1.6	22	0

11	Feb_13_2017	3487.24	2661.61	2379.38	2335.2			2067(-8.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-4	-81	0.11	60%	-0.61	-43.9	9.05%	0	-1.8	28	0
12	Feb_10_2017	3508.6	2719.13	2446.4	2376.6			2259(-6.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-1	-78	0.08	60%	-0.58	-39.6	8.98%	0	-1.4	35	0
13	Feb_9_2017	3528.97	2762.49	2527.69	2383.8			2419(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-70	0.08	61%	-0.63	-40	8.94%	0	-1.1	44	0
14	Feb_8_2017	3551.4	2787.54	2596.63	2416.8			2466(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.05	57%	-0.6	-39.3	8.99%	0	-1.1	39	0
15	Feb_7_2017	3572.93	2809.12	2655.06	2431.6			2465(8.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-0	-54	0.09	57%	-0.46	-43.7	9.42%	0	-1.2	39	0

16	Feb_6_2017	3589.44	2815.75	2703.97	2436.5			2274(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-8	-61	0.06	57%	-0.53	-73.3	9.38%	0	-1.9	29	0
17	Feb_3_2017	3608.65	2851.56	2766.62	2528.3			2295(-11.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.14	57%	-0.49	-102.6	9.38%	0	-2.2	29	0
18	Feb_2_2017	3626.45	2891.76	2815.05	2692.1			2584(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-9	-47	0.08	57%	-0.38	-135.2	9.27%	0	-1.4	37	0
19	Feb_1_2017	3640.19	2909.62	2855.52	2806.3			2540(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-8	-32	0.07	54%	-0.4	-161.5	9.36%	0	-1.7	44	0
20	Jan_31_2017	3654.97	2940.72	2901.43	2914.1			2489.5(-8.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0.14	53%	-0.4	-184.6	9.51%	0	-2.3	44	0

21	Jan_30_2017	3669.81	3041.03	2972.6	3007.6			2733(-12.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-2	8	0.11	53%	-0.23	-190.2	9.52%	0	-1.8	61	0
22	Jan_27_2017	3678.36	3140.03	3020.06	3033			3114(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	6	20	0.08	55%	-0.14	-76	9.41%	0	-0.1	56	0
23	Jan_26_2017	3683.47	3228.96	3017.64	2953			3155(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	3	10	0.11	53%	-0.01	-46.3	9.41%	0	-0.1	53	0
24	Jan_25_2017	3683.93	3296.75	2990.79	2917			3079(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	2	5	0.05	51%	-0.07	-33.4	9.48%	0	-0.3	56	0
25	Jan_24_2017	3686.52	3360.24	2969.63	2895.4			2957(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.06	51%		-27.8	9.68%	0	-0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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