Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $355750.0000 (-4.91%) ($354000.0000 - $380612.5000) on Thu. May. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   293.28% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $355750.0000(-4.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    XOP(17%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -146.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -146.64% (StdDev 293.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $365950(-2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $364500(-2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $345865.47(2.86%)
To recent high   -14.3%
To recent low   1862.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -86.01%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 86.01% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 6.76% (three month std-dev: 293.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2014	314153.74	345865.47	364500	365950			355750(-4.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	0	-10000	-0	1	0	97%	0.23	74.4	293.28%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Apr_30_2014	313448.01	342810.91	361839.84	366050			374125(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	0	-10000	0	1	0	97%	0.35	66.7	293.27%	0	1.2	64	0
3	Apr_29_2014	312364.67	337950.83	357748.9	364475			384625(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.39	54.6	295.3%	0	1.6	69	0
4	Apr_28_2014	311148.53	333377.9	352275.55	361425			370000(7.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.41	56.3	295.71%	0	1.3	70	0
5	Apr_25_2014	309886.81	330555.73	349415.38	359000			345250(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	0	-10000	-0	1	0	95%	0.32	63.5	293.47%	0	0.6	68	0

6	Apr_24_2014	308892.02	329286.4	349517.31	362800			356250(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-10000	0	2	0	95%	0.46	74.6	295.75%	0	1	72	0
7	Apr_23_2014	307489.67	326293.37	347068.96	356375			366250(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1	-10000	0	2	0	95%	0.49	65.4	295.68%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Apr_22_2014	305988.37	322933.01	342858.24	349500			369375(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	1	-10000	0	2	0	95%	0.51	60.4	295.67%	0	1.8	83	0
9	Apr_21_2014	304444.11	318372.31	337090.11	341750			357875(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1	-10000	0	2	0	95%	0.49	46.3	295.64%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Apr_17_2014	302955.83	314465.06	331617.58	338725			364250(12.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.53	40	295.61%	0	2.1	62	0

11	Apr_16_2014	301363.39	310679.63	325409.89	334975			324125(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	0	-10000	-0	1	0	95%	0.41	40.5	295.66%	0	0.7	51	0
12	Apr_15_2014	300125.12	309859.81	322372.25	336325			331875(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.45	41.7	295.65%	0	1.1	62	0
13	Apr_14_2014	298776.16	308448.34	316893.41	334825			330625(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.46	34.5	295.66%	0	1.1	59	0
14	Apr_11_2014	297398.03	307556.63	313296.43	331100			342750(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.55	23.5	293.32%	0	1.9	68	0
15	Apr_10_2014	295761.31	305376.31	310243.13	323025			345500(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.58	3.2	295.59%	0	2.3	68	0

16	Apr_9_2014	294060.79	302662.5	307229.12	314625			330875(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.58	-26.7	295.6%	0	1.9	61	0
17	Apr_8_2014	292352.46	301710.15	303592.58	306500			324375(3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	0	0	0	95%	0.53	-44.7	295.64%	0	1.5	54	0
18	Apr_7_2014	290806.89	301856.63	301059.34	296350			312000(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	0	0	0	95%	0.47	-58.3	295.68%	0	0.6	52	0
19	Apr_4_2014	289441	303196.41	297868.96	292825			302375(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.46	-52.6	293.41%	0	-0	46	0
20	Apr_3_2014	288121.99	304828.25	295809.34	295625			303500(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.49	-45	295.69%	0	-0.1	51	0

21	Apr_2_2014	286726.16	306680.18	294623.35	299100			290250(6.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.4	-33.8	295.7%	0	-0.8	51	0
22	Apr_1_2014	285577.72	308606.01	296440.93	300325			273625(-7.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.38	-31	295.7%	0	-1.6	40	0
23	Mar_31_2014	284502.2	312023.55	299859.89	305875			294375(-6.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	0	-0	0	94%	0.46	-29	298.01%	0	-0.9	40	0
24	Mar_28_2014	283205.32	313145.79	301959.07	302850			316375(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	0	-0	0	94%	0.57	-43.9	295.68%	0	0.2	41	0
25	Mar_27_2014	281612.88	314159.32	300424.18	295700			320875(8.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	94%		16.7	298.01%	0	0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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