Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $239250.0000 (-0.93%) ($230874.9800 - $241500.0000) on Wed. Sep. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.88% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $239250.0000(-0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.44% (StdDev 4.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $235699.75(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $225114.7(6.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $221147.93(8.19%)
To recent high   -25.2%
To recent low   45.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 5.43% (three month std-dev: 4.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2013	263255.1	221147.93	225114.7	235699.75			239250(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	10	40	0	70%	0.8	97.6	4.88%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Sep_17_2013	261178.6	219040.05	224270.2	230149.75			241500(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	10	32	0	70%	0.75	90.9	4.89%	0	1.8	63	0
3	Sep_16_2013	259222	216822.3	222935.58	224674.75			242623.77(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10000	8	25	0	70%	0.94	90	5.09%	0	2.2	66	0
4	Sep_13_2013	256818.98	213986.18	220528.29	220099.99			230500(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	9	19	0	67%	-0.75	87	5.1%	0	1.4	64	0
5	Sep_12_2013	258757.76	212108.42	219612.09	215125			224624.98(6.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	4	7	0	67%	-0.79	80.8	5.11%	0	1	57	0

6	Sep_11_2013	260819.84	210022.99	218684.07	213100			211500(-1.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-5	-10000	-8	4	0	64%	0.77	74.4	5.07%	0	0.1	58	0
7	Sep_10_2013	258822.04	208427.83	219184.61	217500			214124.98(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-6	27	0	64%	0.74	74.8	5.12%	0	0.4	62	0
8	Sep_9_2013	256915.19	206627.62	218835.99	220875			219750(6.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	47	0	64%	0.59	73.5	5.11%	0	0.8	64	0
9	Sep_6_2013	255416.5	203999.93	217597.8	221075			205625.02(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-6	59	0	59%	0.54	61.9	5.04%	0	0.1	66	0
10	Sep_5_2013	254035.15	202700.48	218532.69	224500			214500(-8.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	21	-10000	-0	83	0	59%	0.83	62.1	5.19%	0	0.6	65	0

11	Sep_4_2013	251945.9	200459.39	217407.96	224700			233500(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	6	101	0	70%	0.93	52.1	5.1%	0	1.6	80	0
12	Sep_3_2013	249616.85	197618.85	213729.94	221050			231000(4.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	8	105	0	70%	0.13	44.4	5.1%	0	1.7	81	0
13	Aug_30_2013	249283.63	195066.43	210330.21	216649.99			220750(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	5	107	0	70%	-0.82	35	5.02%	0	1.5	80	0
14	Aug_29_2013	251351.81	193103.93	206935.98	213749.99			222750(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	4	110	0	70%	-0.74	20.9	5.16%	0	1.8	84	0
15	Aug_28_2013	253217.97	191328.1	203871.42	211824.99			215500(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	5	117	0	70%	-0.7	4.3	5.15%	0	1.6	70	0

16	Aug_27_2013	254990.7	190330.66	200517.3	208949.99			215249.98(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	7	120	0	70%	-0.75	-17.4	5.17%	0	1.7	73	0
17	Aug_26_2013	256925.05	189388.55	196676.64	205249.99			208999.98(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	4	107	0	70%	-0.82	-43.4	5.19%	0	1.4	64	0
18	Aug_23_2013	259050.05	189111.55	193372.25	202975			206250(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	8	100	0	70%	-0.63	-54.9	5.18%	0	1.1	60	0
19	Aug_22_2013	260688.93	189731.3	189311.26	198875			213124.98(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	8	76	0	70%	-0.56	-61.7	5.23%	0	1.3	62	0
20	Aug_21_2013	262154.84	190687.86	185536.81	194800			201125(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	8	56	0	65%	-0.67	-62.5	5.16%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Aug_20_2013	263909.89	192832.47	182161.26	190825			196750(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	8	23	0	65%	-0.75	-55.4	5.25%	0	0.2	48	0
22	Aug_19_2013	265912.42	195528.74	180182.42	186750			197625(6.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	6	-10000	9	-4	0	65%	-0.26	-53.8	5.26%	0	0.1	47	0
23	Aug_16_2013	266609.23	197762.37	178425.82	182325			185750(-3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	9	-33	0	59%	-0.77	-51.1	5.31%	0	-0.4	38	0
24	Aug_15_2013	268683.21	201631.71	178057.14	178075			192750(6.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	7	-68	0	59%	-0.82	-47	5.41%	0	-0.3	35	0
25	Aug_14_2013	270902.6	205307.4	177540.93	174975			181250(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	6	-104	0	48%		-45.1	5.37%	0	-0.7	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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