Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $362375.0000 (-2.91%) ($361875.0000 - $9140.7700) on Thu. Aug. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   259.69% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $362375.0000(-2.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 148.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(2%)    EWJ(1%)    PCY(1%)    EWY(0%)    JNK(0%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -129.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-7%)    EWI(-4%)    REMX(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLP(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -129.845% (StdDev 259.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $367550(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $286611.42(26.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $241504.97(50.05%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   5367.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -67.44%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 67.44% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 67.95% (three month std-dev: 259.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2012	282393.61	241504.97	286611.42	367550			362375(-2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	9	-10000	-0	34	0	92%	-0.17	6.5	259.69%	0	0.7	93	0
2	Aug_8_2012	282860.89	240459.24	254042.26	368950			373250(-2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	9	-10000	2	29	0	92%	-0.13	5.7	259.68%	0	0.8	90	0
3	Aug_7_2012	283226.96	238290.16	218252.5	303950.65			382500(4.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	5	-10000	2	12	0	92%	-0.13	-5.9	259.65%	0	0.9	90	0
4	Aug_6_2012	283594.46	234041.12	184753.96	242501.31			364875(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	3	-10000	3	3	0	92%	-0.17	-16	259.64%	0	0.8	90	0
5	Aug_3_2012	284072.78	233203.94	150298.01	182554.46			354750(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0	92%	-0.11	-23.6	259.67%	0	0.8	90	0

6	Aug_2_2012	284396.76	231266.16	115531.46	196754.47			369375(665.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	4	-7	0	92%	-0.09	-21.8	259.64%	0	0.8	90	0
7	Aug_1_2012	284646.76	231415.48	114148.99	126980.12			48253.27(-35.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	1	-12	0	91%	-1.26	-28.7	247.58%	0	-1.1	88	0
8	Jul_31_2012	288266.64	248276.36	146611.21	118655.12			75253.27(15.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	0	-11	0	91%	-1.04	-30.5	249.39%	0	-1.1	89	0
9	Jul_30_2012	291299.77	263178.61	171992.92	114105.13			65140.77(-84.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	-10000	1	-9	0	91%	-1.17	-31.6	249.4%	0	-1.3	89	0
10	Jul_27_2012	294751.26	278683.59	199357.3	106677.62			425750.03(1976.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	19	-10000	25	1	0	91%	0.12	-33.3	248.96%	0	1	91	0

11	Jul_26_2012	294390.31	273311.17	189409.94	25563.27			20503.27(209.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10000	-44	-101	0	64%	-1.3	-42.7	34.57%	0	-1.7	64	0
12	Jul_25_2012	298270.38	290875.25	224739.42	104865.12			6628.27(-87.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-10000	-37	-115	0	49%	-1.39	-35.4	22.7%	0	-2.1	44	0
13	Jul_24_2012	302482.08	309836.91	261342.79	181939.46			52503.3(87.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-24	-92	0	59%	-1.24	-25.4	19.85%	0	-2.1	56	0
14	Jul_23_2012	306269.02	324710.52	290443.95	239163.8			28003.24(38.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2	-39	-10000	-25	-81	0	48%	-0.11	-16.2	16.65%	0	-2.9	43	0
15	Jul_20_2012	306602.57	340500.43	327841.38	301888.15			20178.27(-95.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.6	-29	-10000	-23	-47	0	40%	-0.12	2	16.04%	0	-4.1	33	0

16	Jul_19_2012	306976.93	356195.23	363516.49	371727.5			417012.5(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	5	-10000	5	5	0	61%	0.88	75.3	10.51%	0	2	62	0
17	Jul_18_2012	304313.57	349019.66	361276.76	362150			392000(15.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	4	4	0	61%	0.96	75.4	10.54%	0	1.3	58	0
18	Jul_17_2012	301415.64	343595.39	359343.9	355250			338625(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	2	0	0	58%	0.61	79.1	10.39%	0	-0.1	50	0
19	Jul_16_2012	299590.42	342522.85	362086	352075			341625(-7.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-3	-10000	-4	1	0	58%	0.42	93.7	10.46%	0	-0	57	0
20	Jul_13_2012	298328.98	338919.71	364303.59	359300.25			369375(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	19	0	58%	0.4	96.5	10.4%	0	0.8	63	0

21	Jul_12_2012	297152.99	334485.08	361604.09	353500			369125(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-4	18	0	58%	0.48	98	10.4%	0	0.9	66	0
22	Jul_11_2012	295723.18	326264.95	359615.03	360759.99			357500(10.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	0	58%	0.31	77.9	10.4%	0	0.6	68	0
23	Jul_10_2012	294798.46	318888.48	359774.33	364859.99			322750(-14.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-4	57	0	55%	0.1	66	10.37%	0	0.1	62	0
24	Jul_9_2012	294510.3	313180.58	360362.64	373075.74			377751.25(10.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	72	0	61%	0.2	58.7	10.32%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Jul_6_2012	293920.12	305530.56	353574.83	369750.49			340373.75(-16.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	-0	80	0	57%		55.8	10.24%	0	0.6	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.