Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3750.0000 (-15.73%) ($3375.0000 - $3775.0000) on Tue. Feb. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.03% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $3750.0000(-15.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(14%)    LIT(13%)    PEJ(13%)    IVE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.515% (StdDev 9.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

Resistance Level   $5083.91
5 Day Moving Average   $4670(-19.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4604.07(-18.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $5083.91(-26.24%)
To recent high   -61.8%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 17.33% (three month std-dev: 9.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2016	9284.93	5083.91	4604.07	4670			3750(-15.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0.04	42%	-2.02	-32.9	9.03%	0	-1.5	34	0
2	Feb_1_2016	9475.91	5193.07	4670.16	4835			4450(-20.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-0	-28	0.02	44%	-1.77	-23.4	8.88%	0	-0.9	33	0
3	Jan_29_2016	9647.04	5275.51	4674.73	4840			5575(10.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	10	-58	0.01	48%	-1.59	-14.4	8.62%	0	0.4	34	0
4	Jan_28_2016	9802.71	5273.72	4577.97	4645			5025(10.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.02	45%	-1.58	-11.7	8.52%	0	-0.3	37	0
5	Jan_27_2016	9959.67	5328.36	4622.09	4560			4550(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	-10000	1	-105	0.01	43%	-1.72	-3.7	8.47%	0	-0.9	42	0

6	Jan_26_2016	10134.41	5391.12	4705	4540			4575(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	-10000	3	-112	0.01	40%	-0.57	8.1	8.47%	0	-1	39	0
7	Jan_25_2016	10192.32	5396.09	4870.44	4480			4475(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.01	40%	-1.6	12.7	8.66%	0	-1.1	41	0
8	Jan_22_2016	10357.95	5398.76	5129.89	4475			4600(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	-1	-95	0.01	39%	-1.68	17.2	8.72%	0	-1	40	0
9	Jan_21_2016	10535.29	5375.33	5313.85	4500			4600(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0.02	38%	-1.5	21.1	8.72%	0	-0.9	45	0
10	Jan_20_2016	10695.71	5360.46	5429.89	4705			4450(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-9	-80	0.01	38%	-1.6	29	8.74%	0	-1.1	40	0

11	Jan_19_2016	10869.41	5322.33	5598.96	4905			4275(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-18	-69	0.01	38%	-2.59	29.2	8.73%	0	-1.2	42	0
12	Jan_15_2016	11157.87	5292.27	5770.93	5325			4450(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-22	-33	0.01	37%	-1.51	33.3	8.67%	0	-0.8	56	0
13	Jan_14_2016	11328.48	5260.87	5949.29	5885			4725(-16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-13	27	0.01	37%	-1.48	41	8.67%	0	-0.5	60	0
14	Jan_13_2016	11498.85	5205.81	6055.38	6240			5625(3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-10000	-1	81	0.01	39%	-1.41	41.6	8.48%	0	0.4	69	0
15	Jan_12_2016	11663.79	5124.39	6114.34	6255			5450(-14.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	24	-10000	-5	110	0.01	39%	-1.36	35.3	8.47%	0	0.3	66	0

16	Jan_11_2016	11824.1	5071.93	6155.82	6380			6375(-12.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-10000	4	166	0.01	41%	-1.31	31.5	8.32%	0	1.1	77	0
17	Jan_8_2016	11981.32	4977.33	5979.4	6275			7250(11.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	9	189	0.02	42%	-1.39	23.9	8.21%	0	1.9	82	0
18	Jan_7_2016	12150.13	4850.83	5684.95	6045			6500(14.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	8	197	0.02	40%	-1.35	16.5	8.07%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Jan_6_2016	12316.37	4768.84	5429.78	5865			5700(-6.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	48	-10000	-4	203	0.02	37%	-1.43	6.5	7.84%	0	0.9	76	0
20	Jan_5_2016	12494.72	4729.05	5276.54	5960			6075(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	-10000	3	237	0.01	37%	-1.42	3.2	7.82%	0	1.4	69	0

21	Jan_4_2016	12674.36	4709.36	5014.62	5895			5850(-4.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	-10000	13	231	0.01	37%	-2.51	-0.9	7.8%	0	1.2	62	0
22	Dec_31_2015	13000.64	4704.4	4769.73	5620			6100(8.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	-10000	18	185	0.02	35%	-1.73	-13.4	7.81%	0	1.5	61	0
23	Dec_30_2015	13229.21	4678.89	4509.34	5260			5600(-9.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10000	18	121	0.01	33%	-1.58	-29.3	7.81%	0	1	55	0
24	Dec_29_2015	13441.2	4704.64	4283.65	4915			6175(7.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	24	56	0.03	33%	-1.5	-39.8	7.78%	0	1.5	57	0
25	Dec_28_2015	13646.05	4697.63	4038.15	4495			5750(28.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	-10000	30	-5	0.02	33%		-51.5	7.76%	0	1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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