Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $185750.0000 (-12.07%) ($185000.0000 - $192375.0000) on Mon. Oct. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.57% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $185750.0000(-12.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.285% (StdDev 4.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $211008.56
5 Day Moving Average   $198125(-6.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $210085.16(-11.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $211008.56(-11.97%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 7.62% (three month std-dev: 4.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2013	225531.53	211008.56	210085.16	198125			185750(-12.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-10	-90	0	51%	-0.48	-4.6	4.57%	0	-1.6	36	0
2	Oct_25_2013	226623.7	211723.76	215245.06	202625			211250(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-6	-62	0	56%	-0.4	-3.2	4.4%	0	-0	55	0
3	Oct_24_2013	227523.95	211312.29	217185.99	205425			201125(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0	54%	-0.6	-7.2	4.38%	0	-0.7	61	0
4	Oct_23_2013	228902.74	211315.26	219619.51	210200			197875(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-12	4	0	54%	-0.6	-9.7	4.38%	0	-0.9	61	0
5	Oct_22_2013	230294.15	211375.21	221769.23	215800			194625(-6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-16	36	0	54%	-0.61	-12.2	4.41%	0	-1.1	56	0

6	Oct_21_2013	231714.61	211755.32	224819.23	223700			208250(-7.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-11	77	0	57%	-0.55	-10.5	4.44%	0	-0.2	55	0
7	Oct_18_2013	233007.54	212211.12	225072.53	229425			225250(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-3	114	0	61%	-0.52	-7.3	4.35%	0	0.8	66	0
8	Oct_17_2013	234215.87	212439.57	221728.02	230700.01			225000(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	0	108	0	61%	-0.68	-4.2	4.7%	0	0.8	62	0
9	Oct_16_2013	235826.98	212837.71	218262.64	230500.01			225875(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	4	105	0	61%	-0.73	-1.2	4.73%	0	0.8	63	0
10	Oct_15_2013	237552.99	213288.81	215112.36	228575			234125(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	101	0	61%	-0.01	2.6	4.71%	0	1.1	68	0

11	Oct_14_2013	237587.97	213387.64	211990.11	226100			236875.02(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	101	0	61%	-0.77	5.4	4.72%	0	1.3	67	0
12	Oct_11_2013	239420.88	213387.38	207694.51	220125			231625.02(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	17	70	0	61%	-0.8	2	4.72%	0	1	54	0
13	Oct_10_2013	241355.83	213140.69	204482.14	211450			224000(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	15	21	0	61%	-0.74	-5.2	4.73%	0	0.6	45	0
14	Oct_9_2013	243155.57	213055.95	201766.48	204150			216249.98(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	10	-28	0	61%	-0.78	-13.9	4.71%	0	0.2	40	0
15	Oct_8_2013	245075.22	212816.65	199616.21	199500			221750(7.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-12	-10000	7	-68	0	61%	-0.64	-26.4	4.73%	0	0.5	41	0

16	Oct_7_2013	246650.47	212385.3	197086.54	196025			207000(9.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	-10000	5	-103	0	58%	-0.66	-35.7	4.77%	0	-0.3	33	0
17	Oct_4_2013	248290.78	213024.53	197838.74	193725			188250(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-6	-132	0	54%	-0.62	-39.6	4.6%	0	-1.4	19	0
18	Oct_3_2013	249829.04	214084.95	202157.97	196475			187500(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-5	-121	0	54%	-0.76	-42.1	4.64%	0	-1.6	29	0
19	Oct_2_2013	251734.65	215594	206965.38	198725			193000(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-1	-107	0	54%	-0.66	-41	4.63%	0	-1.4	36	0
20	Oct_1_2013	253418.33	217661.33	211456.87	199325			204375(4.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	2	-91	0	57%	-0.53	-37.3	4.65%	0	-0.8	49	0

21	Sep_30_2013	254765.27	219004.43	214977.75	198275			195500(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-10	-87	0	57%	-0.55	-33.4	4.61%	0	-1.5	43	0
22	Sep_27_2013	256169.6	220398.76	219676.26	202725			202000(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-13	-64	0	57%	-0.59	-23.7	4.6%	0	-1.2	43	0
23	Sep_26_2013	257678.53	221533.85	222657.3	209075			198750(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-15	-32	0	57%	-0.6	-9.7	4.82%	0	-1.6	51	0
24	Sep_25_2013	259234.65	222537.3	225535.87	216750			196000(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-13	-10000	-16	-4	0	57%	-0.57	10.6	4.86%	0	-2	45	0
25	Sep_24_2013	260710.42	223692.27	227596.86	225400			199125(-8.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-8	-10000	-15	12	0	57%		39.7	4.91%	0	-2.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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