Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $267875.0000 (7.63%) ($257001.2500 - $269750.0000) on Mon. Dec. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.61% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $267875.0000(7.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 15.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.305% (StdDev 4.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $242050(10.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $227754.91(17.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $204268.29(31.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   73.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 14.06% (three month std-dev: 4.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2013	204543.69	204268.29	227754.91	242050			267875(7.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	64	-10000	17	206	0	54%	-0	80.2	4.61%	0	2.2	88	0
2	Dec_6_2013	204553.79	199160.81	220579.26	232700.25			248875(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-10000	13	189	0	52%	-0.12	80.8	4.6%	0	2	81	0
3	Dec_5_2013	204789.9	194774.11	214236.02	225925.25			249750(12.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	-10000	15	177	0	49%	0.06	76.6	4.63%	0	2.3	83	0
4	Dec_4_2013	204672.47	190196.32	207351.57	218250.25			221625(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	7	165	0	44%	-0.13	71.4	4.48%	0	1.5	81	0
5	Dec_3_2013	204943.94	187016.05	202085.81	214975.5			222125(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	8	149	0	44%	-0.12	62.6	4.48%	0	1.7	70	0

6	Dec_2_2013	205180.05	183577.28	197465.93	211025.5			221126.25(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	10	142	0	44%	-0.1	51.1	4.52%	0	1.9	74	0
7	Nov_29_2013	205382.06	180609.85	193295.9	206465.25			215000.02(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	13	137	0	44%	-0.31	36.1	4.51%	0	2	73	0
8	Nov_27_2013	206015.74	178355.68	189262.28	200590.25			211375(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	13	125	0	44%	-0.17	22.1	4.49%	0	2.2	74	0
9	Nov_26_2013	206365.74	176577.26	184985.52	194765.25			205251.23(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	18	111	0	44%	-0.25	6.9	4.49%	0	2.1	74	0
10	Nov_25_2013	206893.22	175201.55	182249.29	187090			202375(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	13	93	0	44%	-0.17	-15	4.48%	0	2.3	74	0

11	Nov_22_2013	207244.47	174152.35	178912.64	181815			198325(6.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	9	83	0	47%	-0.04	-32.3	4.5%	0	1.9	75	0
12	Nov_21_2013	207334.57	174461.12	175914.56	178325			185625(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	5	72	0	44%	-0.27	-43.7	4.48%	0	0.8	62	0
13	Nov_20_2013	207888.86	175032.6	173703.02	176350			182250(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	59	0	44%	-0.3	-52.8	4.48%	0	0.5	54	0
14	Nov_19_2013	208523.96	175655.52	171629.67	173800			166875(-5.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-7	30	0	43%	-0.31	-64	4.33%	0	-0.6	43	0
15	Nov_18_2013	209172.95	176999.59	170985.99	176425			176000(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	3	30	0	45%	-0.26	-65.5	4.36%	0	-0.1	46	0

16	Nov_15_2013	209719.67	178459.53	168907.14	175300			180875(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	6	3	0	47%	-0.25	-63.7	4.37%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Nov_14_2013	210251.24	180426.04	167146.43	173100			175750(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	47%	-0.43	-61.4	4.42%	0	-0.2	32	0
18	Nov_13_2013	211156.54	182691.85	166734.89	170650			169500(-5.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	4	-71	0	47%	-0.4	-59.6	4.41%	0	-0.6	35	0
19	Nov_12_2013	212007.55	185372.79	167615.66	169025			180000(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	12	-89	0	52%	-0.43	-55.6	4.35%	0	-0.2	40	0
20	Nov_11_2013	212926.74	187868.16	167500.27	164750			170375(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	9	-116	0	50%	-0.53	-54.2	4.37%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	Nov_8_2013	214059.32	191053.59	168828.02	161525			169875(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	3	-142	0	49%	-0.63	-51.7	4.47%	0	-0.8	32	0
22	Nov_7_2013	215406.54	194068.72	172543.41	160425			163500(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-156	0	47%	-0.73	-46.9	4.5%	0	-1.1	24	0
23	Nov_6_2013	216987.35	197132.46	176151.92	162400			161375(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-10	-162	0	47%	-0.69	-41.5	4.56%	0	-1.3	22	0
24	Nov_5_2013	218491.14	200001.38	179788.46	166125			158625(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-12	-166	0	47%	-0.67	-36.3	4.56%	0	-1.6	20	0
25	Nov_4_2013	219964.62	203300.21	183520.6	170750			154250(-6.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-10000	-16	-173	0	47%		-31.6	4.54%	0	-2.1	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.