Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $243249.9800 (3.68%) ($236625.0000 - $249875.0000) on Wed. Feb. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   329.31% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $243249.9800(3.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(3%)    EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    OIH(2%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -164.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    XLP(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    XLY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -164.655% (StdDev 329.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $266546.17
5 Day Moving Average   $240700(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $250614.17(-2.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $266546.17(-8.74%)
To recent high   -42.8%
To recent low   13974.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -108.45%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 108.45% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.14% (three month std-dev: 329.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2013	217058.63	266546.17	250614.17	240700			243249.98(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.53	-15	329.31%	0	-0.9	37	0
2	Feb_12_2013	218213.89	268602.77	251877.9	247975			234625(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.46	-0.9	329.83%	0	-1.3	30	0
3	Feb_11_2013	219232.31	270524.97	252772.13	255625			242000(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.45	11	329.8%	0	-1.1	31	0
4	Feb_8_2013	220231	271567.89	253584.22	257575			238000.02(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.35	14.9	329.83%	0	-1.4	29	0
5	Feb_7_2013	221000.73	271606.6	258620.75	259399.75			245625(-12.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.3	16.4	329.82%	0	-1	39	0

6	Feb_6_2013	221662.57	270650.62	263063.61	261374.75			279625(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.13	12.9	329.79%	0	0.3	51	0
7	Feb_5_2013	221959.94	268833.67	265700.42	256524.75			272875(8.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.25	2.6	329.78%	0	0.1	49	0
8	Feb_4_2013	222527.05	267774.93	269133.1	249999.74			251750(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.47	-11.4	329.8%	0	-0.6	48	0
9	Feb_1_2013	223571.78	267938.43	275460.03	249324.75			247123.73(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.58	-17.5	663.54%	0	-0.7	51	0
10	Jan_31_2013	224879.69	267543.23	280523.63	257925			255500(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.59	-16.9	663.69%	0	-0.4	63	0

11	Jan_30_2013	226224.43	267170.82	283544.92	265175			255375(6.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-0	0	0	100%	-0.49	-16	663.84%	0	-0.4	67	0
12	Jan_29_2013	227327.06	268097.03	286690.38	276675			240249.98(-3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-0	0	0	100%	-0.3	-10.1	669.06%	0	-0.9	55	0
13	Jan_28_2013	228020.48	271040.71	290308.11	291125			248375.02(-14.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	0	-10000	-0	1	0	100%	-0.09	1.9	674.38%	0	-0.8	54	0
14	Jan_25_2013	228220.48	272970.72	292098.08	304925			290125(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	0	-10000	-0	1	0	100%	-0.01	16	674.49%	0	0.6	63	0
15	Jan_24_2013	228241.54	272513.57	286740.25	306100			291750(-6.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	0	-10000	0	1	0	100%	-0.04	15.6	674.51%	0	0.7	68	0

16	Jan_23_2013	228334.96	271923.41	279931.32	304262.5			312875(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	0	-10000	0	1	0	100%	-0.02	13.9	674.64%	0	1.4	69	0
17	Jan_22_2013	228373.11	271140.02	272709.48	298312.5			312500(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	0	-10000	0	1	0	100%	0.05	13.1	674.48%	0	1.5	58	0
18	Jan_18_2013	228250.75	270463.05	266183.24	289587.5			317375(7.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	0	-10000	0	1	0	100%	0.14	8.6	669.36%	0	1.7	52	0
19	Jan_17_2013	227942.85	268319.85	259086.4	277712.5			296000(4.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	0.13	-6.3	669.23%	0	1.1	52	0
20	Jan_16_2013	227646.8	267981.42	252596.15	264587.5			282562.5(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	0	-0	0	100%	0.14	-21.4	669.17%	0	0.6	50	0

21	Jan_15_2013	227323.77	267930.83	248476.65	251625			283125(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	0.09	-38.2	669.16%	0	0.6	50	0
22	Jan_14_2013	227119.84	267506.08	246823.35	243250			268875(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.07	-56.3	669.34%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Jan_11_2013	227269.84	268158.46	249088.73	239525			258000(11.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.31	-72.6	669.43%	0	-0.4	39	0
24	Jan_10_2013	227975.1	269996.34	251446.15	238225			230375(5.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.48	-86.2	669.26%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Jan_9_2013	229067.21	273581.46	256804.12	238800			217750(-9.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%		-96.4	669.27%	0	-2.2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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