Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $217500.0000 (11.11%) ($212625.0000 - $230874.9800) on Wed. Nov. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.93% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $217500.0000(11.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(17%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)    PEJ(10%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.965% (StdDev 5.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $190175(14.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $197567.86(10.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $176961.4(22.91%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   71.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 17.13% (three month std-dev: 5.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2014	185082.65	176961.4	197567.86	190175			217500(11.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	11	51	0	59%	-0.37	37.9	5.93%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Nov_18_2014	185763.21	172995.51	194873.63	184125			195750(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	1	55	0	57%	-0.5	30.4	5.83%	0	0.8	70	0
3	Nov_17_2014	186698.81	170435.01	194021.43	183800			199750(14.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	19	-10000	-2	81	0	57%	-0.44	28.1	5.82%	0	1	72	0
4	Nov_14_2014	187529.62	167494.34	191326.1	184850			173750(5.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-16	113	0	51%	-0.6	25.6	5.61%	0	0.2	72	0
5	Nov_13_2014	188665.98	166481.42	189837.64	193675			164125(-12.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	26	-10000	-21	165	0	47%	-0.78	33.5	5.59%	0	-0.1	66	0

6	Nov_12_2014	190150.83	166167.54	188942.86	205675			187250(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	59	-10000	-2	242	0	50%	-0.63	45.8	5.54%	0	0.7	71	0
7	Nov_11_2014	191349.07	164525.69	185015.11	206700			194125(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	69	-10000	3	267	0	50%	-0.52	46.8	5.52%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Nov_10_2014	192354.12	162578.11	179725	205150			205000(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	78	-10000	12	276	0	50%	-0.57	43.8	5.48%	0	1.6	73	0
9	Nov_7_2014	193461.44	160484.94	172101.37	198375			217875(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	83	-10000	26	254	0	53%	-0.53	38.5	5.47%	0	2.2	78	0
10	Nov_6_2014	194499.32	157429.7	163493.96	185375			224125(16.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	73	-10000	33	192	0	53%	-0.57	21.7	5.48%	0	3	72	0

11	Nov_5_2014	195619.27	154029.49	154317.03	170150			192375(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	-10000	24	119	0	49%	-0.78	-1.4	5.12%	0	2.3	63	0
12	Nov_4_2014	197162.2	152329.01	148666.21	160375			186375(8.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	-10000	25	63	0	49%	-0.81	-26.6	5.12%	0	2.3	62	0
13	Nov_3_2014	198772.04	151417.47	144044.23	150700			171125(11.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	25	9	0	46%	-0.91	-56.7	5.02%	0	1.5	55	0
14	Oct_31_2014	200588.96	151204.83	140780.49	141875			152875(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	11	-59	0	44%	-0.98	-73.7	4.81%	0	0.1	38	0
15	Oct_30_2014	202582.65	152782.53	140522.53	138100			148000(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	6	-87	0	44%	-0.78	-75.5	4.83%	0	-0.3	39	0

16	Oct_29_2014	204168.51	154254.7	141160.44	136000			143500(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	3	-103	0	44%	-0.81	-74.6	4.84%	0	-0.6	35	0
17	Oct_28_2014	205833.91	156358.98	142254.67	135150			138000(8.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0	44%	-0.94	-66.1	4.84%	0	-0.9	31	0
18	Oct_27_2014	207796.03	159449.03	144184.62	136450			127000(-5.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-10000	-9	-127	0	41%	-1.06	-55.5	4.72%	0	-1.6	15	0
19	Oct_24_2014	210030.88	163121.27	148360.71	139375			134000(-2.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-11	-117	0	45%	-0.98	-49.8	4.71%	0	-1.5	21	0
20	Oct_23_2014	212102.85	165895.44	151393.96	143175			137500(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-11	-117	0	45%	-0.92	-44.5	4.76%	0	-1.5	17	0

21	Oct_22_2014	214063.71	168381.35	154168.41	147050			139250(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-9	-110	0	43%	-0.85	-41.8	4.76%	0	-1.6	27	0
22	Oct_21_2014	215905.88	170455.04	156727.75	150425			144500(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-8	-111	0	41%	-0.84	-45.1	4.8%	0	-1.6	26	0
23	Oct_20_2014	217727.85	171893.65	159698.9	153175			141625(-7.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	-10000	-14	-119	0	41%	-0.79	-50.7	4.85%	0	-2	20	0
24	Oct_17_2014	219458.91	173668.99	162765.11	158650			153000(-2.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-33	-10000	-6	-115	0	41%	-0.75	-50.6	4.77%	0	-1.5	24	0
25	Oct_16_2014	221119.27	174804.9	166175.55	160850			156875(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0	41%		-49.7	4.92%	0	-1.4	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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