Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $32250.0000 (-8.83%) ($32125.0000 - $34500.0000) on Fri. May. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.67% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $32250.0000(-8.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.335% (StdDev 6.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35156.75(-8.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35012.55(-7.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31745.4(1.59%)
To recent high   -20.4%
To recent low   44.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 14.65% (three month std-dev: 6.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2015	35074.6	31745.4	35012.55	35156.75			32250(-8.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-9	57	0	54%	-0.08	59	6.67%	0	0.1	56	0
2	May_21_2015	35103.72	31373.52	35084.05	36231.75			35375(2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-3	87	0	57%	-0.42	60.9	6.63%	0	0.8	66	0
3	May_20_2015	35251.92	30839.56	34490.17	36631.75			34500(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	-0	100	0	60%	-0.75	60.2	6.68%	0	0.8	68	0
4	May_19_2015	35517.38	30432.33	34058.93	36681.75			35783.75(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	4	119	0	60%	-0.83	61.2	6.84%	0	1.1	79	0
5	May_18_2015	35814.72	29904.22	33518.41	36225			37875(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	12	142	0	60%	-0.59	60.5	6.81%	0	1.7	85	0

6	May_15_2015	36027.35	29220.1	32798.9	34825			37625(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	9	148	0	60%	0.05	57.2	6.77%	0	1.9	86	0
7	May_14_2015	36010.7	28671.28	31979.67	33775			37375(7.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	-10000	16	155	0	60%	-0.65	60.4	6.82%	0	2.2	77	0
8	May_13_2015	36246.38	28186.75	31047.14	32075			34750(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	9	139	0	58%	-0.93	60.2	6.81%	0	1.9	74	0
9	May_12_2015	36587.53	27732.05	30028.73	31075			33500(8.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	6	117	0	58%	-1.01	54.6	6.84%	0	1.8	65	0
10	May_11_2015	36959.91	27264.09	29003.73	30425			30875(-4.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	-0	100	0	60%	-1.66	44.9	6.88%	0	1.2	64	0

11	May_8_2015	37584.91	26904.08	28193.56	30450			32375(12.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	5	97	0	60%	-2.06	38.9	7.07%	0	1.9	69	0
12	May_7_2015	38375.27	26473.21	27354.27	29925			28875(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	1	80	0	56%	-2.12	25.9	6.96%	0	0.9	54	0
13	May_6_2015	39206	26266.65	26922.95	29824.75			29750(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	11	70	0	56%	-1.95	21.3	7.01%	0	1.4	52	0
14	May_5_2015	39987.25	26120.93	26552.89	28749.75			30250(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	15	52	0	56%	-2.11	8	7.02%	0	1.7	59	0
15	May_4_2015	40847.93	26013.12	26029.26	27299.75			31000(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	19	30	0	56%	-2.14	-7.9	7.06%	0	2.1	64	0

16	May_1_2015	41741.67	25840.33	25343.27	25574.75			29750(4.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	9	-10000	13	-2	0	56%	-1.92	-31.3	7.12%	0	1.8	64	0
17	Apr_30_2015	42558.2	25825.35	25042.45	24449.75			28373.75(16.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	-10000	9	-15	0.01	56%	-2	-43.1	7.15%	0	1.2	61	0
18	Apr_29_2015	43425.4	25742.06	25003.57	23675			24375(5.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0	47%	-1.93	-63	6.84%	0	-0.6	51	0
19	Apr_28_2015	44279.57	25925.97	25188.46	24075			23000(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-6	-20	0	47%	-1.9	-69.4	6.99%	0	-1.4	40	0
20	Apr_27_2015	45135.04	26199.86	25373.9	24550			22375(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.01	47%	-2.26	-74.5	7%	0	-1.8	35	0

21	Apr_24_2015	46176.71	26522.79	25565.11	25000			24125(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-8	-31	0	49%	-1.87	-86.8	6.98%	0	-1.2	40	0
22	Apr_23_2015	47056.91	26801.86	25596.98	25675			24500(-7.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-37	0	49%	-2.15	-88.8	7.03%	0	-1.2	37	0
23	Apr_22_2015	48090.77	27158.22	25654.4	26525			26375(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	0	-26	0	48%	-2.23	-84.3	7.07%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Apr_21_2015	49185.82	27514.71	25727.75	26500			25375(3.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	2	-28	0	48%	-2.51	-74.3	7.15%	0	-0.8	45	0
25	Apr_20_2015	50451.45	27864.16	26050.55	26325			24625(-10.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	2	-30	0	42%		-72.7	7.2%	0	-1.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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