Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $30375.0000 (11.98%) ($27606.2500 - $30625.0000) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.86% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $30375.0000(11.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.43% (StdDev 8.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.7%

Resistance Level   $32500.17
5 Day Moving Average   $28525(6.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30398.63(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32500.17(-6.54%)
To recent high   -53.1%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10% (three month std-dev: 8.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	69463.16	32500.17	30398.63	28525			30375(11.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	1	-68	0	51%	-2.3	-45.1	8.86%	0	-0.7	47	0
2	Apr_1_2015	71097.28	32849.63	30829.95	28400			27125(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-7	-70	0	48%	-2.39	-40.3	8.73%	0	-1.8	37	0
3	Mar_31_2015	72836.86	33266.98	31948.33	29350			28125(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-9	-57	0	44%	-2.47	-42.5	8.79%	0	-1.7	33	0
4	Mar_30_2015	74679.31	33537.79	32791.39	30550			28375(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-6	-36	0	44%	-2.58	-46.8	9.05%	0	-1.9	45	0
5	Mar_27_2015	76653.27	33780.48	33298.18	31400			28625(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	0	47%	-2.59	-56.3	9.12%	0	-2.1	48	0

6	Mar_26_2015	78689.73	34033.88	33786.85	32525			29750(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0	47%	-2.11	-71.1	9.19%	0	-2	40	0
7	Mar_25_2015	80383.74	34204.55	34198.17	33600			31875(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-8	-18	0	47%	-1.96	-69.4	9.16%	0	-1	42	0
8	Mar_24_2015	81993.11	34565.82	34655.1	34943.25			34125(4.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-3	-0	0	45%	-1.71	-47.3	9.2%	0	-0.2	51	0
9	Mar_23_2015	83420.2	34856.03	34543.08	35418.25			32625(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	2	-10000	-0	6	0	45%	-1.48	-34	9.27%	0	-0.8	53	0
10	Mar_20_2015	84672.8	35222.27	34506.05	35468.25			34250(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	2	6	0	41%	-1.38	-24.7	9.64%	0	-0.3	56	0

11	Mar_19_2015	85857.7	35664.28	34791.83	35193.25			35125(-8.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	2	10	0	38%	-1.3	-15	9.72%	0	-0.2	57	0
12	Mar_18_2015	86986.6	35850.21	35008.93	34830.75			38591.25(5.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	-10000	3	15	0	38%	-1.18	-17.5	9.86%	0	0.8	63	0
13	Mar_17_2015	88022.11	35805.77	34606.46	34387.5			36500(11.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	5	0	38%	-1.06	-15.9	9.82%	0	0.2	47	0
14	Mar_16_2015	88964.82	35821.89	34239.01	33637.5			32875(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	1	-16	0	35%	-1.17	-14.2	9.71%	0	-0.9	38	0
15	Mar_13_2015	90018.2	36046.17	34236.13	33412.5			32875(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0	35%	-1.2	-7.2	9.65%	0	-1	39	0

16	Mar_12_2015	91108.05	36172.1	34277.47	34312.5			33312.5(-8.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0	37%	-1.2	5.5	9.73%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Mar_11_2015	92211.56	36448.14	34225	35175			36375(11.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	2	-41	0	37%	-1.21	21.1	9.77%	0	-0	48	0
18	Mar_10_2015	93337.86	36343.72	34446.98	34900			32750(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-0	-44	0	34%	-1.2	14.6	9.64%	0	-1.1	44	0
19	Mar_9_2015	94471.98	36311.6	35183.24	34925			31750(-15.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-1	-39	0	34%	-1.32	10.5	9.65%	0	-1.3	45	0
20	Mar_6_2015	95735	36289.64	36026.1	35075			37375(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	5	-31	0	34%	-1.28	6.2	9.56%	0	0.3	53	0

21	Mar_5_2015	96979.79	35992.06	36583.79	34200			37625(7.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	6	-26	0	37%	-1.26	-6.3	9.64%	0	0.4	58	0
22	Mar_4_2015	98214.17	35777.69	36699.73	33175			35000(6.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-5	-38	0	36%	-1.29	-23	9.74%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Mar_3_2015	99498.02	35869.61	37034.34	34050			32875(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-9	-27	0	36%	-1.41	-24.5	9.78%	0	-0.8	53	0
24	Mar_2_2015	100915.99	35958.08	37501.65	35575			32500(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0	34%	-1.34	-22.8	9.79%	0	-0.9	58	0
25	Feb_27_2015	102285.78	36073.76	38031.32	37125			33000(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-11	19	0	32%		-25.2	9.85%	0	-0.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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