Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $365250.0000 (-1.32%) ($353125.0000 - $373000.0000) on Mon. May. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   422.41% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $365250.0000(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 36.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 86% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(4%)    XOP(4%)    EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    IWM(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -211.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)    FXI(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -211.205% (StdDev 422.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $234576.31(55.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $212083.7(72.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $196674.06(85.71%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   6852.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -178.43%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 178.43% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 94.47% (three month std-dev: 422.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2013	272141.47	196674.06	212083.7	234576.31			365250(-1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	2	13	0	99%	0.34	-14.8	422.41%	0	0.9	95	0
2	May_3_2013	271223.5	196677.49	178198.69	171476.96			370125(-0.57%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	1.1	4	-10000	4	4	0	99%	0.33	-21	416%	0	0.9	93	0
3	May_2_2013	270321.16	196996.8	147135.67	98877.62			372250(1161.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	0.29	-27.2	419.14%	0	0.9	95	0
4	May_1_2013	269529.49	194948.02	114944.63	108527.62			29503.27(-17.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-2	-4	0	98%	-1.04	-27.1	399.79%	0	-0.9	93	0
5	Apr_30_2013	272351.07	211564.11	115055.98	187968.71			35753.27(-28.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1	-10000	0	-3	0	98%	-1.04	-21.2	396.64%	0	-0.9	93	0

6	Apr_29_2013	275205.2	228757.07	114017.88	183961.21			49753.27(597.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1	-10000	0	-5	0	98%	-1.09	-22.1	396.51%	0	-1	93	0
7	Apr_26_2013	278228.6	246256.79	148964.1	179461.21			7128.27(-98.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1	-10000	-0	-5	0	98%	-1.33	-22.8	388.17%	0	-1.3	92	0
8	Apr_25_2013	281975.97	266057.27	153655.67	192611.21			420500(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	3	-5	0	98%	0.15	-22.4	390.68%	0	0.9	94	0
9	Apr_24_2013	281543.68	263953.09	148152.25	122561.86			426708.75(2615.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	-10000	11	-3	0	98%	0.32	-29.6	390.67%	0	0.9	94	0
10	Apr_23_2013	280643.06	260266.14	140341.91	39170.76			15715.77(-42.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	1	-15	0	96%	-1.24	-38	216.57%	0	-1.4	89	0

11	Apr_22_2013	284169.46	278302.85	177069.89	37078.26			27253.27(-62.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-6	-16	0	96%	-1.17	-41.3	216.4%	0	-1.5	90	0
12	Apr_19_2013	287534.01	296767.67	214748.69	116177.61			72878.24(3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-10000	1	-11	0	96%	-1.07	-35.9	216.1%	0	-1.4	92	0
13	Apr_18_2013	290657.67	312750.65	249285.17	106577.61			70253.27(620.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-12	0	96%	-1.26	-39.4	217.83%	0	-1.6	91	0
14	Apr_17_2013	294359.46	329269.74	280293.08	177626.96			9753.27(85.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	0	95%	-0.04	-31.5	204.33%	0	-2.3	89	0
15	Apr_16_2013	294485.77	349575.43	317814.16	257176.3			5253.27(-98.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-3	-10000	-2	-6	0	95%	-0.06	-19.5	204.19%	0	-3	88	0

16	Apr_15_2013	294666.75	369303.85	358103.64	334325.64			422750(1599.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-1	-10000	0	-2	0	95%	1.23	0.1	203.61%	0	0.7	93	0
17	Apr_12_2013	291078.25	365702.33	354222.61	331125.64			24878.24(-94.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.8	-33	-10000	-29	-46	0	39%	-0.95	2	13.16%	0	-4.2	28	0
18	Apr_11_2013	293880.35	383991.1	394336.54	410024.99			425500(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	10	50	0	100%	1.27	130	5.49%	0	1.9	61	0
19	Apr_10_2013	290196.18	378476.04	392260.71	398624.99			407499.97(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	9	39	0	100%	1.33	111.7	5.65%	0	1.2	57	0
20	Apr_9_2013	286396.21	373388.47	389690.93	388775			391000(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	22	0	100%	1.41	90.3	5.67%	0	0.6	53	0

21	Apr_8_2013	282419.93	369246.83	386528.3	385550			406750(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	2	16	0	100%	1.41	82.7	5.8%	0	1.2	61	0
22	Apr_5_2013	278494.98	364116.24	383303.46	383200			419375(13.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	6	19	0	100%	1.6	83.3	5.77%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Apr_4_2013	274098.7	357630.19	378336.97	377125			368500(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10000	-8	12	0	100%	1.34	79.3	5.57%	0	0.3	58	0
24	Apr_3_2013	270461.89	352954.15	379421.86	385475			358250(-4.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-4	45	0	100%	1.34	79.3	5.64%	0	0.1	66	0
25	Apr_2_2013	266893.5	349247.17	382161.14	390375			374875(-5.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	3	80	0	100%		80.6	5.64%	0	0.6	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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