Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2280.0000 (2.33%) ($2220.0000 - $2330.0000) on Tue. May. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.03% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $2280.0000(2.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    IWD(12%)    XLE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.015% (StdDev 8.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $2547
5 Day Moving Average   $2436.8(-6.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2450.8(-6.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2547(-10.48%)
To recent high   -29.8%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.98% (three month std-dev: 8.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2016	3225.08	2547	2450.8	2436.8			2280(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0.05	40%	-1.1	-7	8.03%	0	-1.2	44	0
2	May_16_2016	3260.85	2574.05	2462.73	2503.4			2228(-8.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.08	40%	-0.33	6.8	8.05%	0	-1.5	41	0
3	May_13_2016	3271.61	2582.32	2469.42	2539.6			2441(-6.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.05	41%	-0.64	13	8.04%	0	-0.6	42	0
4	May_12_2016	3292.8	2573.79	2484.89	2530			2615(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	5	-23	0.03	41%	-0.53	6.3	8.06%	0	0.2	41	0
5	May_11_2016	3310.35	2563.93	2459.42	2480.8			2620(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	1	-45	0.04	41%	-0.39	-3.6	8.07%	0	0.2	46	0

6	May_10_2016	3323.42	2563.16	2459.7	2470.8			2613(8.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	5	-50	0.03	41%	-0.46	3.5	8.12%	0	0.2	47	0
7	May_9_2016	3338.65	2558.76	2465.53	2422.2			2409(0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	3	-62	0.02	39%	-0.3	0.5	8.06%	0	-0.6	43	0
8	May_6_2016	3348.71	2553.11	2505.82	2389.4			2393(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.03	42%	-0.3	-9.6	8.12%	0	-0.7	56	0
9	May_5_2016	3358.68	2559.36	2569.93	2432.2			2369(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.04	44%	-0.36	-2.5	8.19%	0	-0.8	58	0
10	May_4_2016	3370.98	2572.25	2621.19	2431.4			2570(8.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.04	42%	-0.25	0.7	8.22%	0	-0	57	0

11	May_3_2016	3379.37	2555.16	2646.29	2450			2370(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-7	-13	0.04	40%	-0.48	-3.3	8.23%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	May_2_2016	3395.57	2557.39	2692.85	2519			2245(-13.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	3	0.07	38%	-0.65	2.4	8.19%	0	-1.3	48	0
13	Apr_29_2016	3417.76	2575.96	2710.16	2638.2			2607(10.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-8	24	0.06	39%	-0.6	22	8.54%	0	0.1	61	0
14	Apr_28_2016	3438.52	2565.29	2677.07	2731.8			2365(-11.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-9	33	0.08	39%	-0.79	38.1	8.56%	0	-0.8	51	0
15	Apr_27_2016	3465.97	2570.37	2687.36	2836			2663(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-3	48	0.06	41%	-0.72	60.3	8.57%	0	0.4	53	0

16	Apr_26_2016	3491.22	2563.29	2683.44	2870			2715(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-2	67	0.03	41%	-0.69	69.7	8.57%	0	0.6	63	0
17	Apr_25_2016	3515.54	2551.54	2665.47	2890.2			2841(-7.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	9	81	0.03	41%	-0.92	78.7	8.56%	0	1.2	60	0
18	Apr_22_2016	3548.19	2524.75	2607.65	2787			3075(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	15	59	0.05	41%	-0.86	63	8.51%	0	2.4	59	0
19	Apr_21_2016	3578.92	2477.55	2544.64	2614.8			2886(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	9	33	0.05	41%	-0.86	34.9	8.47%	0	2	60	0
20	Apr_20_2016	3610.05	2436.13	2512.07	2518.4			2833(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	4	21	0.06	41%	-1.02	13.8	8.48%	0	2	58	0

21	Apr_19_2016	3647.21	2410.04	2446.81	2475			2816(21.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	6	-10000	6	6	0.08	41%	-1.01	7.8	8.49%	0	2.3	56	0
22	Apr_18_2016	3684.28	2378.25	2398.89	2417			2325(5.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	0.05	36%	-1.15	-3.5	8.06%	0	-0.3	49	0
23	Apr_15_2016	3727.25	2386.68	2423.87	2401			2214(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	0.06	36%	-0.43	-0.3	8.09%	0	-1.1	51	0
24	Apr_14_2016	3743.18	2407.8	2443.29	2456.8			2404(-8.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.04	33%	-1.29	20.6	8.06%	0	-0	59	0
25	Apr_13_2016	3792.09	2408.72	2446.56	2498			2616(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	9	32	0.04	34%		37.9	8.24%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.