Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $31125.0000 (3.32%) ($30000.0000 - $31625.0000) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.77% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $31125.0000(3.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -14.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    VIXM(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.885% (StdDev 9.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $41506.7
5 Day Moving Average   $32475(-4.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34867.58(-10.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41506.7(-25.01%)
To recent high   -86.3%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 22.03% (three month std-dev: 9.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2015	122262.22	41506.7	34867.58	32475			31125(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-4	-88	0	33%	-1.18	-43.8	9.77%	0	-1.1	34	0
2	Feb_6_2015	123726.13	42505.11	35912.36	33075			30125(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-98	0	36%	-1.26	-43.8	9.74%	0	-1.4	25	0
3	Feb_5_2015	125304.74	43525.41	37419.23	33900			31000(-6.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-29	-10000	-5	-102	0	36%	-1.35	-44.1	10.04%	0	-1.5	24	0
4	Feb_4_2015	127014.79	44384.67	38557.42	34825			33250(-9.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-37	-10000	-9	-119	0	37%	-1.29	-50.9	10.05%	0	-1.4	23	0
5	Feb_3_2015	128670.72	45272.65	39895.6	36425			36875(8.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-7	-109	0	39%	-1.17	-56.1	10.09%	0	-1.1	45	0

6	Feb_2_2015	130195.21	45939.78	40598.08	37725			34125(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-8	-101	0	39%	-1.09	-58.8	10.17%	0	-1.6	48	0
7	Jan_30_2015	131625.62	46834.53	42559.07	39250			34250(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-11	-89	0	39%	-1.07	-63.2	10.19%	0	-1.8	43	0
8	Jan_29_2015	133048.3	47670.17	44933.24	41475			35625(-13.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-6	-64	0.01	39%	-1.17	-70.8	10.2%	0	-1.9	45	0
9	Jan_28_2015	134620.46	48907.53	47769.78	42750			41250(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-37	0	42%	-1.13	-80.5	10.11%	0	-1.3	50	0
10	Jan_27_2015	136157.82	50040.4	48598.08	43850			43375(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-0	-30	0	41%	-1.01	-89.1	10.18%	0	-1.1	49	0

11	Jan_26_2015	137548.29	50793.51	48686.54	43950			41750(-7.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-11	-40	0	41%	-0.94	-105.8	10.17%	0	-1.3	49	0
12	Jan_23_2015	138856.28	51712.78	49654.67	46450			45375(8.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-11	-26	0	41%	-0.93	-125	10.14%	0	-0.9	50	0
13	Jan_22_2015	140165.55	52775.48	50146.15	49075			42000(-10.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-17	-12	0	41%	-0.97	-136	10.07%	0	-1.6	49	0
14	Jan_21_2015	141543.13	54117	50777.75	53625			46750(6.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-1	11	0	42%	-0.98	-149.4	10.01%	0	-1.1	44	0
15	Jan_20_2015	142946.48	56176.32	51180.77	54025			43875(-19.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	1	-10000	1	-1	0	41%	-1.17	-148.5	9.97%	0	-1.7	40	0

16	Jan_16_2015	144645.17	59198.01	51857.42	53850			54250(-7.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	3	-11	0	44%	-1.06	-100.6	9.66%	0	-0.5	50	0
17	Jan_15_2015	146196.71	61693.1	51518.96	53150			58500(-9.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	7	-23	0	44%	-0.98	-71.9	9.63%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Jan_14_2015	147642.59	63807.68	50573.35	51400			64750(32.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	16	-49	0	44%	-0.88	-62	9.57%	0	0	49	0
19	Jan_13_2015	148959.6	65962.65	49854.12	47850			48750(13.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-1	-95	0	39%	-1	-58.5	8.58%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	Jan_12_2015	150459.6	69212.62	51312.64	48150			43000(-15.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-35	-10000	-6	-121	0	36%	-0.94	-54.5	8.39%	0	-1.1	19	0

21	Jan_9_2015	151888.72	72433.44	52898.63	49475			50750(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-0	-154	0	38%	-0.91	-51	8.21%	0	-0.9	18	0
22	Jan_8_2015	153284.34	75413.86	53785.16	49475			49750(5.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-10000	0	-190	0	37%	-0.86	-51.9	8.2%	0	-1	17	0
23	Jan_7_2015	154613.56	78248.77	55479.95	49550			47000(-6.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-64	-10000	-12	-218	0	37%	-0.91	-54.6	8.17%	0	-1.2	17	0
24	Jan_6_2015	156031.08	81212.47	57679.56	52200			50250(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-10000	-13	-231	0	36%	-0.81	-59.2	8.16%	0	-1.2	16	0
25	Jan_5_2015	157299.12	84798.9	61512.52	55075			49625(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-10000	-8	-226	0	36%		-64.8	8.2%	0	-1.4	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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