Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $4216.0000 (-4.64%) ($4170.0000 - $4859.0000) on Wed. Dec. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.4% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $4216.0000(-4.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 27.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLY(13%)    XOP(13%)    XLE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.7% (StdDev 7.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $4161.8(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3765.42(11.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3118.89(35.18%)
To recent high   -21.7%
To recent low   99.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 24.3% (three month std-dev: 7.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2016	3682.9	3118.89	3765.42	4161.8			4216(-4.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	-10000	9	228	0.08	63%	0.16	68.1	7.4%	0	1.4	81	0
2	Dec_6_2016	3677.14	3012.01	3619.9	4022.4			4421(3.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	-10000	14	234	0.07	61%	0.21	58	7.39%	0	1.9	85	0
3	Dec_5_2016	3669.43	2918.66	3454.06	3831.2			4269(11.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	-10000	11	223	0.05	61%	0.14	50.3	7.46%	0	2	79	0
4	Dec_2_2016	3664.32	2827.06	3277.6	3681.4			3837(-5.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	-10000	11	224	0.05	59%	0.03	39.1	7.39%	0	1.7	79	0
5	Dec_1_2016	3663.12	2756.57	3122.11	3537.8			4066(15.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	68	-10000	19	216	0.06	57%	0.09	25.7	7.35%	0	2.5	83	0

6	Nov_30_2016	3659.84	2675.93	2949.9	3311.8			3519(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	-10000	14	191	0.05	55%	-0.05	7	7.13%	0	1.9	78	0
7	Nov_29_2016	3661.85	2637.27	2825.87	3151.6			3465(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	13	172	0.05	55%	-0.04	-13.9	7.17%	0	2.1	80	0
8	Nov_28_2016	3663.48	2620.94	2716.08	3015.4			3520(12.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	-10000	20	143	0.06	55%	-0.15	-37.4	7.17%	0	2.4	62	0
9	Nov_25_2016	3668.89	2616.86	2580.24	2814.8			3119(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	19	96	0.03	52%	-0.29	-58.1	6.99%	0	1.3	60	0
10	Nov_23_2016	3679.52	2626.63	2487.74	2642			2936(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	12	50	0.05	54%	-0.24	-73	6.94%	0	0.7	59	0

11	Nov_22_2016	3688.46	2645.78	2418.12	2533.4			2718(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	10	17	0.06	55%	-0.26	-80.7	6.97%	0	0.1	54	0
12	Nov_21_2016	3698.26	2692.53	2356.53	2447.4			2784(10.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	9	-24	0.05	55%	-0.59	-75.1	7.08%	0	0.1	49	0
13	Nov_18_2016	3720.39	2768.45	2338.82	2372.4			2517(11.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	7	-58	0.06	50%	-0.57	-69.8	7.09%	0	-0.3	37	0
14	Nov_17_2016	3741.75	2865.28	2339.22	2311.8			2255(-5.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-10000	1	-102	0.06	47%	-0.56	-64.6	6.98%	0	-0.7	27	0
15	Nov_16_2016	3762.98	2995.02	2364.95	2306.4			2393(4.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	3	-127	0.04	47%	-0.56	-61.3	6.95%	0	-0.6	33	0

16	Nov_15_2016	3784.08	3119.47	2382.55	2283			2288(-5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10000	5	-151	0.07	47%	-0.44	-57.1	6.94%	0	-0.8	31	0
17	Nov_14_2016	3800.97	3262.68	2437.04	2247.4			2409(8.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-7	-180	0.06	47%	-0.34	-54.9	6.91%	0	-0.8	29	0
18	Nov_11_2016	3813.91	3397.92	2518.9	2304.4			2214(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-9	-197	0.04	45%	-0.43	-52.4	6.84%	0	-1.1	19	0
19	Nov_10_2016	3830.3	3548.32	2655.59	2374.6			2228(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-7	-201	0.08	45%	-0.4	-49.6	6.84%	0	-1.2	18	0
20	Nov_9_2016	3845.65	3704.86	2776.57	2432.8			2276(7.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-10000	-7	-216	0.11	43%	-0.48	-46.8	6.87%	0	-1.3	17	0

21	Nov_8_2016	3864.18	3839.02	2892.81	2496.4			2110(-21.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-10000	-16	-232	0.12	41%	-0.49	-45.2	6.97%	0	-1.6	12	0
22	Nov_7_2016	3883.17	3985.56	3060.75	2648			2694(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-73	-10000	-14	-251	0.04	45%	-0.26	-41.5	6.45%	0	-1.3	14	0
23	Nov_4_2016	3893.2	4107.83	3231.86	2770.8			2565(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-79	-10000	-23	-247	0.03	45%	-0.24	-35.6	6.47%	0	-1.6	11	0
24	Nov_3_2016	3902.41	4223.28	3431.58	2988.2			2519(-2.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-10000	-18	-229	0.09	48%	-0.26	-28.6	6.47%	0	-1.8	9	0
25	Nov_2_2016	3912.67	4315.92	3675.46	3176.4			2594(-9.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-15	-204	0.06	48%		-24.9	6.65%	0	-2.1	9	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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