Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 11, 2012

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $196887.5000 (-11.96%) ($194700.0000 - $218623.7500) on Mon. Jun. 11, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.23% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $196887.5000(-11.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -5.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -22.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    EWP(2%)    EWY(2%)    EEM(1%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-7%)    TLT(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.115% (StdDev 8.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

Resistance Level   $310531.02
5 Day Moving Average   $234775(-16.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $249649.44(-21.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $310531.02(-36.6%)
To recent high   -53.6%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 22.84% (three month std-dev: 8.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2012	283334.91	310531.02	249649.44	234775			196887.5(-11.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-53	-10000	-14	-170	0	0%	-0.36	-31.3	8.23%	0	-1.6	24	0
2	Jun_8_2012	284351.93	318309.91	263887.28	249222.5			223625(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-3	-163	0	0%	-0.25	-24.2	8.12%	0	-1.4	23	0
3	Jun_7_2012	285074.87	324180.21	278901.28	251892.25			218612.5(-17.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-9	-161	0	0%	-0.28	-21.6	8.11%	0	-1.7	28	0
4	Jun_6_2012	285875.62	330102.84	298098.56	261219.75			266125(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-1	-145	0	0%	-0.08	-14.6	7.83%	0	-1.1	34	0
5	Jun_5_2012	286116.49	333225.6	311413.68	262194.75			268625(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-5	-132	0	100%	-0.08	-12.8	7.83%	0	-1.2	44	0

6	Jun_4_2012	286332.43	334481.92	322380.24	267519.75			269125(13.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0	100%	-0.08	-9.6	74.63%	0	-1.2	49	0
7	Jun_1_2012	286547.52	335045.57	337653.66	282026.5			236973.73(-10.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0	90%	-0.22	-0.1	74.62%	0	-1.8	40	0
8	May_31_2012	287175.04	338123.95	354113.27	310631.75			265250(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-10000	-2	-5	0	100%	-0.1	21.8	75.78%	0	-1.4	45	0
9	May_30_2012	287456.13	338551.63	367140.6	340856.76			271000(-8.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-2	-0	0	90%	-0.07	42	75.76%	0	-1.3	47	0
10	May_29_2012	287669.85	340378.45	375163.56	367731.76			295250(-13.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	0	-10000	-1	4	0	91%	0.03	70.9	76.29%	0	-0.9	51	0

11	May_25_2012	287570.11	339745.24	378042.01	384486.76			341658.75(-10.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-1	7	0	84%	0.25	82.8	75.47%	0	0	64	0
12	May_24_2012	286848.93	335122.47	378831.79	401105.01			380000(-8.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	-0	11	0	84%	0.44	92.2	76.03%	0	0.8	72	0
13	May_23_2012	285590.13	327351.69	374324.18	403930.01			416375.03(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	0	14	0	84%	0.63	96.4	76.06%	0	1.4	73	0
14	May_22_2012	283798.55	318171.1	365053.99	398130			405375(6.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	1	16	0	84%	0.6	97	76.05%	0	1.4	75	0
15	May_21_2012	282109.99	308051.44	356397.54	384257.5			379025(-10.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	1	15	0	84%	0.49	91.6	76.11%	0	1.2	63	0

16	May_18_2012	280744.99	299897.63	346969.34	369952.5			424750(7.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	1	13	0	84%	0.74	81.7	76.13%	0	2	72	0
17	May_17_2012	278687.78	287849.36	330847.45	353352.5			394125(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	1	12	0	84%	0.6	75.1	76.75%	0	1.8	74	0
18	May_16_2012	277014.77	277188.58	319263.25	340658			387375(15.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	4	-10000	1	12	0	85%	0.59	69.5	76.75%	0	1.9	76	0
19	May_15_2012	275391.83	267341.61	305978.34	328033			336012.5(9.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	0	11	0	83%	0.33	66.1	76.94%	0	1.3	68	0
20	May_14_2012	274487.04	260388.91	301636.51	324755.5			307500(-10.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	0	14	0	83%	0.18	64.1	77.03%	0	0.9	71	0

21	May_11_2012	273986.85	255756.72	298145.61	319330.5			341750(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	1	16	0	83%	0.38	57.3	76.39%	0	1.7	72	0
22	May_10_2012	272944.34	248956.01	287943.12	304055.5			330652.5(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	1	15	0	83%	0.33	47.2	77%	0	1.8	75	0
23	May_9_2012	272042.65	242719.52	276842.77	294230			324250(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	1	15	0	83%	0.31	37.7	77%	0	1.9	75	0
24	May_8_2012	271213.96	236819.51	267641.27	280780.25			319625(14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4	-10000	0	14	0	83%	0.29	22.7	76.99%	0	2.2	71	0
25	May_7_2012	270433.13	231759.54	255835.97	275962.75			280375(5.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	14	0	83%		15.1	77.62%	0	1.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.