Trading Signals: UAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: UAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United Continental Holdings Inc)
UAL latest price $58.0500 (-1.58%) ($57.9400 - $59.3000) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $58.0500(-1.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UAL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UAL advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(87%)    PEJ(71%)    IWN(61%)    XAR(61%)    XLF(61%)
Factors Impacting UAL price   UAL will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.02(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.84(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.66(2.45%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   28.7%
Market Cap   $16.892b

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. engages in the operation of its wholly-owned subsidiary United Airlines, Inc, which offers satellite based Wi-Fi, including on long-haul overseas routes. It operates through the following geographical segments: Domestic (U.S. and Canada); Pacific; Atlantic; and Latin America. It also transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional operations. The company was founded on December 30, 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. UAL price fluctuates within 4.68% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	55.03	56.66	57.84	58.02			58.05(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	5	24	4.73	45%	-0.05	96.6	2.25%	0	0.5	61	0
2	Mar_14_2016	55.06	56.23	57.87	57.68			58.98(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	4	27	3.94	45%	-0.02	98.7	2.25%	0	1	70	0
3	Mar_11_2016	55.07	55.72	57.69	57.4			58.37(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	27	3.12	43%	0.05	86.6	2.24%	0	0.9	68	0
4	Mar_10_2016	55.04	55.18	57.51	57.33			57.26(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-3	35	3.51	45%	0.05	73.9	2.3%	0	0.6	71	0
5	Mar_9_2016	55.01	54.73	57.48	57.55			57.44(1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-1	63	4.76	45%	0.02	71.1	2.32%	0	0.7	78	0

6	Mar_8_2016	55	54.21	57.37	57.64			56.34(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-6	89	7.85	43%	0	67.1	2.32%	0	0.5	80	0
7	Mar_7_2016	55	53.7	57.32	58.05			57.61(-0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	35	-10000	1	135	4.92	45%	0.04	62.3	2.33%	0	0.9	90	0
8	Mar_4_2016	54.98	53.18	57.12	57.98			58(-0.58%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	45	-10000	4	168	5.77	48%	0	59.5	2.36%	0	1.1	92	0
9	Mar_3_2016	54.98	52.69	56.72	57.7			58.34(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-10000	4	193	5.19	48%	0.02	61.5	2.41%	0	1.3	95	0
10	Mar_2_2016	54.97	52.14	56.11	57.4			57.92(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	-10000	5	211	4.85	48%	0	61.4	2.42%	0	1.3	89	0

11	Mar_1_2016	54.97	51.56	55.41	57.07			58.4(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-10000	9	229	5.22	49%	0.02	60	2.43%	0	1.6	92	0
12	Feb_29_2016	54.96	51.06	54.48	56.48			57.26(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	-10000	5	236	5.61	49%	0.04	63.6	2.42%	0	1.5	92	0
13	Feb_26_2016	54.94	50.58	53.61	56.13			56.58(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	-10000	8	243	4.5	49%	0.07	67.6	2.42%	0	1.6	83	0
14	Feb_25_2016	54.9	50.05	52.68	55.58			56.86(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	-10000	15	230	4.66	49%	0.11	68.1	2.44%	0	1.9	74	0
15	Feb_24_2016	54.84	49.56	51.75	54.59			56.26(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	-10000	17	210	5.59	47%	0.09	70.8	2.44%	0	2	75	0

16	Feb_23_2016	54.79	49.08	50.77	53.46			55.45(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	-10000	20	184	4.32	47%	0.05	72.3	2.46%	0	2.2	76	0
17	Feb_22_2016	54.76	48.6	49.78	52.15			55.49(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	-10000	23	136	6.67	47%	0.07	69.8	2.46%	0	2.7	65	0
18	Feb_19_2016	54.72	48.13	48.88	50.72			53.82(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	-10000	23	91	9.73	45%	0	66.1	2.43%	0	2.9	63	0
19	Feb_18_2016	54.72	47.69	48.28	49.35			51.94(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	-10000	15	62	5.58	43%	-0.02	51.1	2.39%	0	2.7	66	0
20	Feb_17_2016	54.73	47.34	47.8	48.5			50.61(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	-10000	15	37	4.21	41%	-0.04	23.3	2.37%	0	2.5	57	0

21	Feb_16_2016	54.75	47.06	47.36	47.68			48.87(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	12	8	4.59	39%	-0.09	-18.3	2.32%	0	1.6	55	0
22	Feb_12_2016	54.8	46.89	47.33	47.04			48.35(2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10000	6	-2	4.1	39%	-0.16	-59.5	2.3%	0	1.3	56	0
23	Feb_11_2016	54.89	46.86	47.3	46.74			46.98(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-8	4.93	36%	-0.2	-88.7	2.26%	0	0.1	52	0
24	Feb_10_2016	55	46.9	47.23	47.03			47.71(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	1	7	7.83	36%	-0.2	-106.7	2.26%	0	0.7	59	0
25	Feb_9_2016	55.11	47.03	47.22	47			46.48(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	0	20	9.3	34%		-99	2.22%	0	-0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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