Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $5975.0000 (-0.83%) ($5865.2500 - $6100.0000) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $5975.0000(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -18.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    PEJ(12%)    USO(12%)    IVE(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $7770.73
5 Day Moving Average   $6130(-2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $6540.05(-8.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7770.73(-23.11%)
To recent high   -73.2%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 17.6% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2015	17024.24	7770.73	6540.05	6130			5975(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-6	-204	0	18%	-1.25	-50.3	5.5%	0	-1.3	11	0
2	Dec_3_2015	17240.41	7963.76	6744.64	6225			6025(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-10000	-12	-206	0.01	21%	-1.29	-45.9	5.52%	0	-1.4	24	0
3	Dec_2_2015	17466.16	8105.77	7036.12	6430			5875(-8.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-10000	-14	-185	0.01	21%	-1.19	-46.3	5.63%	0	-1.7	23	0
4	Dec_1_2015	17675.76	8256.52	7393.92	6695			6400(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-9	-162	0.01	22%	-1.18	-49.9	5.59%	0	-1.6	23	0
5	Nov_30_2015	17886.37	8371.68	7696.45	6875			6375(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-7	-145	0.01	22%	-1.04	-55.5	5.55%	0	-1.8	27	0

6	Nov_27_2015	18074.5	8526.33	8019.86	7010			6450(-8.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-16	-136	0.01	22%	-1.24	-67.5	5.59%	0	-2.1	25	0
7	Nov_25_2015	18301.75	8642.61	8274.42	7340.05			7050(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-19	-129	0.01	23%	-0.91	-90.3	5.48%	0	-1.9	26	0
8	Nov_24_2015	18470	8747.82	8462.55	7745.05			7200(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-10000	-21	-104	0.01	23%	-0.95	-104.8	5.51%	0	-1.9	42	0
9	Nov_23_2015	18648	8887.13	8676.07	8215.05			7300(3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-18	-68	0.01	23%	-0.61	-121.9	5.51%	0	-2.1	43	0
10	Nov_20_2015	18762.63	9023.48	8860.36	8655.05			7050(-12.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	-10000	-20	-36	0.02	22%	-1.05	-112.1	5.54%	0	-2.2	42	0

11	Nov_19_2015	18961.62	9258.04	9123.71	9170.05			8100.25(-10.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-6	6	0.01	23%	-0.92	-89.6	5.41%	0	-1.1	43	0
12	Nov_18_2015	19137.37	9489.2	9301.81	9325			9075(-4.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	2	36	0	25%	-0.92	-76.7	5.28%	0	-0.3	58	0
13	Nov_17_2015	19314.65	9686.56	9273.08	9275			9550(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	30	0	24%	-0.86	-66.9	5.27%	0	-0.1	56	0
14	Nov_16_2015	19482.07	9915.73	9188.02	9215			9500(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	4	13	0.01	24%	-0.83	-61.7	5.31%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Nov_13_2015	19644.95	10134.83	9090.88	9115			9625(8.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	1	-12	0.01	22%	-0.92	-61.2	5.32%	0	-0.2	48	0

16	Nov_12_2015	19828.03	10342.89	9051.87	9095			8875(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0.01	22%	-0.86	-59	5.34%	0	-0.6	33	0
17	Nov_11_2015	19999.75	10627.72	9024.18	9285			8825(-4.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	1	-72	0.01	22%	-0.82	-53.5	5.46%	0	-0.7	29	0
18	Nov_10_2015	20164.39	10957.8	9044.12	9260			9250(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	5	-114	0	22%	-0.8	-51	5.45%	0	-0.7	29	0
19	Nov_9_2015	20327.27	11251.2	9100.16	9145			9000(-5.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-37	-10000	4	-160	0.01	22%	-0.9	-49.2	5.48%	0	-0.8	24	0
20	Nov_6_2015	20512.88	11587.65	9187.97	9045			9525(-3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-49	-10000	2	-201	0.01	23%	-0.84	-47.9	5.45%	0	-0.7	28	0

21	Nov_5_2015	20686.87	11881.85	9385.71	9005			9825(12.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	-10000	11	-215	0.01	23%	-0.93	-47	5.46%	0	-0.7	30	0
22	Nov_4_2015	20881.82	12140.26	9660.71	8745			8700(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-66	-10000	-3	-255	0.01	20%	-1.02	-48.3	5.17%	0	-1.2	18	0
23	Nov_3_2015	21096.97	12457.62	10104.78	8805			8675(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-74	-10000	-11	-262	0.01	20%	-1.01	-51.3	5.25%	0	-1.4	17	0
24	Nov_2_2015	21312.37	12771.98	10674.56	9055			8500(-8.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-72	-10000	-12	-251	0.01	20%	-0.83	-55.5	5.25%	0	-1.7	18	0
25	Oct_30_2015	21491.67	13091.6	11245.49	9345			9325(9.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-77	-10000	-19	-250	0.01	20%		-64.1	5.2%	0	-1.6	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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