Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 25, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $240249.9800 (-4.47%) ($238124.9800 - $260625.0000) on Thu. Jul. 25, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   163.3% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $240249.9800(-4.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -81.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -81.65% (StdDev 163.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

Resistance Level   $246273.62
5 Day Moving Average   $253225(-5.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $251278.85(-4.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $246273.62(-2.45%)
To recent high   -43%
To recent low   3270.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -26.67%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 26.67% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 4.52% (three month std-dev: 163.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2013	293476.58	246273.62	251278.85	253225			240249.98(-4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	0	-10000	-0	1	0	100%	-0.09	-40.5	163.3%	0	-0.5	54	0
2	Jul_24_2013	293750.81	247460.22	251158.24	259625.01			251500.02(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	0	-10000	0	1	0	100%	-0.09	-43.9	163.29%	0	0.3	56	0
3	Jul_23_2013	294013.57	247512.7	250781.59	256950			257750.02(4.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	-0.07	-70.4	362.5%	0	0.9	56	0
4	Jul_22_2013	294229.13	247989.64	249594.23	255099.99			247750(-7.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	-0.05	-80.8	362.67%	0	-0	59	0
5	Jul_19_2013	294379.65	249546.54	250550.27	254649.99			268875(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	0	-10000	0	1	0	100%	0	-68.9	362.91%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Jul_18_2013	294369.45	250872.44	247313.73	249100			272250(14.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	0.07	-60.8	362.9%	0	1.2	65	0
7	Jul_17_2013	294178.12	252778.59	243900.27	241900			238124.98(-4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-0	0	0	100%	-0.07	-49.7	369.4%	0	-0.6	40	0
8	Jul_16_2013	294394.96	256179	244658.79	243775			248499.98(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	-0.05	-37.1	369.26%	0	-0.3	49	0
9	Jul_15_2013	294544.19	258783.01	243008.24	243350			245500(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	0.03	-32.9	369.8%	0	-0.5	42	0
10	Jul_12_2013	294443.43	260203.66	241565.66	245850			241125.02(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	0	-0	0	99%	0.04	-34	415.84%	0	-0.7	37	0

11	Jul_11_2013	294314.6	262672.72	240883.79	245124.99			236250(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	0	-36	416.37%	0	-0.9	31	0
12	Jul_10_2013	294300.57	264993.99	243603.84	245974.99			247499.98(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	99%	0.05	-44.6	416.34%	0	-0.6	29	0
13	Jul_9_2013	294161.54	266259.2	244079.39	245500			246374.98(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	99%	-0.17	-55.6	416.32%	0	-0.7	33	0
14	Jul_8_2013	294654.18	268338.69	246249.17	242450			258000(8.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-1	-10000	0	-2	0	99%	0.15	-66	416.32%	0	-0.4	37	0
15	Jul_5_2013	294209.6	270071.97	248206.32	236875			237500(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-1	-10000	0	-2	0	99%	0.25	-76.6	416.36%	0	-1.2	43	0

16	Jul_3_2013	293484.24	273259.89	254384.89	236075			240500(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10000	-0	-2	0	99%	0.02	-78.3	413.22%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Jul_2_2013	293424.29	277982.12	261881.04	241050			245125(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	0.01	-78	413.22%	0	-1.1	43	0
18	Jul_1_2013	293392.41	282410.44	268154.94	242775			231125(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	-0.02	-82.7	413.27%	0	-1.6	43	0
19	Jun_28_2013	293462.56	287653.18	275623.07	250750			230125(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	-0.05	-89.6	413.26%	0	-1.9	39	0
20	Jun_27_2013	293620.72	293054.01	280582.42	261225			233500(-12.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	-0.16	-96.8	413.28%	0	-2	38	0

21	Jun_26_2013	294091.39	298711.13	286847.25	275175			265375(4.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	99%	-0.03	-88.2	413.2%	0	-1	42	0
22	Jun_25_2013	294167.92	304424.38	288765.11	286100			253749.98(-6.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	99%	0.01	-73.4	413.19%	0	-1.4	32	0
23	Jun_24_2013	294147.51	311400.35	291108.4	297400			271000(-4.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	99%	0.08	-67.5	413.19%	0	-1.2	35	0
24	Jun_21_2013	293903.87	318376.59	293043.29	304100			282500(-6.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	0	-0	0	99%	0.09	-50.5	413.17%	0	-0.9	37	0
25	Jun_20_2013	293628.36	325004.08	294288.89	302325			303250(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	99%		-39.5	413.15%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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