Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 25, 2023

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $38.7000 (4.85%) ($37.4400 - $38.9100) on Wed. Oct. 25, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $38.7000(4.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(37%)    EDOC(36%)    TBT(34%)    UUP(31%)    VIXM(22%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWO(-99%)    IWN(-99%)    IFRA(-94%)    IWD(-91%)    XRT(-90%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.12(4.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.34(9.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.92(14.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   75.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 6.69% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.71%(54%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.66%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 7.78%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.91%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2023	27.92	33.92	35.34	37.12	37.14	37.55	38.7(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	80	35	166	11.1	74%	0.4	69.8	2.95%	1.4	2.1	62	-0.8
2	Oct_24_2023	27.81	33.53	34.62	36.14	36.24	37.12	36.91(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	180	36	123	8.04	73%	0.25	69	2.91%	0.3	1.7	58	0.4
3	Oct_23_2023	27.74	33.28	34.07	35.11	35.33	36.74	37.78(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	63	300	56	82	12	73%	0.29	65.5	2.89%	1.4	2.4	61	-0.7
4	Oct_20_2023	27.66	32.92	33.5	34.14	34.11	35.37	36.8(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	260	41	43	11.47	73%	0.18	66.7	2.88%	1.6	2.4	64	-1.3
5	Oct_19_2023	27.61	32.63	33.08	33.7	33.42	33.92	35.42(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	80	28	35	15.88	72%	0.04	80.1	2.87%	1.8	2	66	-1.4

6	Oct_18_2023	27.6	32.41	33.08	33.34	33.27	32.84	33.78(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-100	10	36	9.88	68%	0.04	89.3	2.83%	1.5	1	64	-0.7
7	Oct_17_2023	27.59	32.21	32.89	32.9	33.13	32.92	31.77(-3.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-20	-9	30	11.54	66%	0.18	76.7	2.79%	-1.1	-0.3	55	0.5
8	Oct_16_2023	27.54	32.08	33.12	32.81	32.87	33.69	32.92(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	180	13	48	7.92	69%	0	71.2	2.78%	-1	0.5	54	0.8
9	Oct_13_2023	27.54	31.88	33.07	32.7	32.44	33.34	34.59(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	170	34	63	10.28	72%	0.07	66.4	2.72%	1.3	1.5	65	-1.3
10	Oct_12_2023	27.52	31.57	32.72	32.39	32.18	32.05	33.65(6.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-50	5	38	11.25	71%	0.04	59.4	2.73%	1.7	1.1	60	0.3

11	Oct_11_2023	27.51	31.26	32.4	32.44	32.45	31.54	31.55(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-200	-33	23	8.6	69%	0	59.2	2.65%	-0.7	0.2	54	0.4
12	Oct_10_2023	27.51	31.11	32.39	32.93	33.13	32.31	31.33(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-17	-160	-39	51	10.36	65%	0	67.6	2.68%	-2	0.1	61	0.2
13	Oct_9_2023	27.51	30.95	32.48	33.46	33.78	33.36	32.4(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-60	-12	106	7.59	68%	0	75.8	2.72%	-1.4	0.7	69	-0.1
14	Oct_6_2023	27.51	30.73	32.35	33.45	33.92	33.94	33(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	50	10	131	12.25	67%	0.04	81.4	2.75%	-1.7	1.1	73	-0.7
15	Oct_5_2023	27.5	30.48	32.19	33.05	33.44	34.2	33.9(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	190	31	146	10.51	67%	0.07	81.6	2.79%	-1.2	1.6	79	-0.7

16	Oct_4_2023	27.48	30.16	31.89	32.35	32.51	33.9	34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	71	310	44	150	12.48	67%	-0.04	79	2.82%	0.5	1.8	82	-1
17	Oct_3_2023	27.49	29.8	31.46	31.79	31.62	32.67	34(5.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	220	42	138	13.37	67%	0.04	77.2	2.84%	1.4	2.1	72	-2.1
18	Oct_2_2023	27.48	29.43	30.93	31.41	31.09	31.12	32.36(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-20	17	126	12.58	65%	-0.07	80.2	2.78%	1.8	1.7	71	-1.1
19	Sep_29_2023	27.5	29.07	30.57	31.13	31.05	30.57	30.98(1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-120	-13	114	12.25	60%	-0.11	65	2.74%	0.2	1	68	-1.3
20	Sep_28_2023	27.53	28.82	30.31	31.2	31.29	31.06	30.42(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-40	-12	122	11.82	60%	-0.11	59.6	2.77%	-1.5	0.8	65	-0.9

21	Sep_27_2023	27.56	28.59	30.02	31.33	31.36	31.53	31.19(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	40	9	138	16.92	58%	-0.11	57	2.76%	-0.2	1.3	70	-1.6
22	Sep_26_2023	27.59	28.34	29.75	31.03	31.19	31.52	32.12(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	90	29	146	10.39	59%	-0.04	49.6	2.79%	2.2	2	79	-3
23	Sep_25_2023	27.6	28.07	29.31	30.36	30.51	31.2	30.93(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	170	24	129	8.24	58%	-0.07	43.4	2.76%	0.5	1.7	78	-1.5
24	Sep_22_2023	27.62	27.91	28.99	29.92	29.81	30.86	31.34(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	64	240	40	137	9.2	60%	-0.18	40.6	2.81%	0.9	2.2	85	-1
25	Sep_21_2023	27.67	27.73	28.63	29.29	29.17	29.82	31.07(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	140	45	128	11.32	60%		35.1	2.83%	1.7	2.5	75	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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