Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $28750.0000 (9.52%) ($24750.0000 - $29000.0000) on Thu. Apr. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.51% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $28750.0000(9.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)    PEJ(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.755% (StdDev 7.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27285.45(-5.09%)
5 Day Moving Average   $25475(12.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26655.77(7.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28684.25(0.23%)
To recent high   -47%
To recent low   21.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 11.53% (three month std-dev: 7.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2015	52186.46	28684.25	26655.77	25475			28750(9.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	8	-39	0	45%	-3.12	-65.2	7.51%	0	0	47	0
2	Apr_15_2015	53868.04	29125.91	26464.84	24700			26250(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-2	-67	0	39%	-3.27	-58.1	7.44%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Apr_14_2015	55686.46	29618.91	26640.66	24925			24500(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-9	-81	0	50%	-2.9	-50.9	7.44%	0	-1.2	25	0
4	Apr_13_2015	57349.62	30053.01	27039.29	25800			23750(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-8	-69	0	53%	-3.11	-46.9	8.59%	0	-1.6	28	0
5	Apr_10_2015	59191.72	30533.59	27553.02	26725			24125(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-10	-67	0	49%	-3.5	-49.2	8.9%	0	-1.7	27	0

6	Apr_9_2015	61337.78	31017.86	28136.81	27975			24875(-9.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-4	-60	0	49%	-3.2	-50	8.97%	0	-1.8	26	0
7	Apr_8_2015	63365.41	31602.4	28840.38	28425			27375(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-66	0	51%	-2.72	-47.6	8.91%	0	-1.3	25	0
8	Apr_7_2015	65137.78	31891.58	29481.87	28575			28875(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-67	0	51%	-2.69	-49.5	8.93%	0	-1	34	0
9	Apr_6_2015	66936.46	32055.27	29834.89	28475			28375(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-0	-70	0	51%	-3.64	-53.2	8.96%	0	-1.2	43	0
10	Apr_2_2015	69463.16	32500.17	30398.63	28525			30375(11.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	1	-68	0	51%	-2.3	-45.1	8.86%	0	-0.7	47	0

11	Apr_1_2015	71097.28	32849.63	30829.95	28400			27125(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-7	-70	0	48%	-2.39	-40.3	8.73%	0	-1.8	37	0
12	Mar_31_2015	72836.86	33266.98	31948.33	29350			28125(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-9	-57	0	44%	-2.47	-42.5	8.79%	0	-1.7	33	0
13	Mar_30_2015	74679.31	33537.79	32791.39	30550			28375(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-6	-36	0	44%	-2.58	-46.8	9.05%	0	-1.9	45	0
14	Mar_27_2015	76653.27	33780.48	33298.18	31400			28625(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	0	47%	-2.59	-56.3	9.12%	0	-2.1	48	0
15	Mar_26_2015	78689.73	34033.88	33786.85	32525			29750(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0	47%	-2.11	-71.1	9.19%	0	-2	40	0

16	Mar_25_2015	80383.74	34204.55	34198.17	33600			31875(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-8	-18	0	47%	-1.96	-69.4	9.16%	0	-1	42	0
17	Mar_24_2015	81993.11	34565.82	34655.1	34943.25			34125(4.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-3	-0	0	45%	-1.71	-47.3	9.2%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Mar_23_2015	83420.2	34856.03	34543.08	35418.25			32625(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	2	-10000	-0	6	0	45%	-1.48	-34	9.27%	0	-0.8	53	0
19	Mar_20_2015	84672.8	35222.27	34506.05	35468.25			34250(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	2	6	0	41%	-1.38	-24.7	9.64%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Mar_19_2015	85857.7	35664.28	34791.83	35193.25			35125(-8.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	2	10	0	38%	-1.3	-15	9.72%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	Mar_18_2015	86986.6	35850.21	35008.93	34830.75			38591.25(5.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	3	15	0	38%	-1.18	-17.5	9.86%	0	0.8	63	0
22	Mar_17_2015	88022.11	35805.77	34606.46	34387.5			36500(11.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	5	0	38%	-1.06	-15.9	9.82%	0	0.2	47	0
23	Mar_16_2015	88964.82	35821.89	34239.01	33637.5			32875(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-16	0	35%	-1.17	-14.2	9.71%	0	-0.9	38	0
24	Mar_13_2015	90018.2	36046.17	34236.13	33412.5			32875(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0	35%	-1.2	-7.2	9.65%	0	-1	39	0
25	Mar_12_2015	91108.05	36172.1	34277.47	34312.5			33312.5(-8.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0	37%		5.5	9.73%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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