Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3202.0000 (3.66%) ($3079.0000 - $3212.5000) on Tue. Aug. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.31% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $3202.0000(3.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(13%)    LIT(12%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.655% (StdDev 7.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

Resistance Level   $3577.28
5 Day Moving Average   $3083(3.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3415.12(-6.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3577.28(-10.49%)
To recent high   -35.6%
To recent low   52.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.85% (three month std-dev: 7.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2016	3117.88	3577.28	3415.12	3083			3202(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-92	0.03	59%	0.29	-41.8	7.31%	0	-1	49	0
2	Aug_15_2016	3108.93	3601.43	3464.57	3090			3089(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-11	-92	0.02	59%	-0.01	-43.7	7.39%	0	-1.4	47	0
3	Aug_12_2016	3109.13	3632.66	3542.89	3217.2			3082(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-11	-75	0.03	59%	0.3	-36.9	7.45%	0	-1.5	45	0
4	Aug_11_2016	3099.7	3669.29	3660.38	3358			2976(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-16	-53	0.05	59%	0.3	-32.5	7.44%	0	-2.1	41	0
5	Aug_10_2016	3090.39	3710.21	3790.64	3576.8			3066(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-15	-14	0.04	61%	0.24	-19.7	7.43%	0	-2.1	49	0

6	Aug_9_2016	3083.08	3747.54	3845.21	3794.2			3237(-13.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	0	-10000	-6	18	0.05	61%	0.34	-4.1	7.45%	0	-1.9	53	0
7	Aug_8_2016	3072.57	3774.67	3883.45	3885.4			3725(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-2	29	0.03	65%	0.41	3.9	7.25%	0	-0.2	54	0
8	Aug_5_2016	3060.08	3770.76	3882.18	3912.6			3786(-6.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-7	32	0.02	65%	0.38	-17.3	7.24%	0	0.1	55	0
9	Aug_4_2016	3048.42	3782.55	3886.31	4009			4070(-2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-2	48	0.03	66%	0.55	-17.1	7.26%	0	1.2	57	0
10	Aug_3_2016	3031.63	3770.27	3829.37	4044.8			4153(12.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	9	54	0.02	66%	0.6	-22.5	7.3%	0	1.6	58	0

11	Aug_2_2016	3013.63	3758.4	3749.68	3912.2			3693(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	9	-10000	3	28	0.01	60%	0.48	-48.9	7.19%	0	-0.3	52	0
12	Aug_1_2016	2999.21	3765.25	3746.45	3875.8			3861(-9.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	3	22	0.02	60%	0.54	-54.9	7.39%	0	0.4	55	0
13	Jul_29_2016	2983.13	3814.05	3725.38	3838.2			4268(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	7	20	0.02	65%	0.7	-24.4	7.33%	0	1.3	65	0
14	Jul_28_2016	2962.43	3825.35	3667.69	3746.6			4249(21.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	11	4	0.05	61%	0.75	-20.2	7.42%	0	1.1	53	0
15	Jul_27_2016	2940.35	3825.65	3606.98	3593.8			3490(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	2	-22	0.02	57%	0.54	-23.8	7.11%	0	-0.9	42	0

16	Jul_26_2016	2924.54	3873.96	3632.24	3565.8			3511(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.02	57%	0.55	-21.1	7.12%	0	-0.9	40	0
17	Jul_25_2016	2908.58	3898.29	3653.63	3592.8			3673(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.02	57%	0.66	-20.4	7.12%	0	-0.6	48	0
18	Jul_22_2016	2889.39	3901.74	3649.12	3589.8			3810(9.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.03	57%	0.76	-20.7	7.17%	0	-0.2	33	0
19	Jul_21_2016	2867.66	3904.14	3667.71	3580.4			3485(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-4	-70	0.04	55%	0.61	-17.6	7.13%	0	-1.1	34	0
20	Jul_20_2016	2850.41	3920.65	3706.42	3627			3350(-8.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-6	-76	0.04	55%	0.47	-12.6	7.11%	0	-1.5	37	0

21	Jul_19_2016	2837.04	3961.14	3771.47	3705.2			3646(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-75	0.02	62%	0.63	-1.1	7.03%	0	-0.9	39	0
22	Jul_18_2016	2819.32	3980.11	3790.95	3719.6			3658(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	0	-72	0.02	62%	0.52	5.2	7.48%	0	-0.9	50	0
23	Jul_15_2016	2804.85	3985.04	3912.66	3713.4			3763(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-53	0.03	62%	0.57	7	7.48%	0	-0.6	56	0
24	Jul_14_2016	2788.9	3974.74	3994.49	3771.8			3718(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.02	60%	0.48	9.3	7.56%	0	-0.7	53	0
25	Jul_13_2016	2775.7	3969.33	4058.59	3801.8			3741(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.02	60%		16.5	7.65%	0	-0.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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