Trading Signals: UAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: UAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United Continental Holdings Inc)
UAL latest price $55.5800 (2.79%) ($54.3400 - $55.6800) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $55.5800(2.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UAL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UAL declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(87%)    PEJ(71%)    XLF(62%)    IWN(61%)    XAR(61%)
Factors Impacting UAL price   UAL will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-10%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.42(-16.48%)
Resistance Level   $57.18
5 Day Moving Average   $53.92(3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.19(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.18(-2.8%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $16.173b

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. engages in the operation of its wholly-owned subsidiary United Airlines, Inc, which offers satellite based Wi-Fi, including on long-haul overseas routes. It operates through the following geographical segments: Domestic (U.S. and Canada); Pacific; Atlantic; and Latin America. It also transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional operations. The company was founded on December 30, 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. UAL price fluctuates within 4.49% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2016	54.53	57.18	55.19	53.92			55.58(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	2	-117	3.79	49%	-0.04	-43	2.16%	0	-0.6	34	0
2	Apr_12_2016	54.55	57.31	55.57	53.83			54.07(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-5	-121	3.39	47%	-0.07	-42	2.26%	0	-1.3	24	0
3	Apr_11_2016	54.59	57.57	56.01	54.13			53.71(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-7	-126	4.58	47%	-0.11	-38.2	2.26%	0	-1.6	21	0
4	Apr_8_2016	54.65	57.82	56.45	54.56			53.08(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-41	-10000	-12	-129	3.55	47%	-0.09	-35.6	2.26%	0	-2.1	23	0
5	Apr_7_2016	54.7	58.06	56.95	55.29			53.16(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-10000	-21	-120	6.75	43%	-0.09	-33.7	2.27%	0	-2.5	33	0

6	Apr_6_2016	54.75	58.31	57.63	56.63			55.14(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-14	-81	3.22	46%	-0.05	-19.9	2.3%	0	-1.9	38	0
7	Apr_5_2016	54.78	58.4	58.17	57.57			55.58(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-10000	-9	-48	2.73	46%	-0.04	-10.6	2.3%	0	-1.8	43	0
8	Apr_4_2016	54.8	58.52	58.73	58.18			55.85(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-6	-24	4.62	44%	-0.05	1.7	2.3%	0	-1.9	40	0
9	Apr_1_2016	54.83	58.65	59.21	58.59			56.72(-5.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-4	-10000	-3	-5	7.41	44%	-0.05	15.6	2.32%	0	-1.5	46	0
10	Mar_31_2016	54.86	58.74	59.46	58.82			59.86(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2	-10000	0	8	5.74	47%	0	27.7	2.24%	0	0.9	63	0

11	Mar_30_2016	54.86	58.64	59.35	58.79			59.82(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	2	-10000	-2	13	3.4	45%	0	34	2.24%	0	1	62	0
12	Mar_29_2016	54.86	58.56	59.18	58.93			58.66(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	-7	21	4.04	45%	-0.04	51	2.26%	0	0.1	63	0
13	Mar_28_2016	54.88	58.5	59.22	59.43			57.91(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	5	-10000	-7	41	3.4	45%	-0.16	69.3	2.26%	0	-0.5	53	0
14	Mar_24_2016	54.97	58.44	59.29	59.93			57.84(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	12	-10000	-3	58	6.62	47%	-0.05	87	2.26%	0	-0.5	51	0
15	Mar_23_2016	55	58.41	59.27	60.13			59.74(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	3	63	4.02	49%	-0.02	104.8	2.25%	0	1	56	0

16	Mar_22_2016	55.01	58.24	59.05	59.94			60.49(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	59	4.47	49%	0	115.3	2.24%	0	1.6	62	0
17	Mar_21_2016	55.01	57.98	58.64	59.45			61.19(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	7	39	3.63	49%	0.02	129.5	2.24%	0	2.3	62	0
18	Mar_18_2016	55	57.69	58.26	59.01			60.41(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	6	29	7.38	49%	0	142.7	2.24%	0	1.9	64	0
19	Mar_17_2016	55	57.37	58	58.6			58.84(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	5	25	3.28	45%	0	132.9	2.22%	0	0.9	63	0
20	Mar_16_2016	55	57.04	57.93	58.29			58.77(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	4	23	3.67	45%	-0.05	112.8	2.25%	0	0.8	60	0

21	Mar_15_2016	55.03	56.66	57.84	58.02			58.05(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	5	24	4.73	45%	-0.05	96.6	2.25%	0	0.5	61	0
22	Mar_14_2016	55.06	56.23	57.87	57.68			58.98(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	4	27	3.94	45%	-0.02	98.7	2.25%	0	1	70	0
23	Mar_11_2016	55.07	55.72	57.69	57.4			58.37(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	27	3.12	43%	0.05	86.6	2.24%	0	0.9	68	0
24	Mar_10_2016	55.04	55.18	57.51	57.33			57.26(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-3	35	3.51	45%	0.05	73.9	2.3%	0	0.6	71	0
25	Mar_9_2016	55.01	54.73	57.48	57.55			57.44(1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-1	63	4.76	45%		71.1	2.32%	0	0.7	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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