Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $20675.0000 (2.1%) ($20376.7500 - $21900.0000) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.28% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $20675.0000(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    IWD(11%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.64% (StdDev 5.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $21843.58
5 Day Moving Average   $20885(-1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20952.47(-1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21843.58(-5.35%)
To recent high   -31.9%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 6.74% (three month std-dev: 5.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2015	26383.49	21843.58	20952.47	20885			20675(2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	2	-23	0.01	37%	-0.22	-84	5.28%	0	-0.8	38	0
2	Sep_9_2015	26441.66	22207.53	21010.71	20750			20250(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-3	-35	0	42%	-0.2	-56.3	5.33%	0	-1	42	0
3	Sep_8_2015	26493.95	22504.42	21151.65	20925			21500(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	1	-34	0	48%	-0.16	-49.6	5.57%	0	-0.5	44	0
4	Sep_4_2015	26535.68	22729.35	21099.18	20875			20375(-5.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0	48%	-0.32	-43.9	5.78%	0	-1	37	0
5	Sep_3_2015	26620.28	22969.34	21228.02	21175			21625(8.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.01	48%	-0.18	-38.1	5.73%	0	-0.6	34	0

6	Sep_2_2015	26666.99	23153.38	21399.73	21050			20000(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0	45%	-0.17	-39.1	5.71%	0	-1.4	27	0
7	Sep_1_2015	26712.45	23407.8	21667.86	21300			21125(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-22	-10000	-2	-82	0	45%	-0.1	-42	5.69%	0	-1.1	22	0
8	Aug_31_2015	26738.96	23624.52	21849.45	21400			21250(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	-10000	1	-92	0	45%	-0.11	-43.4	5.69%	0	-1.1	34	0
9	Aug_28_2015	26768.01	23769.48	22066.21	21350			21875(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	-10000	1	-103	0	40%	-0.11	-48.7	5.74%	0	-0.9	36	0
10	Aug_27_2015	26798.31	23858.63	22386.81	21300			21000(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0	40%	-0.24	-54.2	5.93%	0	-1.5	38	0

11	Aug_26_2015	26862.7	24064.57	22790.66	21825			21250(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-93	0	39%	-0.29	-51.2	5.93%	0	-1.5	38	0
12	Aug_25_2015	26939.72	24348.2	23479.67	22100			21625(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-4	-74	0	39%	-0.25	-53.8	5.99%	0	-1.5	41	0
13	Aug_24_2015	27007.9	24563.67	23951.1	22375			21000(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-7	-66	0	39%	-0.23	-59.2	6.02%	0	-2.1	37	0
14	Aug_21_2015	27069.21	24788.33	24491.76	22875			21625(-8.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-10	-49	0	37%	-0.33	-62.8	6.1%	0	-2.1	46	0
15	Aug_20_2015	27158.49	24974.79	24872.53	23625			23625(4.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-4	-26	0.01	39%	-0.13	-65.3	6.03%	0	-1	54	0

16	Aug_19_2015	27194.21	25101.86	25059.34	23925			22625(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-16	-23	0	39%	-0.21	-59	6.01%	0	-1.7	45	0
17	Aug_18_2015	27250.33	25381.22	25317.03	25100			23000(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-9	-1	0.01	39%	-0.2	-39.6	6.04%	0	-1.6	40	0
18	Aug_17_2015	27305.18	25631.56	25582.69	25775			23500(-7.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-2	-10000	-7	13	0.01	39%	-0.19	-25.5	6.04%	0	-1.6	45	0
19	Aug_14_2015	27357.47	25784.05	25662.36	26325			25375(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	1	25	0	43%	-0.16	-17.8	5.98%	0	-0.3	53	0
20	Aug_13_2015	27402.12	25900.62	25487.64	26275			25125(-11.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-1	17	0	43%	-0.25	-9.6	6.06%	0	-0.6	53	0

21	Aug_12_2015	27470.99	26010.15	25471.7	26325			28500(8.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	10	19	0.01	48%	-0.21	1.8	5.9%	0	1.7	57	0
22	Aug_11_2015	27528.39	25977.35	25257.14	25600			26375(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	3	-5	0	46%	-0.23	4.4	5.91%	0	0.3	42	0
23	Aug_10_2015	27592.17	25984.74	25175.82	25400			26250(4.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	6	-16	0	46%	-0.29	9.2	5.94%	0	0.2	43	0
24	Aug_7_2015	27673.8	26027.21	25050.82	24925			25125(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	5	-31	0	49%	-0.37	6.9	6.11%	0	-0.6	47	0
25	Aug_6_2015	27775.84	26032.32	25038.19	24575			25375(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.01	49%		-5.2	6.11%	0	-0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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