Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $25125.0000 (-0.99%) ($24125.0000 - $25750.0000) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.11% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $25125.0000(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.055% (StdDev 6.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $26027.21
5 Day Moving Average   $24925(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25050.82(0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26027.21(-3.47%)
To recent high   -33.7%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 5.39% (three month std-dev: 6.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2015	27673.8	26027.21	25050.82	24925			25125(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	5	-31	0	49%	-0.37	6.9	6.11%	0	-0.6	47	0
2	Aug_6_2015	27775.84	26032.32	25038.19	24575			25375(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.01	49%	-0.48	-5.2	6.11%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Aug_5_2015	27910.7	25984.25	25098.63	24475			24875(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-59	0	49%	-0.42	-10.6	6.11%	0	-0.7	43	0
4	Aug_4_2015	28029.32	25918.65	25408.24	24875			25375(6.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-1	-50	0.01	49%	-0.27	-13	6.11%	0	-0.3	41	0
5	Aug_3_2015	28105.85	25857.73	25646.7	24950			23875(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0	48%	-0.33	-17.9	6.09%	0	-1.2	43	0

6	Jul_31_2015	28197.69	25930.04	25912.64	25200			23375(-6.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-4	-44	0.01	48%	-0.36	-15.7	6.13%	0	-1.6	40	0
7	Jul_30_2015	28299.09	26109.19	26375.27	25525			24875(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-3	-29	0.01	52%	-0.41	-14	6.11%	0	-0.8	53	0
8	Jul_29_2015	28416.44	26150.55	26634.62	25775			26875(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0	54%	-0.21	-10.8	6.38%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Jul_28_2015	28476.39	26131.01	26765.38	26050			25750(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	8	0	54%	-0.21	-1.2	6.39%	0	-0.3	63	0
10	Jul_27_2015	28537.61	26151.73	26867.86	26500			25125(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-3	27	0	52%	-0.44	9.6	6.4%	0	-0.7	58	0

11	Jul_24_2015	28662.61	26185.15	27098.63	26750			25000(-4.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-6	38	0	52%	-0.45	9.2	6.47%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Jul_23_2015	28791.44	26320.93	27145.33	27325			26125(-7.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-3	47	0	50%	-0.31	23.4	6.45%	0	-0.1	49	0
13	Jul_22_2015	28882	26311.53	26987.09	27575			28250(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	-0	50	0	52%	-0.16	18.4	6.44%	0	1.3	59	0
14	Jul_21_2015	28929.2	26149.86	26496.15	27600			28000(6.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	42	0	52%	-0.16	4.1	6.45%	0	1.3	54	0
15	Jul_20_2015	28975.11	26011.6	26089.56	27325			26375(-5.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-2	28	0	50%	-0.23	-16.4	6.42%	0	0.3	52	0

16	Jul_17_2015	29042.72	26052.07	25957.42	27500			27875(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	33	0	50%	-0.16	-9.4	6.52%	0	1.3	58	0
17	Jul_16_2015	29089.91	25981.42	25811.81	26925			27375(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	8	19	0	52%	-0.42	-26.2	6.54%	0	1	49	0
18	Jul_15_2015	29212.36	26044.34	25607.14	26275			28375(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	13	7	0	52%	-0.42	-39.5	6.63%	0	1.6	57	0
19	Jul_14_2015	29336.08	26091.57	25387.64	25225			26625(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	7	-12	0	52%	-0.47	-49.4	6.64%	0	0.3	56	0
20	Jul_13_2015	29475.11	26237.36	25315.38	24675			27250(9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-1	-10000	6	-21	0.01	52%	-0.57	-41.2	6.64%	0	0.6	56	0

21	Jul_10_2015	29644.76	26182.32	25126.92	24225			25000(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.01	50%	-0.48	-38.8	6.55%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	Jul_9_2015	29788.89	26336.19	25378.57	24575			24125(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-30	0.01	48%	-0.48	-22.8	6.55%	0	-1.2	43	0
23	Jul_8_2015	29933.02	26641.3	25565.38	24850			23125(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-8	-37	0	48%	-0.47	-2	6.63%	0	-1.8	34	0
24	Jul_7_2015	30074.6	26927.35	25800.55	25550			23875(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-5	-37	0.01	48%	-0.21	17.4	6.65%	0	-1.7	33	0
25	Jul_6_2015	30138.52	27017.96	25978.57	26000			25000(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.01	48%		28.9	6.63%	0	-1.2	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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