Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $300500.0000 (2.21%) ($292425.0000 - $306500.0000) on Fri. Aug. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   259.79% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $300500.0000(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 19.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(1%)    EWJ(1%)    JNK(1%)    PCY(1%)    USO(1%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -129.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-7%)    REMX(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    EWI(-3%)    XLP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -129.895% (StdDev 259.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $306100(-1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $331159.89(-9.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $244970.86(22.67%)
To recent high   -29.4%
To recent low   4433.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -67.49%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 67.49% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 61.98% (three month std-dev: 259.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2012	280567.3	244970.86	331159.89	306100			300500(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-0	4	0	92%	0.09	3.3	259.79%	0	0.4	91	0
2	Aug_16_2012	280313.47	231744.26	336762.09	309250			294000(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10000	-0	4	0	92%	-0.13	-6	259.79%	0	0.4	81	0
3	Aug_15_2012	280674.44	236484.37	344529.95	322925			306250(-6.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	8	0	92%	-0.11	-2.4	259.75%	0	0.4	95	0
4	Aug_14_2012	280975.46	239489.54	322154.14	336325			327875(8.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-0	11	0	92%	-0.05	0.7	259.71%	0	0.6	95	0
5	Aug_13_2012	281128.01	238946.78	299220.38	347250			301875(-4.55%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.3	4	-10000	-0	14	0	92%	-0.26	3.1	259.76%	0	0.4	92	0

6	Aug_10_2012	281855.05	239995.04	277734.45	359850			316250(-12.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.3	5	-10000	-0	20	0	92%	-0.19	4.3	259.74%	0	0.5	93	0
7	Aug_9_2012	282393.61	241504.97	286611.42	367550			362375(-2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	9	-10000	-0	34	0	92%	-0.17	6.5	259.69%	0	0.7	93	0
8	Aug_8_2012	282860.89	240459.24	254042.26	368950			373250(-2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	9	-10000	2	29	0	92%	-0.13	5.7	259.68%	0	0.8	90	0
9	Aug_7_2012	283226.96	238290.16	218252.5	303950.65			382500(4.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	5	-10000	2	12	0	92%	-0.13	-5.9	259.65%	0	0.9	90	0
10	Aug_6_2012	283594.46	234041.12	184753.96	242501.31			364875(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	3	-10000	3	3	0	92%	-0.17	-16	259.64%	0	0.8	90	0

11	Aug_3_2012	284072.78	233203.94	150298.01	182554.46			354750(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0	92%	-0.11	-23.6	259.67%	0	0.8	90	0
12	Aug_2_2012	284396.76	231266.16	115531.46	196754.47			369375(665.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	4	-7	0	92%	-0.09	-21.8	259.64%	0	0.8	90	0
13	Aug_1_2012	284646.76	231415.48	114148.99	126980.12			48253.27(-35.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	1	-12	0	91%	-1.26	-28.7	247.58%	0	-1.1	88	0
14	Jul_31_2012	288266.64	248276.36	146611.21	118655.12			75253.27(15.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	0	-11	0	91%	-1.04	-30.5	249.39%	0	-1.1	89	0
15	Jul_30_2012	291299.77	263178.61	171992.92	114105.13			65140.77(-84.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-10000	1	-9	0	91%	-1.17	-31.6	249.4%	0	-1.3	89	0

16	Jul_27_2012	294751.26	278683.59	199357.3	106677.62			425750.03(1976.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	19	-10000	25	1	0	91%	0.12	-33.3	248.96%	0	1	91	0
17	Jul_26_2012	294390.31	273311.17	189409.94	25563.27			20503.27(209.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10000	-44	-101	0	64%	-1.3	-42.7	34.57%	0	-1.7	64	0
18	Jul_25_2012	298270.38	290875.25	224739.42	104865.12			6628.27(-87.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-10000	-37	-115	0	49%	-1.39	-35.4	22.7%	0	-2.1	44	0
19	Jul_24_2012	302482.08	309836.91	261342.79	181939.46			52503.3(87.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-24	-92	0	59%	-1.24	-25.4	19.85%	0	-2.1	56	0
20	Jul_23_2012	306269.02	324710.52	290443.95	239163.8			28003.24(38.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2	-39	-10000	-25	-81	0	48%	-0.11	-16.2	16.65%	0	-2.9	43	0

21	Jul_20_2012	306602.57	340500.43	327841.38	301888.15			20178.27(-95.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.6	-29	-10000	-23	-47	0	40%	-0.12	2	16.04%	0	-4.1	33	0
22	Jul_19_2012	306976.93	356195.23	363516.49	371727.5			417012.5(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	5	-10000	5	5	0	61%	0.88	75.3	10.51%	0	2	62	0
23	Jul_18_2012	304313.57	349019.66	361276.76	362150			392000(15.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	4	4	0	61%	0.96	75.4	10.54%	0	1.3	58	0
24	Jul_17_2012	301415.64	343595.39	359343.9	355250			338625(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	2	0	0	58%	0.61	79.1	10.39%	0	-0.1	50	0
25	Jul_16_2012	299590.42	342522.85	362086	352075			341625(-7.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-4	1	0	58%		93.7	10.46%	0	-0	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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