Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $283125.0000 (5.3%) ($261626.2500 - $288750.0000) on Tue. Jan. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   669.16% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $283125.0000(5.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(3%)    EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    OIH(2%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -334.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    XLP(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    XLY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -334.58% (StdDev 669.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $251625(12.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $248476.65(13.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $267930.83(5.67%)
To recent high   -33.5%
To recent low   16282%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -447.78%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 447.78% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 9.79% (three month std-dev: 669.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2013	227323.77	267930.83	248476.65	251625			283125(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	0.09	-38.2	669.16%	0	0.6	50	0
2	Jan_14_2013	227119.84	267506.08	246823.35	243250			268875(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.07	-56.3	669.34%	0	0.1	42	0
3	Jan_11_2013	227269.84	268158.46	249088.73	239525			258000(11.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.31	-72.6	669.43%	0	-0.4	39	0
4	Jan_10_2013	227975.1	269996.34	251446.15	238225			230375(5.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.48	-86.2	669.26%	0	-1.5	39	0
5	Jan_9_2013	229067.21	273581.46	256804.12	238800			217750(-9.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.47	-96.4	669.27%	0	-2.2	32	0

6	Jan_8_2013	230152.73	278329.28	263617.03	244125			241249.98(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.31	-112.9	669.02%	0	-1.7	41	0
7	Jan_7_2013	230879.05	283170.34	269934.07	250550			250250(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.23	-112.5	668.91%	0	-1.5	45	0
8	Jan_4_2013	231408	288766.44	275564.01	260375			251500.02(7.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.19	-94	669.02%	0	-1.6	44	0
9	Jan_3_2013	231855.36	294899.83	278780.77	267300			233250(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.33	-80.2	669.09%	0	-2.2	35	0
10	Jan_2_2013	232623.79	300387.91	285380.77	277525			244374.98(-10.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.68	-25.1	669.31%	0	-1.8	36	0

11	Dec_31_2012	234214.94	305940.85	289940.52	285350			273375(-8.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.19	30	669.17%	0	-1.1	40	0
12	Dec_28_2012	234661.56	309757.25	290645.88	291800			299375(4.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.28	80.3	669.52%	0	-0.3	37	0
13	Dec_27_2012	235317.81	313172.2	289019.64	293450			286125(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	0	-0	0	100%	-0.38	125.4	669.53%	0	-0.8	28	0
14	Dec_26_2012	236225.36	319733.29	289992.58	292425			284375(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.98	160.7	669.5%	0	-0.9	25	0
15	Dec_24_2012	238563.24	308400.87	291555.63	294575			283500(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	-0.31	70.6	664.26%	0	-0.3	39	0

16	Dec_21_2012	239297.78	297005.82	294096.7	294837.5			305625(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	-0.27	64.6	664.24%	0	0.1	40	0
17	Dec_20_2012	239955	286721.33	296941.35	289137.5			307625(9.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	1.13	67.2	664.21%	0	0.2	41	0
18	Dec_19_2012	237281.06	276076.56	302059.07	284312.5			281000(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	0.9	65.2	664.24%	0	0	30	0
19	Dec_18_2012	235159.96	265491.46	311383.93	287362.5			295125(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	100%	1.02	64.6	664.22%	0	0.2	25	0
20	Dec_17_2012	232788.99	252500.63	315849.18	288412.5			284812.5(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	100%	-0.62	41.7	664.25%	0	0.2	98	0

21	Dec_14_2012	234241.95	240852.57	322831.04	293400			277125(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-0	1	0	100%	1.14	26.8	664.28%	0	0.2	97	0
22	Dec_13_2012	231596.37	228056.03	330466.76	305975			283500(-4.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	1	-10000	-0	2	0	100%	1.25	13.8	664.3%	0	0.4	94	0
23	Dec_12_2012	228742.02	215703.69	339576.1	322650			296250(-1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	1	-10000	-0	3	0	100%	1.11	4.8	664.29%	0	0.5	94	0
24	Dec_11_2012	226229.17	202328.15	352217.03	339200			300375(-3.03%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.2	2	-10000	-0	6	0	100%	1.26	-3.3	664.27%	0	0.6	94	0
25	Dec_10_2012	223421.21	205440.52	328298.37	347175			309750(-8.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.2	2	-10000	-0	7	0	100%		-2	664.2%	0	0.6	95	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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