Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $156875.0000 (0.48%) ($149375.0000 - $157875.0000) on Thu. Oct. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.92% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $156875.0000(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    XOP(17%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    VIXM(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.46% (StdDev 4.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $174804.9
5 Day Moving Average   $160850(-2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166175.55(-5.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $174804.9(-10.26%)
To recent high   -30.2%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 7.41% (three month std-dev: 4.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2014	221119.27	174804.9	166175.55	160850			156875(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0	41%	-0.75	-49.7	4.92%	0	-1.4	35	0
2	Oct_15_2014	222797.3	176188.81	168429.67	162425			156125(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-4	-103	0	41%	-0.65	-43.2	4.92%	0	-1.5	37	0
3	Oct_14_2014	224245.53	178238.88	171549.73	163975			158250(-6.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-8	-94	0	41%	-0.3	-39.2	4.94%	0	-1.6	43	0
4	Oct_13_2014	224918.95	180058.63	175818.68	167200			169000(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-63	0	42%	-0.52	-34.1	4.89%	0	-1	53	0
5	Oct_10_2014	226091.15	180889.85	178844.23	167625			164000(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-12	-51	0	42%	-0.51	-31.4	4.87%	0	-1.5	48	0

6	Oct_9_2014	227253.14	181477.35	181396.15	172500			164750(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0	42%	-0.6	-19.3	4.89%	0	-1.5	49	0
7	Oct_8_2014	228635.79	181999.93	183670.05	175450			163875(-6.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-11	-12	0	42%	-0.66	-12.9	4.91%	0	-1.7	43	0
8	Oct_7_2014	230149.82	183285.91	185401.1	180200			174375(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-12	-6	0	41%	-0.55	5.3	4.86%	0	-0.9	41	0
9	Oct_6_2014	231424.06	184100.01	185254.4	185775			171125(-9.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-12	1	0	41%	-0.51	25.6	4.97%	0	-1.4	41	0
10	Oct_3_2014	232617.93	184561.75	185789.01	191700			188375(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	-0	21	0	44%	-0.46	28.4	4.89%	0	0.4	53	0

11	Oct_2_2014	233698.29	183634.13	184350.55	191725			179500(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-3	21	0	40%	-0.45	11.6	4.85%	0	-0.4	56	0
12	Oct_1_2014	234751.86	183358.64	184785.71	192975			187625(-7.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	4	36	0	40%	-0.4	3.3	4.86%	0	0.4	60	0
13	Sep_30_2014	235690.64	182771.28	185546.15	191075			202250(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	15	40	0	42%	-0.39	-9.5	4.79%	0	1.9	56	0
14	Sep_29_2014	236606.45	181685.65	184417.31	184625			200750(6.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	13	16	0	42%	-0.49	-35.1	4.8%	0	2.1	54	0
15	Sep_26_2014	237763.34	181826.36	182615.93	179200			188500(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	7	-3	0	38%	-0.58	-35.1	4.72%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Sep_25_2014	239148.55	182480.58	181082.42	176125			185750(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	1	-14	0	38%	-0.74	-32.3	4.8%	0	0.3	60	0
17	Sep_24_2014	240939.36	183028.73	179766.48	175625			178125(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-9	-21	0	38%	-0.83	-24.9	4.77%	0	-0.4	55	0
18	Sep_23_2014	242961.05	183729.85	180706.04	179375			170000(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-11	1	0	34%	-0.76	-13.5	4.76%	0	-1.2	50	0
19	Sep_22_2014	244818.19	184970.61	182780.93	184150			173625(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-5	27	0	34%	-0.73	5.6	4.82%	0	-1	47	0
20	Sep_19_2014	246625.59	185457.5	183401.81	186375			173125(-5.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	5	-10000	0	19	0	34%	-0.75	14.6	4.82%	0	-1.1	37	0

21	Sep_18_2014	248489.11	186178.09	183221.59	186325			183250(-6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	-10000	5	-2	0	36%	-0.78	14.6	4.8%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Sep_17_2014	250436.81	186007.87	182234.49	184125			196875(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	4	-27	0	37%	-0.76	8.6	4.75%	0	1	49	0
23	Sep_16_2014	252352.63	185335.12	179989.16	182375			193875(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	2	-45	0	37%	-0.71	-2.6	4.74%	0	0.8	51	0
24	Sep_15_2014	254149.82	184319.49	178686.69	181674.75			184750(6.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	3	-56	0	35%	-0.64	-15.5	4.68%	0	0	47	0
25	Sep_12_2014	255787.58	183812.84	180705.19	180374.75			172875(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-10	-10000	2	-47	0	38%		-28.5	4.58%	0	-1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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