Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $357875.0000 (-1.75%) ($355861.2500 - $374625.0000) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   295.64% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $357875.0000(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    XOP(17%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -147.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    LQD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -147.82% (StdDev 295.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $341750(4.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $337090.11(6.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $318372.31(12.41%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   1874.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -87.4%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 87.4% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 7.6% (three month std-dev: 295.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2014	304444.11	318372.31	337090.11	341750			357875(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1	-10000	0	2	0	95%	0.49	46.3	295.64%	0	1.6	69	0
2	Apr_17_2014	302955.83	314465.06	331617.58	338725			364250(12.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.53	40	295.61%	0	2.1	62	0
3	Apr_16_2014	301363.39	310679.63	325409.89	334975			324125(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	0	-10000	-0	1	0	95%	0.41	40.5	295.66%	0	0.7	51	0
4	Apr_15_2014	300125.12	309859.81	322372.25	336325			331875(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.45	41.7	295.65%	0	1.1	62	0
5	Apr_14_2014	298776.16	308448.34	316893.41	334825			330625(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.46	34.5	295.66%	0	1.1	59	0

6	Apr_11_2014	297398.03	307556.63	313296.43	331100			342750(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.55	23.5	293.32%	0	1.9	68	0
7	Apr_10_2014	295761.31	305376.31	310243.13	323025			345500(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.58	3.2	295.59%	0	2.3	68	0
8	Apr_9_2014	294060.79	302662.5	307229.12	314625			330875(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	0	-10000	0	1	0	95%	0.58	-26.7	295.6%	0	1.9	61	0
9	Apr_8_2014	292352.46	301710.15	303592.58	306500			324375(3.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	0	0	0	95%	0.53	-44.7	295.64%	0	1.5	54	0
10	Apr_7_2014	290806.89	301856.63	301059.34	296350			312000(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	0	0	0	95%	0.47	-58.3	295.68%	0	0.6	52	0

11	Apr_4_2014	289441	303196.41	297868.96	292825			302375(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.46	-52.6	293.41%	0	-0	46	0
12	Apr_3_2014	288121.99	304828.25	295809.34	295625			303500(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.49	-45	295.69%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Apr_2_2014	286726.16	306680.18	294623.35	299100			290250(6.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.4	-33.8	295.7%	0	-0.8	51	0
14	Apr_1_2014	285577.72	308606.01	296440.93	300325			273625(-7.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	95%	0.38	-31	295.7%	0	-1.6	40	0
15	Mar_31_2014	284502.2	312023.55	299859.89	305875			294375(-6.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	0	-0	0	94%	0.46	-29	298.01%	0	-0.9	40	0

16	Mar_28_2014	283205.32	313145.79	301959.07	302850			316375(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	0	-0	0	94%	0.57	-43.9	295.68%	0	0.2	41	0
17	Mar_27_2014	281612.88	314159.32	300424.18	295700			320875(8.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.3	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	94%	0.59	16.7	298.01%	0	0.3	44	0
18	Mar_26_2014	279951.42	313810.22	297634.34	289975			296375(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.52	-12.1	298.06%	0	-0.9	35	0
19	Mar_25_2014	278516.52	315339.36	299493.41	292575			301375(7.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.55	-26.5	298.06%	0	-0.7	42	0
20	Mar_24_2014	276983.97	317814.16	302334.62	293500			279250(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.43	-28.7	300.47%	0	-1.7	31	0

21	Mar_21_2014	275787.36	322128.25	308728.3	300925			280625(-3.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.41	-5.2	298.08%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	Mar_20_2014	274670.17	310851.32	314581.59	305375			292250(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.43	-23.2	300.45%	0	-0.3	40	0
23	Mar_19_2014	273500.9	316233.58	319788.46	305900			309375(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.49	-18	300.43%	0	-0.1	51	0
24	Mar_18_2014	272171.47	321031.92	321804.95	307350			306000(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%	0.46	-13.4	300.41%	0	-0.2	47	0
25	Mar_17_2014	270918.87	324572.18	325335.44	312800			316375(4.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	94%		-6.6	300.4%	0	-0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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